Cavaliers vs. Knicks Prediction: NBA Picks & Odds for Wednesday, Nov. 11
A rematch of the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals takes place tonight, and my Cavaliers vs. Knicks prediction expects New York to continue dominating this head-to-head series.
My NBA picks back the Knicks as a 4.5-point betting favorite, with tipoff at Madison Square Garden in New York scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). The total is set at 223.5 (juiced to the Under).
Cavaliers vs. Knicks picks & odds
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds.
| Pick | Odds | Bet size (units) |
|---|---|---|
| Knicks -4.5 | -106 via Pinnacle | 1.06 units to profit 1 unit |
| James Harden Under 4.5 rebounds | -145 via Hard Rock Bet | 0.73 units to profit 0.5 units |
| Karl-Anthony Towns Over 12.5 rebounds | -106 via BetRivers | 0.53 units to profit 0.5 units |
Picks submitted: Nov. 11 at 12:04 p.m. ET. Odds subject to change.
Total wagered: 2.32 units | Profit if all picks win: 2 units
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Cavaliers vs. Knicks best bet
Knicks -4.5 (-106 via Pinnacle)
I hate stats with arbitrary beginning points. For example, the Knicks are 3-0 ATS in their last three games. Why are we only looking at the last three games? I bet they didn't cover four games ago. However, the following stat is not arbitrary.
The Knicks had a championship hangover, which is common, hence why it's a term, but since losing their first three games, they rank second in the NBA with a 15.3 net rating over the last two weeks. Meanwhile, the Cavaliers rank 13th with a 1.6 net rating in that span.
I believe the Knicks are returning to championship form, and the market is slightly underreacting.
Play to: -4.5 (-114)
Score prediction: Knicks 114, Cavaliers 108
Cavaliers vs. Knicks player props
James Harden Under 4.5 rebounds (-145 via Hard Rock Bet)
If you take anything away from this preview, it should be that one of these teams is the best at rebounding, and the other is bad.
James Harden's rebounding stats are misleading, despite him being an above-average rebounder in his prime. He averages the fourth-most rebounds on Cleveland at 4.8 per game; however, he ranks 12th out of 15 Cavaliers players with a 6.9% rebounding percentage.
Harden's rebounding stats are inflated due to luck, and he should come back to Earth against the Knicks, who rank first in the NBA with a 55.5% rebounding percentage.
Play to: Under 4.5 (-151) or Under 3.5 (+137)
Karl-Anthony Towns Over 12.5 rebounds (-106 via BetRivers)
Not only did Karl-Anthony Towns record 13 rebounds against the Cavaliers in their first meeting this season, but he has cleared this line in six of his 10 games.
He again faces a Cavaliers team that ranks 21st in the NBA with a 49% rebounding percentage, and I believe we should expect more of the same from Towns. While Jarrett Allen and Evan Mobley make up a longer-than-average frontcourt, neither is an elite rebounder, and Towns has a better than 51.46% chance of grabbing 13 or more boards.
Play to: Over 12.5 (-109)
Live Cavaliers vs. Knicks odds
See the latest odds movement and more on our Cavaliers vs. Knicks matchup page.
Latest Cavaliers vs. Knicks injuries
How to watch Cavaliers vs. Knicks
- Date: Wednesday, Nov. 11
- Tipoff: 7 p.m. ET
- Location: Madison Square Garden (New York)
- TV/Streaming: ESPN
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