Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Player Props & Odds: Friday's Game 3 NBA Playoff Prop Bets
Minnesota heads back to Target Center with a 2-0 series lead over Denver ahead of Friday's Game 3, as we offer our best Nuggets vs. Timberwolves player props based on the best NBA odds.
Just a week ago, the Denver Nuggets (57-25) were considered serious contenders by the NBA championship odds, boasting the shortest odds of any team in the Western Conference. Two unexpected losses to the Minnesota Timberwolves (56-26) have changed everything.
The Timberwolves are 4.5-point favorites at our best sportsbooks to win Game 3 and are heavily favored to clinch the second-round series.
The Timberwolves are set to play Game 3 at Target Center in Minneapolis on Friday, broadcasted on ESPN at 9:30 p.m. ET. Their strong defensive play has put the Nuggets in a difficult spot, as falling behind 0-3 in the series would significantly diminish their chances of repeating as champions.
Along with our Knicks vs. Pacers player props and our NBA player props & expert picks, here are our best Nuggets vs. Timberwolves player props and NBA picks (odds via our best NBA betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game 3 player props
- Nikola Jokic Over 28.5 points (-112 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Naz Reid Over 1.5 threes (+100 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker Over 10.5 pts + reb + ast (-105 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
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Nuggets vs. Timberwolves prop bet predictions for Friday
Nikola Jokic Over 28.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐
If there's ever been a time for the three-time MVP to take over as a scorer, this is it.
Jamal Murray and Michael Porter Jr. can't hit a shot. Aaron Gordon has been a liability on the court even when his shot is falling. And the Timberwolves clearly smell blood in the water, pressing the Nuggets in the backcourt and aggressively closing the air space on every perimeter shooter.
Meanwhile, Jokic delivered on his short NBA MVP odds while his team trails 0-2, which social media was quick to point out in the wake of Wednesday's news. Even his own acceptance speech was marred by Shaquille O'Neal saying runner-up Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (whose team is undefeated in the postseason) was more deserving:
Jokic may be understated off the court, but he's a cold-blooded killer on it, and he's one of the best offensive players in the history of this game. He scored just 16 points on 13 shots in Monday's blowout loss; I wouldn't be surprised if he doubles both totals in a must-win game on Friday.
Best odds: -112 via DraftKings
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Naz Reid Over 1.5 threes ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Reid has been a fan favorite all season long en route to cashing his NBA Sixth Man of the Year odds in upset fashion. And he feels primed for a big game in front of the Target Center crowd.
The Timberwolves' sixth man has already proven himself in this series, scoring a combined 30 points through the first two games with multiple threes in each. He hit 4-of-8 attempts from deep in Game 2 in 29 minutes - both his most in any game this postseason - after his clutch performance down the stretch helped seal Game 1:
Our odds converter shows these +100 odds from FanDuel imply a 50% chance he'll hit multiple threes on Friday - which he's done in six of his last eight games - with a $10 profit on a $10 wager. That's a bet worth making for the versatile big, especially at home.
Best odds: +100 via FanDuel
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Nickeil Alexander-Walker Over 10.5 pts + reb + ast ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Have oddsmakers been watching this postseason? If they have, it's been hard to miss the impact of Alexander-Walker, who has finally found a home in Minnesota after getting tossed around in his first four seasons in the league.
The former first-round pick has been a relevation in these playoffs, averaging 11.3 points, 2.8 rebounds, and 2.8 assists on a whopping 29.5 minutes per game. He's cleared this prop total in five of six games, doing so with points alone in three of them.
His elite defense provides a steady floor of playing time in this series, and he's made good on that with enough scoring pop to help on the other end, too. This paltry total at Caesars would net a profit of $9.52 on a $10 wager with a 51.22% implied probability, and that supposed hit rate feels too low for one of the best reserves of this postseason.
Best odds: -105 via Caesars
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Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game 3 info & odds
- When: Friday, May 10
- Tip-off: 9:30 p.m. ET
- Where: Target Center, Minneapolis
- How to watch: ESPN
- Favorite: Timberwolves -4.5 (-110 via BetMGM)
Nuggets-Timberwolves player props made Thursday at 2 p.m. ET.
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