Valkyries vs. Sun Prediction, Odds & WNBA Best Bets Today, July 27

Can the Connecticut Sun (3-20) pull off the sizable upset when they play the Golden State Valkyries (11-12) this afternoon from Mohegan Sun Arena at 1 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network)? 

Our Valkyries vs. Sun prediction argues for backing the home underdogs, despite the former's dominant victory just over a month ago. 

That's because of the Sun's recent form and the Valkyries entering the contest without their best player. Golden State is the 5.5-point betting favorites at our best sports betting sites. 

🔮 Valkyries vs. Sun prediction: WNBA expert picks

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✅ Moneyline pick: Sun ML (+225 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐
✅ Against the spread pick: Sun +6.5 (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
✅ Over/Under pick: Under 156.5 (-110 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐

🆚 Who will win Valkyries vs. Sun?

✅ Moneyline pick: Sun will win (+225 via FanDuel)

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The value is on the Sun to prevail at home, as I project this game to come down to the wire. Connecticut has lost four in a row, but it has been more competitive lately, covering the spread four times in its past five matchups.

The Valkyries, who earned a hard-fought win over the Dallas Wings on Friday night, will have a quick turnaround after traveling across the country for this matinee matchup on Sunday. The upset potential is real.

💰 Valkyries vs. Sun best bet & WNBA predictions

Sun +6.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐

📊 Best odds: -110 via bet365 ($10 to win $9.09)

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For much of the season, Connecticut was flirting with the worst net rating in league history and getting blown out by everyone. Now, the Sun are starting to look like a competitive basketball team, as they’ve gotten healthier and their rookies are finding a rhythm.

Marina Mabrey returned on Thursday, playing 26 minutes in a loss to the Los Angeles Sparks. It marked her first game in over a month, but Connecticut has desperately missed her scoring punch and creation skills.

At the same time, Golden State lost its best player (Kayla Thornton) for the year earlier this week. The Valkyries managed to earn an 86-76 win in their first game without her, but they will miss their leading scorer in their quest to become the first expansion team to make the playoffs.

Between Thornton’s absence and Mabrey’s return, I’m not sure the spread adjusted enough, especially when you add in Golden State’s travel and Connecticut’s recent form. 

I’d take the spread at +6 or better as a four-star play.

👀 Best player prop for Valkyries vs. Sun

Tina Charles Over 6.5 rebounds ⭐⭐⭐⭐

📊 Best odds: +120 via bet365 ($10 to win $12)

Sun center Tina Charles has cleared this rebound line in five straight games, playing 33-plus minutes in every contest. She has notched four double-doubles over that span, making her +600 price tag appealing for those who want to get greedy.

But this plus-money price is a substantial value for someone playing as well as Charles right now.

🔢 Valkyries vs. Sun updated betting insights

• Each team is receiving 50% of bets
• The Valkyries opened as 6.5-point betting favorites at bet365. That line has since decreased to 5.5 points
• The total is set at 156, with 55% backing the Over

🏀 Valkyries vs. Sun odds today

Live updated WNBA odds from our best sports betting sites.

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How do WNBA betting odds work?

WNBA betting odds show the potential payout and implied probability of a bet. Favorites have minus odds (e.g., -120), while underdogs have plus odds (e.g., +150).

What does betting against the spread mean?

Betting against the spread in the WNBA means picking a team to win by a certain number of points (the spread) or to lose by fewer than that number.

What is moneyline betting?

Moneyline betting is picking which WNBA team will win the game outright, with no point spread involved. Odds show how much you win based on your bet.

💵 Best WNBA betting sites

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