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Warriors vs. Spurs Player Prop Prediction, Odds: Top Picks for Wembanyama, Curry, Champagnie

Zachary Hanshew

Last Updated: March 31, 2024 3:22 PM EDT • 3 min 13 sec read.

San Antonio Spurs center #01 Victor Wembanyama drives toward the basket as we look at our best NBA player props & bets for Warriors vs. Spurs
San Antonio Spurs center #01 Victor Wembanyama drives toward the basket as Golden State Warriors guard #30 Stephen Curry defends on October 20, 2023. Photo by Loren Elliott via AFP.

Stephen Curry and Victor Wembanyama face off in San Antonio on Sunday, and we have you covered with our Warriors vs. Spurs player props based on the best NBA odds.

Both of these teams are on a three-game winning streak, but one will end on Sunday when the Golden State Warriors visit the San Antonio Spurs at Frost Bank Center. Tip-off is set for 7 p.m. ET with NBA TV broadcasting this exciting affair.

The Warriors lead the season series 2-1, but this Spurs team looks very different now than it did earlier this year.

Rookie Victor Wembanyama has led his team to impressive wins over the Phoenix Suns and New York Knicks, and he seems to reach new heights each day.

Meanwhile, Warriors guard Stephen Curry's scoring has been muted lately, but he's in a great position to get back on track against the defensively lacking Spurs.

Here are our best Warriors vs. Spurs player prop predictions and NBA picks (odds via our best NBA betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Warriors vs. Spurs game info & odds

  • When: Sunday, March 31
  • Tip-off: 7 p.m. ET
  • Where: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, Texas
  • How to watch: NBA TV
  • Favorite: Warriors -8.5 (via DraftKings)

Warriors vs. Spurs player props

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Warriors vs. Spurs predictions

Victor Wembanyama Over 12.5 rebounds (-104 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Wemby has hit the Over on this number 20 times this season, seven of which have come since the All-Star break. The New York Knicks have allowed the second-fewest rebounds per game to opponents this season, and Wemby crushed them in his last game out, matching a career-high with 20 boards.

He’s averaged 11.9 rebounds since the break compared to just 10 before the break. On the season, Wemby has averaged 11.4 boards at home compared to just 9.4 on the road, and of his 20 games with at least 13 rebounds, 13 of them have come in San Antonio. Wemby pulled down 14 boards in his previous home matchup with the Warriors this season, and we’re banking on him grabbing at least 13 again. His points + rebounds + assists prop is set at a wildly high 43.5 with plus-money odds, though he’s cashed that one only 11 times on the season. That’s why we’ll stick with rebounds and an implied probability of 50.9%.

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Stephen Curry Over 29.5 points (+160 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

Curry has averaged just 22 points since the All-Star break, so we’re going out on a limb a bit with this prop. In 17 games since the break, Curry has hit the Over on this number only four times. However, three of those have come on the road, so there’s no reason to worry about Curry’s production at San Antonio.

In his only other matchup with the Spurs this season, Curry dropped 35 points. The Spurs allow the sixth-most points to opponents this season, so this is a favorable matchup. The +160 odds at bet365 give us an implied probability of 38.5%, and Curry has hit the Over in 38.8% of games this season.

We’re taking appropriately long odds, but with Jonathan Kuminga and Klay Thompson questionable, Curry could be asked to take on an expanded role offensively. If the game is close, San Antonio is riding a three-game win streak, so Curry’s strong scoring may be needed. A $10 wager on this prop will yield a $16 return, making it our most profitable offering for this game.

Julian Champagnie Over 8.5 points (-104 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Champagnie has started his last 46 games and averaged just 6.6 points across 20.6 minutes in those appearances. In 11 games with at least 25 minutes, however, Champagnie has averaged 11.1 points and hit the Over on this line nine times - that's 81.8% of the time. Keldon Johnson and Jeremy Sochan are out for Sunday’s matchup, and we can count on Champagnie hitting the 25-minute mark.

The odds on this line offer an implied probability of 50.9%, but we’re getting this one at a huge discount, given his expected playing time and expanded opportunity. Despite favorable lines of Wembanyama and Curry, this Champagnie scoring prop feels like the best value of the night, and we’ll happily take the Over.

Warriors-Spurs player props made Sunday at 10:15 a.m. ET.

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Written By:
Zachary Hanshew
Zak is a lucky husband and blessed father of four. He’s been writing about sports since 2018 with prior stops at FantasyPros, RotoWire, and FantasyLabs. In addition to Sportsbook Review, you can find his work at NBC Sports Edge, Yahoo, and OwnersBox. When he’s not writing, Zak can be found playing the guitar, hanging out with his family, coaching his son’s basketball team, or laughing way too hard at old Simpsons episodes.