🏀 Spurs vs. Thunder Player Props: Top Picks & Best Bets for Game 7
📡 SBR Edge: We're Not Done Fading Holmgren vs. Wemby
My Spurs vs. Thunder player props for Game 7 today include Victor Wembanyama Under 12.5 rebounds (+100). He has struggled to grab boards with Isaiah Hartenstein logging more minutes for the Thunder. My second NBA best bet is Chet Holmgren Under 13.5 points (-115), as he has scored 13 or fewer points in seven of his last nine outings against Wembanyama.
π Best Spurs vs. Thunder player props: NBA Playoffs Game 7
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds for the playoffs.
| π° Pick | π‘ Best odds | βοΈ Bet size | π§ Why I'm making this bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama Under 12.5 rebounds | +100 via BetMGM | 1u -> 1u | Has struggled to rebound with Hartenstein playing increased minutes for OKC |
| Chet Holmgren Under 13.5 points | -115 via BetMGM | 0.58u -> 0.5u | Has scored 13 or fewer points in 7 of his last 9 games vs. Wembanyama |
Total wagered: 1.58 units | Max profit: 1.5 units
π° Best Spurs vs. Thunder prop bet
Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
Victor Wembanyama Under 12.5 rebounds (+100)
I thought Wembanyama was unstoppable after watching him grab 24 and 17 rebounds in Games 1 and 2, respectively. What has changed since then? What has given me the confidence to keep fading Wembanyama on the boards?
Hartenstein has entered the conversation. Whether the referees are letting him be too physical with Wembanyama or not, he has held the Spurs' star forward to a 50% adjusted rebound chance percentage over the last four games (much lower than Hartenstein's 66%). BetMGM has his Under 12.5 rebounds at +100, but I'd play this up to -119 on the best sports betting sites.
π₯ More Spurs vs. Thunder prop picks
The Thunder are the betting favorite in the NBA championship odds.
Chet Holmgren Under 13.5 points (-115)
While Holmgren has underperformed defensively in this series, heβs been even less impactful on the offensive end. He has just a 15.9% usage rate, as he doesn't match up well with Wembanyama, which has been the case for a while now.
Holmgren has scored 13 or fewer points in seven of his last nine games when facing the Spurs' star forward and has struggled to stay on the floor late during key possessions in this series. Holmgren Under 13.5 points is -115 at BetMGM, but I'd be OK with playing this at -130 on the best sports betting apps.
🏀 More Spurs vs. Thunder expert picks
I back the Spurs to cover the spread with my Spurs vs. Thunder prediction.
ποΈ Most-bet Spurs vs. Thunder player props: Game 7
Betting insights via BetMGM.
| Player (Team) | Bet | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Dylan Harper (SA) | Over 16.5 points + rebounds + assists | -120 |
| De'Aaron Fox (SA) | Over 9.5 rebounds + assists | -140 |
| Alex Caruso (OKC) | Over 17.5 points + rebounds + assists | -105 |
| Luguentz Dort (OKC) | Under 5.5 points | -135 |
| Julian Champagnie (SA) | Under 5.5 rebounds | -115 |
π Spurs vs. Thunder same-game parlay
One of the most accurate ways to tell if your parlay has value is to compare it across the best NBA betting sites. I like the Spurs to cover tonight, and even though it is negatively correlated, I also expect Wembanyama to grab fewer than 13 rebounds. The market has been slow to react to his recent struggles against Hartenstein, with his total dropping by just one rebound over the course of this series.
DraftKings lists this SGP at +310, while FanDuel offers the same parlay at +255.
💵 Spurs vs. Thunder SGP picks
- Spurs +3.5
- Victor Wembanyama Under 12.5 rebounds
Best odds: +310 via DraftKings (0.32u -> 1u)
π΅ My betting record for NBA picks
All NBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since Feb. 10.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 192-215-4 | -10.1 units β | -2.5% β |
| Player props | 167-144-4 | -10.2 units β | -2.8% β |
| Parlays | 21-66 | +0.99 units β | 3.9% β |
| Spreads | 2-3 | -0.8 units β | -13.1% β |
| Totals | 2-2 | -0.09 units β | -4.1% β |
π‘ How I'm betting Spurs vs. Thunder: Game 7 strategy
I'm not trying to reinvent the wheel here. We've seen these teams play each other six times in a row, so we have a pretty good idea of how tonight will likely play out.
Wembanyama's rebounding numbers have dropped since Mark Daigneault sicked Hartenstein on him in Game 3, and Holmgren has struggled to score against Wembanyama since before this series even started. While Holmgren's number isn't egregious, Wembanyama's rebounding prop is still too heavily anchored to his past production before Hartenstein started boxing him out down low.
π Spurs vs. Thunder injuries: Game 7
Injury report last updated at 5:30 p.m. ET.
Spurs
- None
Thunder
- Ajay Mitchell (calf) - out
- Thomas Sorber (ACL) - out
- Jalen Williams (hamstring) - out
πΊ How to watch Spurs vs. Thunder: Game 7
- Date: Saturday, May 30
- Tipoff: 8 p.m. ET
- Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City)
- TV: NBC
- Streaming: Peacock
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