Best NBA Parlays Today: Picks, Predictions for Friday's Games
With Pascal Siakam snubbed by the All-Star team and Domantas Sabonis returning to Indiana, revenge is the topic of this parlay. Jon Metler has selected four of his favorite NBA player props for Friday's games using the latest NBA odds.
Do you remember when the Indiana Pacers traded Tyrese Haliburton to the Sacramento Kings in exchange for Domantas Sabonis? I doubt Sabonis has forgotten either. I'm amazed to see any value in Sabonis' props on Friday given the revenge angle, but I'm not complaining.
Let's light the beam and cash a ticket!
Here are our NBA SGP picks for Friday (odds via FanDuel Sportsbook).
NBA SGP picks for Friday
- Pascal Siakam 8-plus rebounds vs. Rockets (+125)
- John Collins 8-plus rebounds vs. Jazz (+125)
- Domantas Sabonis 25-plus points vs. Pacers (+160)
- Domantas Sabonis 14-plus rebounds vs. Pacers (-110)
Combined odds: +1969
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NBA SGP predictions
Pascal Siakam 8-plus rebounds vs. Rockets (+125)
The Over 6.5 rebounds is also a good value if you're looking for a single wager at FanDuel. However, we're seeing a significant edge over Siakam's alternate total of 8-plus rebounds. This prop should be traded at -125 instead of +115 since Siakam is projected to grab just over eight rebounds on Friday against the Houston Rockets.
John Collins 8-plus rebounds vs. Jazz (+125)
If you liked the edge we have in Siakam's rebound prop on Friday, you'll love Collins even more. The projection for Collins is 8.4 rebounds against the Utah Jazz, which means that we can price this prop at -135. Collins' alternate total of 8-plus rebounds shows a 29% positive expected value.
Domantas Sabonis 25-plus points vs. Pacers (+160)
It's said that revenge is best served cold, and Sabonis will certainly have revenge on his mind when he faces his former team, the Indiana Pacers. Sabonis is projected for just under 24 points on Friday, which means we can price this prop at +125 while FanDuel is trading it at +160.
Domantas Sabonis 14-plus rebounds vs. Pacers (-110)
Sabonis is going to get revenge on the Pacers on Friday, and I didn't just mean in one statistical category. Sabonis is projected to grab just under 15 rebounds on Friday, which means the total of 14-plus rebounds should be trading at -135 instead of -110.
NBA player prop picks made 02/03/2023 at 10:00 a.m. ET.
Why is this a good NBA SGP?
It's rare to hear the words same-game parlay and positive expected value in the same sentence, but let us compare our price with that of FanDuel.
By parlaying all of our prices together, we arrive at a price point of +1012. However, FanDuel offers us this parlay at a price of +1969. Therefore, this bet has a positive expected value of 86%.
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