Lynx vs. Liberty Prediction: Game 2 WNBA Playoffs First Round Odds, Picks (Sept. 29)

My Lynx vs. Liberty prediction breaks down the best bets I'm backing for the WNBA tonight as the Liberty look to move to 2-0.
New York Liberty guard Sabrina Ionescu dribbles as we make our best Lynx vs. Liberty prediction for Game 2
Pictured: New York Liberty guard Sabrina Ionescu dribbles as we make our best Lynx vs. Liberty prediction for Game 2. Photo by Jesse Johnson-Imagn Images
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My Lynx vs. Liberty prediction favors Minnesota's chances of forcing a Game 3 when the two teams meet at 8:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn, N.Y., airing on USA Network.

Despite losing Game 1, Minnesota is a 3.5-point betting favorite in Game 2 and remains a co-favorite in the WNBA championship odds. I like the idea of targeting a fast start for the Lynx.


🏀 Lynx vs. Liberty prediction: WNBA picks

See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.

Pick Bet size (units)
Lynx first-half spread -1.5 (-105 via BetMGM) 1u to profit 0.95u
Lynx first-quarter spread -0.5 (-115 via FanDuel) 1u to profit 0.87u
Sabrina Ionescu Under 25.5 points + rebounds + assists (-120 via DraftKings) 1u to profit 0.83u

Total wagered: 3 units | Max profit: 2.65 units

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🏆 Who will win Lynx vs. Liberty?

I predict the Lynx will defeat the Liberty by five points on Tuesday. As strange as it might seem, Minnesota actually performed better on the road during the regular season. No team has more road wins than the Lynx, who ranked second with a +8.5 net rating away from home. This should be a bounce-back spot for Minnesota.

Score prediction: Lynx 89, Liberty 84


💰 Lynx vs. Liberty prediction & best bet

Lynx -1.5 first-half spread (-105)

The Lynx are now 3.5-point favorites on the road in Game 2 after the spread opened at 1.5. Rather than be late to chase the steam, I'm backing Minnesota's first-half spread. The Lynx need a stronger start to take care of business in Game 2.

Fortunately for the Lynx, they weren't afraid of any environment during the regular season. They ranked third in the WNBA with a +7.6 net rating in the first half of road contests.

Don't be surprised if the Lynx control this one from start to finish.


🔥 Best Lynx vs. Liberty player prop bet

Sabrina Ionescu Under 25.5 points + rebounds + assists (-120)

Sabrina Ionescu continued her recent struggles in Sunday's Game 1. She finished with 13 points on 14 shots, recording six assists and zero rebounds. It marked the seventh time in her past eight games that Ionescu has failed to clear this combo line.

The Liberty won't be able to make a deep run unless Ionescu starts to perform better, but I'll bet against that happening on Tuesday in a game I expect the Lynx to win. Ionescu failed to clear this combo line nine times in 15 losses during the regular season.

It also doesn't hurt that the Lynx rank third in the league in defending pick-and-roll ball-handlers, per Props Madness.


🚀 Lynx vs. Liberty same-game parlay

This is a spot to back the Lynx to control things from start to finish. For my Lynx vs. Liberty parlay, I'm comfortable combining Minnesota's first-half spread and full-game moneyline. I also think fading Ionescu's recent form makes sense in an extremely correlated parlay at DraftKings.

💵 Lynx vs. Liberty SGP picks

  • Lynx ML (-155)
  • Lynx -1.5 first-half spread (-120)
  • Sabrina Ionescu Under 25.5 PRA (-120)

Best odds: +222 via DraftKings (0.1u -> 0.22u)


📊 Live Lynx vs. Liberty odds


📺 How to watch Lynx vs. Liberty

  • Date: Tuesday, Sept. 29
  • Tipoff: 8:30 p.m. ET
  • Location: Barclays Center (Brooklyn, N.Y.)
  • TV: USA Network