Liberty vs. Valkyries Prediction: WNBA Picks for Sunday, June 28
The Golden State Valkyries host a New York Liberty team desperate for a win tonight at 7 p.m. ET (ESPN, Disney+) from Chase Center in San Francisco.
Golden State is a 1.5-point betting favorite at home, and my Liberty vs. Valkyries prediction is backing Gabby Williams to lead her team to a victory.
🏀 Liberty vs. Valkyries prediction: WNBA picks
See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.
| 💰 Pick | ⚖️ Bet size (units) | 🧠 Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Valkyries ML (-124 via FanDuel) | 1u → 0.81u | Golden State has covered in four of its last six |
| Under 163.5 (-110 via FanDuel) | 1u → 0.91u | The Valkyries have hit the Under in six of their last seven |
| Gabby Williams Over 15.5 points (-130 via FanDuel) | 1u → 0.77u | Williams leads the Valkyries in PPG (16.3) |
Total wagered: 3 units | Max profit: 2.49 units
📃 Affiliate disclosure
Sportsbook Review may receive a commission if you sign up through our links. Not intended for use in MA. Bonuses not applicable in Ontario. 21+ only. (Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
🏆 Who will win Liberty vs. Valkyries?
The last time these two teams played, New York was at home and lost by 17 points. While I don't expect Golden State to win by nearly the same margin this time around, the Valkyries' pace of play and scrappy defense should help them win a dogfight at home against a contender. I'm projecting Golden State to win by three.
Score prediction: Valkyries 83, Liberty 80
💰 Liberty vs. Valkyries prediction & best bet
Valkyries ML (-124)
The Liberty have been tough to gauge in Chris DeMarco's first season as bench boss. They're one of the top contenders, but they've also dropped three of their last four games and have slipped to fifth in the W in offensive rating (110.1).
The Valkyries are equipped to stop Breanna Stewart and Co. once again behind a dominant defense. Golden State is No. 2 in defensive rating (102.3) and allows the third-lowest effective field-goal percentage in the league (48.8).
With an offense that's the slowest in the league (76.0 pace rating), the Valkyries can dictate the pace of the game.
🔥 Best Liberty vs. Valkyries player prop bet
Gabby Williams Over 15.5 points (-130)
Although Golden State takes a defense-first approach, the Valkyries are a legit contender in their second season thanks to the addition of Williams on the offensive end. The All-Star leads the team in PPG (16.3) and field-goal attempts (13.3), with her volume helping her go Over 15.5 points in seven of her last nine games.
Williams is averaging 19.5 PPG over that stretch and has jumped up to fifth in the league in usage rate (28.6%).
Against a Liberty defense that ranks outside the top five in both 2-pointers allowed (22.7) and 3-pointers allowed per game (8.5), Williams should have the opportunity to keep up her hot play.
🚀 Liberty vs. Valkyries same-game parlay
If Golden State is going to beat New York again, it needs to keep the pace of this game slow offensively, so that its defense is well-rested. If its defense comes to play, and Williams continues to carry the offense, the Valkyries will be in good shape at home.
💵 Liberty vs. Valkyries SGP picks
- Valkyries ML (-124)
- Under 163.5 (-110)
- Gabby Williams Over 15.5 points (-130)
Best odds: +438 via FanDuel (0.2u -> 0.88u)
💵 My betting record for WNBA picks
All WNBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since May 8.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 47-57 | +0.40 units ✅ | 0.5% ✅ |
| Game picks (spread/ML | 16-10 | +4.29 units ✅ | 16.5% ✅ |
| Over/Under picks | 13-13 | -1.07 units ❌ | -4.1% ❌ |
| Player props | 14-14 | -1.55 units ❌ | -5.5% ❌ |
| Parlays | 4-20 | -1.27 units ❌ | -23.1% ❌ |
📊 Live Liberty vs. Valkyries odds
📺 How to watch Liberty vs. Valkyries
- Date: Sunday, June 28
- Tipoff: 7 p.m. ET
- Location: Chase Center (San Francisco)
- TV: ESPN
- Streaming: Disney+
Related Articles
