NBA Best Bets & Expert Picks Today: Basketball Predictions for Monday, Nov. 9

I've gone 12-2 across my last 14 NBA bets, and I hope to stay in the black with my NBA best bets today.

I start with a player prop in an early game, with Lakers vs. Hawks tipping off at 7 p.m. ET, followed by a best bet in Grizzlies vs. Raptors, which tips off at 7:30 p.m. ET. In the late slate, I back a side in Pelicans vs. Warriors, with tipoff set for 10 p.m. ET (NBA TV).

NBA best bets: Player props & ATS picks today (Nov. 9)

See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds.

Picks submitted: Nov. 9 at 9:58 a.m. ET. Odds subject to change.

Total wagered: 3.88 units | Max profit: 3.5 units

Best NBA bet today

Grizzlies vs. Raptors prediction: Raptors -2.5 (-116)

The Raptors are dealing with some injuries - Kawhi Leonard is out, while Scottie Barnes and Immanuel Quickley are questionable - but the Grizzlies' 6-3 straight-up record is just too misleading. The Grizzlies have played the easiest strength of schedule, per Power Rankings Guru, so I'm not in a rush to upgrade Memphis anytime soon.

Memphis has lost three games in a row and fallen well below the market's expectations in each outing. I expect the Grizzlies to continue to disappoint moving forward.

Play to: -3.5 (-115)

More NBA picks & player props for Monday

Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.

Lakers vs. Hawks prediction: Nickeil Alexander-Walker Over 19.5 points (-115)

Say all the positive things that you want about the Lakers - Luka Doncic is the favorite in the NBA MVP odds, they have the best offense in the league, etc. - they're among the worst teams defensively in the NBA. The Lakers rank 21st in the league with a 114.1 defensive rating, and opposing guards have been able to take advantage.

Daniss Jenkins scored 31 points against the Lakers Sunday, while Damian Lillard scored 22 against them Friday. Nickeil Alexander-Walker leads the Hawks with a 26.3% usage rate this season, so he'll likely be the beneficiary of facing a weak Lakers defense.

Play to: Over 19.5 (-124) or Over 20.5 (+103)

Pelicans vs. Warriors prediction: Warriors -9.5 (+101)

At the time of publication, the Pelicans have yet to submit their injury report, so these odds are subject to change. However, it's hard not to like the Warriors in this spot. Golden State ranks sixth in the NBA with a 116.7 offensive rating, and the Pelicans may struggle to keep up with the Warriors on the second night of a back-to-back.

The Pelicans rank 23rd in the NBA with a 114.5 defensive rating and just allowed 139 points to the Clippers, who rank 21st in offensive rating. There's a good chance the Warriors will be leading by double digits after three quarters.

Play to: -9.5 (-106)

My betting record for NBA picks

All NBA picks have been tracked since Oct. 20.