Wings vs. Valkyries Prediction: Game 1 WNBA Playoffs First Round Odds, Picks (Sept. 27)
My Wings vs. Valkyries prediction expects this to be the most lopsided first-round matchup in the WNBA playoffs, with Sunday's tipoff from Chase Center in San Francisco set for 9 p.m. ET (USA Network, CNBC).
The Valkyries are a 7.5-point betting favorite in Game 1 and have a solid path as a WNBA championship odds contender. I expect them to set the tone in their first playoff win.
🏀 Wings vs. Valkyries prediction: WNBA picks
See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.
| Pick | Bet size |
|---|---|
| Valkyries -1.5 second-quarter spread (-128 via FanDuel) | 1 unit to win 0.78 units |
| Valkyries Over 39.5 first-half points (-114 via FanDuel) | 1 unit to win 0.87 units |
| Awak Kuier Under 16.5 points + rebounds + assists (-114 via FanDuel) | 1 unit to win 0.87 units |
Total wagered: 3 units | Max profit: +2.52 units
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🏆 Who will win Wings vs. Valkyries?
I predict the Valkyries will beat the Wings by eight points on Sunday. No team in the WNBA had more home wins than the Valkyries during the regular season. They went 17-5 with a +10.4 net rating and have created a real home-court advantage in their second season in the league. This seems like a good time to pick up their first playoff win.
Score prediction: Valkyries 82, Wings 74
💰 Wings vs. Valkyries prediction & best bet
Valkyries Over 39.5 first-half points (-114)
There are multiple ways to back a strong start by the Valkyries. I like FanDuel's -155 line for them to win the first half and the full game. I like their second-quarter spread of -1.5, considering they posted a +26.1 net rating in the second period all year.
But Golden State's first-half team total might be the best approach. For one, Golden State led the WNBA with a first-half net rating of +17.3, which improved to +21.4 at home.
The inexperienced Wings have struggled to get stops on the road this year. They finished 14th in road defensive rating this year, ahead of only the Toronto Tempo.
🔥 Best Wings vs. Valkyries player prop bet
Awak Kuier Under 16.5 points + rebounds + assists (-114)
This is a tough matchup for Wings forward Awak Kuier in her first playoff game since 2023. The Valkyries have a historic defense, leading the league with a 99.1 defensive rating in the regular season.
Golden State has the best interior defense in the league, holding opponents to a 38% clip.
Kuier never found any success in the three regular-season meetings. She failed to clear 10 PRA, averaging 3.3 points, 3.3 rebounds, and 0.3 assists. I see plenty of value on this Under at 15.5 or better.
🚀 Wings vs. Valkyries same-game parlay
There is no reason to make my Wings vs. Valkyries parlay too complicated. I'm expecting a convincing performance from Golden State on Sunday. It starts with the Valkyries setting the tone in the first half, but I also need them to limit Kuier's output yet again. FanDuel offers +249 odds on a correlated parlay.
💵 Wings vs. Valkyries SGP picks
- Valkyries ML (-290)
- Valkyries Over 39.5 first-half points (-114)
- Awak Kuier Under 16.5 points + rebounds + assists (-114)
Best odds: +249 via FanDuel (0.1 units to win 0.25 units)
📊 Live Wings vs. Valkyries odds
📺 How to watch Wings vs. Valkyries
- Date: Sunday, Sept. 27
- Tipoff: 9 p.m. ET
- Location: Chase Center (San Francisco)
- TV: USA Network
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