Aces vs. Fever Prediction: Game 2 WNBA Playoffs First Round Odds, Picks (Sept. 29)
My Aces vs. Fever prediction likes a bounce-back performance from Indiana in Game 2 of their Round 1 series at 6:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis on Prime Video.
The Aces are now leading the WNBA championship odds after their convincing effort in Game 1, but the Fever could force a Game 3 with a better showing at home.
🏀 Aces vs. Fever prediction: WNBA picks
See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.
| Pick | Bet size (units) |
|---|---|
| Fever -1.5 (+100 via DraftKings) | 1u to win 1u |
| Fever to win the WNBA championship (+2500 via DraftKings) | 0.1u to win 2.5u |
| Kelsey Mitchell Over 24.5 points (-125 via FanDuel) | 1u to win 0.8u |
Total wagered: 2.1 units | Max profit: 4.3 units
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🏆 Who will win Aces vs. Fever?
I predict the Fever will beat the Aces by five points on Tuesday. Indiana is simply a better team at home, where it went 15-7 with a +10 net rating in the regular season. Indiana led the league in offensive rating at home, improving its scoring average by more than six points per game.
Score prediction: Fever 95, Aces 90
💰 Aces vs. Fever prediction & best bet
Fever -1.5 (+100)
If you forgot, Caitlin Clark is why the Round 1 format changed last year. The underdog used to host a Game 3 only if it was needed, but the league changed the rule after the Fever were swept by the Connecticut Sun in Clark's first playoff series.
Aces coach Becky Hammon recently voiced her displeasure for the new format, as it gives the underdog an advantage.
As a result, it makes too much sense to back the Fever, who have typically performed much better at home. They are favorites for a reason. I'm willing to lay the points and sprinkle a bit on the Fever's championship odds, which will improve drastically with a win.
🔥 Best Aces vs. Fever player prop bet
Kelsey Mitchell Over 24.5 points (-125)
Indiana guard Kelsey Mitchell was held to 12 points in Game 1, but it's safe to assume things will be different on Tuesday. Mitchell got the better of the Aces in the regular season, scoring at least 27 points in all three head-to-head meetings.
Las Vegas simply doesn't have the defensive personnel to match Mitchell's speed. Even in Sunday's loss, Mitchell got 16 shots. The Aces are 13th in the league in defending pick-and-roll ball-handlers, per Props Madness, which is how Mitchell earns 19% of her scoring production.
Mitchell averaged 25 points per game in Indiana's wins this season, clearing this line 57.1% of the time. She's scored at least 25 points in 15 of the Fever's previous 20 victories.
🚀 Aces vs. Fever same-game parlay
As confident as I was in an Aces' win on Sunday, I might have more faith in the Fever in this spot. Their offensive attack simply performs better at home, so I think the Fever's stars will deliver in Game 2. I've backed Mitchell to score 25-plus points and Clark to record eight-plus assists in an Indiana win on FanDuel.
💵 Aces vs. Fever SGP picks
- Fever 1.5 (-104)
- Kelsey Mitchell Over 24.5 points (-125)
- Caitlin Clark eight-plus assists (-275)
Best odds: +248 via FanDuel (0.1u -> 0.25u)
📊 Live Aces vs. Fever odds
📺 How to watch Aces vs. Fever
- Date: Tuesday, Sept. 29
- Tipoff: 6:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse (Indianapolis)
- Streaming: Prime Video
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