Sun vs. Sparks Prediction: WNBA Picks & Best Bets for Tonight (Aug. 22)
📡 SBR Edge: Sparks Fail to Cover 4th in a Row
My Sun vs. Sparks prediction includes Sun +4.5 (-104) and Kennedy Burke Over 9.5 points (-107). L.A. has failed to cover in three straight games, while Burke has led Sun starters in scoring in each of her last two games.
🏀 Sun vs. Sparks prediction: WNBA picks
See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.
| 💰 Pick | ⚖️ Units | 🧠 Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Sun +4.5 (-104 via FanDuel) | 2.08u → 2u | The Sparks have failed to cover 3 straight games. |
| Over 169.5 (-110 via DraftKings) | 0.55u → 0.5u | The Sparks have allowed 83+ points in 30 of their 36 games. |
| Kennedy Burke Over 9.5 points (-107 via DraftKings) | 1.61u → 1.5u | Burke has led Sun starters in shot attempts in back-to-back games. |
Total wagered: 4.24 units | Max profit: 4 units
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🏆 Who will win Sun vs. Sparks?
I like the Sparks to beat the Sun by one point today, meaning there's value on the Sun's spread at +4.5 (-104). Both teams are eliminated from playoff contention in the WNBA championship odds, but it makes sense that the Sparks are favored since they're at home. However, Los Angeles just hasn't been competitive lately, which I'll break down below in my best bet.
Score prediction: Sparks 86, Sun 85
💰 Sun vs. Sparks prediction & best bet
Sun +4.5 (-104)
Connecticut just beat L.A. Tuesday in an 85-77 final in Boston. And it's not like it was a lucky win. Connecticut had a 50%+ win probability, per ESPN Analytics, since 8:55 remaining in the first quarter.
While that one game isn't the end-all-be-all for this pick, it speaks to just how uncompetitive L.A. has been recently. It has failed to cover in each of its last three games, allowing 85 or more points twice in that span. Don't expect L.A. to turn things around today.
Sun +4.5 (-104) is the best line available among the top sports betting sites.
🔥 Best Sun vs. Sparks player prop bet
Kennedy Burke Over 9.5 points (-107)
I'm somewhat surprised that Burke's line is this low. She's averaging 11.8 points per game (median: 12.5 points) across six games in August and scored 17 points against the Sparks in their last meeting. What's more important, though, is that she's led Sun starters in field-goal attempts in consecutive games.
With her increased role in the offense lately - and her success against L.A. on Tuesday - I believe this line should be priced higher at fair odds. Burke Over 9.5 points (-107) at DraftKings is the best line available among the top sports betting apps.
🏀 WNBA player props today
Looking for more? Our Shane Thurston features Sabrina Ionescu in his Fever vs. Liberty prediction.
🚀 Sun vs. Sparks same-game parlay
Parlaying these three bets at FanDuel pays +384.
💵 Sun vs. Sparks SGP picks
- Sun +4.5
- Over 169.5
- Kennedy Burke Over 9.5 points
Odds: +384 via FanDuel
📊 Live Sun vs. Sparks odds
📺 How to watch Sun vs. Sparks
- Date: Saturday, Aug. 22
- Tipoff: 9 p.m. ET
- Location: Crypto.com Arena (Los Angeles)
- TV: Prime Video
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