Katie Taylor vs. Amanda Serrano Odds & Betting Lines: Serrano Favored in Trilogy Bout

Last Updated: July 9, 2025 11:44 AM EDT • 11 minute read X Social Google News Link

The Taylor vs. Serrano odds and betting lines suggest that we may see a different winner in the trilogy rematch. Katie Taylor (24-1) and Amanda Serrano (47-3-1) face off on Friday at Madison Square Garden in New York, live on Netflix, with Serrano listed as the -161 betting favorite.
Taylor opened as the betting favorite, but Serrano has surged ahead prior to Friday night's fight. The best boxing betting sites have pulled back a bit, but you can still find Serrano in the -160 range with the comeback on Taylor coming in around +140. What's our best play, though? Our best Taylor vs. Serrano prediction will give you more insight.
The main card action on Netflix gets underway at 8 p.m. ET, with the walkouts for Taylor vs. Serrano set for 11 p.m. ET.
📊 Katie Taylor vs. Amanda Serrano odds & betting lines
Here are the latest Katie Taylor vs. Amanda Serrano odds via BetMGM for this 10-round super lightweight bout on July 11.
Fighter | Odds (BetMGM) | Profit ($10 bet) |
---|---|---|
Amanda Serrano | -161 | $6.20 |
Katie Taylor | +140 | $14 |
Draw | +1200 | $120 |
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Serrano favorite to beat Taylor in trilogy bout

According to the latest fight odds, Serrano owns a 61.73% chance of avenging her previous two losses to Taylor after she was on the wrong end of a controversial decision when they last met at AT&T Stadium in November.
Taylor, who featured close to -150 odds just a few months ago, is catching a 41.67% chance to sweep Serrano in the first trilogy fight in the history of women's boxing, which also headlines the first-ever all-female fight card at Madison Square Garden.
BetMGM is also offering a draw at +1200 odds, which implies a 7.69% probability and would return $120 on a winning $10 wager.
🆚 Katie Taylor vs. Amanda Serrano odds: Method of victory
In addition to betting on the fight result, FanDuel is also offering various prop bet markets on Taylor vs. Serrano - including the winning method of victory, round-by-round betting, and whether the fight will go the distance.
Method of victory | Odds (FanDuel) | Profit ($10 bet) |
---|---|---|
Amanda Serrano points or decision | -105 | $9.52 |
Amanda Serrano KO/TKO | +600 | $60 |
Katie Taylor points or decision | +145 | $14.50 |
Katie Taylor KO/TKO | +1800 | $180 |
Draw | +1100 | $110 |
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🔢 Katie Taylor vs. Amanda Serrano odds: Round-by-round betting
You can also bet on the exact outcome for this fight based on the round it ends. The market states that the fight must end in the selected round for the wager to be a winner.
Fighter & round | Odds (FanDuel) | Profit ($10 bet) |
---|---|---|
Amanda Serrano to win the fight in Round 1 | +10000 | $1000 |
Amanda Serrano to win the fight in Round 2 | +10000 | $1000 |
Amanda Serrano to win the fight in Round 3 | +6500 | $650 |
Amanda Serrano to win the fight in Round 4 | +7000 | $700 |
Amanda Serrano to win the fight in Round 5 | +6000 | $600 |
Amanda Serrano to win the fight in Round 6 | +4500 | $450 |
Amanda Serrano to win the fight in Round 7 | +4100 | $410 |
Amanda Serrano to win the fight in Round 8 | +4300 | $430 |
Amanda Serrano to win the fight in Round 9 | +3800 | $380 |
Amanda Serrano to win the fight in Round 10 | +4400 | $440 |
Draw | +1300 | $130 |
Katie Taylor to win the fight in Round 1 | +10000 | $1000 |
Katie Taylor to win the fight in Round 2 | +10000 | $1000 |
Katie Taylor to win the fight in Round 3 | +10000 | $1000 |
Katie Taylor to win the fight in Round 4 | +10000 | $1000 |
Katie Taylor to win the fight in Round 5 | +10000 | $1000 |
Katie Taylor to win the fight in Round 6 | +10000 | $1000 |
Katie Taylor to win the fight in Round 7 | +10000 | $1000 |
Katie Taylor to win the fight in Round 8 | +9500 | $950 |
Katie Taylor to win the fight in Round 9 | +10000 | $1000 |
Katie Taylor to win the fight in Round 10 | +10000 | $1000 |
⌛ Katie Taylor vs. Amanda Serrano odds: Will the fight go the distance?
Each of the first two fights between Taylor and Serrano were decided by the judges, and bet365 is offering the best odds on another full 10-round bout between these two in the trilogy fight on July 11.
Will fight go the distance? | Odds (bet365) | Profit ($10 bet) |
---|---|---|
Yes | -700 | $1.43 |
No | +450 | $45 |
Those -700 odds suggest an 87.5% chance that the third fight between these two fighters will last all 20 minutes, which was the case in each of the first two matches. The +450 odds of a shortened bout carries an implied probability of just 18.18% but would turn a $10 wager into a $45 profit if it happens.
The length of this fight has already been a point of contention between Taylor and Serrano, with the latter suggesting that they had agreed on 12 rounds of three minutes each - the same for the men's championship. Taylor says she didn't agree to anything other than 10 rounds of two minutes, which is the standard for women's boxing.
What round will the fight end?
You can also bet on which round the fight will end in, regardless of which boxer emerges victorious. While this market is also available at DraftKings, the odds are much more favorable at bet365.
Round | Odds | Profit ($10 bet) |
---|---|---|
Round 1 | +5000 | $500 |
Round 2 | +4000 | $400 |
Round 3 | +3300 | $330 |
Round 4 | +2800 | $280 |
Round 5 | +2500 | $250 |
Round 6 | +2200 | $220 |
Round 7 | +2200 | $220 |
Round 8 | +2200 | $220 |
Round 9 | +2500 | $250 |
Round 10 | +2800 | $280 |
To go the distance | -700 | $1.43 |
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👊 Katie Taylor vs. Amanda Serrano odds: Knockdowns
While we can expect the prop bet market to open up as we get closer to the fight, DraftKings is already offering odds on some popular props, including how many knockdowns we'll see in the third Taylor vs. Serrano fight.
Knockdowns | Odds (DraftKings) | Profit ($10 bet) |
---|---|---|
Over 1.5 | +500 | $50 |
Under 1.5 | -1000 | $1 |
You can also bet on which fighter will be knocked down - including whether we'll see one, both, or neither of them hit the mat during their third meeting - or even whether either fighter will get knocked down and then win.
Market | Yes | No |
---|---|---|
Either fighter to be knocked down | +200 | -290 |
Both fighters to be knocked down | +2000 | N/A |
Amanda Serrano to be knocked down | +700 | -2000 |
Amanda Serrano to be knocked down and win | +2500 | N/A |
Amanda Serrano to win and Over 1.5 knockdowns | +850 | N/A |
Amanda Serrano to win and Under 1.5 knockdowns | -140 | N/A |
Katie Taylor to be knocked down | +275 | -425 |
Katie Taylor to be knocked down and win | +2500 | N/A |
Katie Taylor to win and Over 1.5 knockdowns | +1400 | N/A |
Katie Taylor to win and Under 1.5 knockdowns | +160 | N/A |
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🥊 Katie Taylor vs. Amanda Serrano tale of the tape
Here's a look at how Katie Taylor and Amanda Serrano match up ahead of their July 11 super lightweight bout at Madison Square Garden.
Katie Taylor | Amanda Serrano | |
---|---|---|
38 | Age | 36 |
24-1, 6 KOs | Record | 47-3-1, 31 KOs |
5-foot-5 | Height | 5-foot-5 |
66.1 inches | Reach | 65.4 inches |
Orthodox (R) | Stance | Southpaw (L) |
After battling each other in two of the best matches in the history of women's boxing, Taylor and Serrano both rank among the top pound-for-pound fighters in the world ahead of their trilogy bout on July 11.
Taylor enters this bout as the undisputed super lightweight champion after taking down Serrano in November - a match that drew plenty of criticism after all three judges scored the fight as a 95-94 win for Taylor, who landed fewer punches than Serrano but still defended her crown.
Those two previous losses are among the only blemishes on Serrano's resume, which includes 31 knockouts in 51 fights, while Taylor has lost just once in 25 tries despite entering this fight as the underdog to beat Serrano a third time.

📺 Katie Taylor vs. Amanda Serrano fight info
- When: Friday, July 11
- Time: Ring walks around 11 p.m. ET
- Where: Madison Square Garden (New York City)
- How to watch: Netflix
- Favorite: Amanda Serrano (-161; bet $10 to win $6.21)
Boxing fans have many more upcoming bouts to look forward to, and we break down the Manny Pacquiao vs. Mario Barrios odds for July 19, along with the Oleksandr Usyk vs. Daniel Dubois odds for the same night.
The biggest boxing match of the year is covered in the Canelo Alvarez vs. Terence Crawford odds for Sept. 13 in Las Vegas.
Taylor vs. Serrano 3 fight card & favorites
Here is the full fight card for Friday's Taylor vs. Serrano 3 fight card, with odds via DraftKings:
- Katie Taylor vs. Amanda Serrano (-175) - Super Lightweight title
- Alycia Baumgardner (-2500) vs. Jennifer Miranda - Super Featherweight title
- Ellie Scotney (-1000) vs. Yamileth Mercado - Super Bantamweight title
- Tammara Thibeault (-1800) vs. Mary Casamassa
- Savannah Marshall (-650) vs. Shadasia Green - Super Middleweight title
- Chantelle Cameron (-3000) vs. Jessica Camara - Super Lightweight title
- Ramla Ali (-475) vs. Lila Furtado
- Shurretta Metcalf vs. Cherneka Johnson (-400) - Bantamweight title
âť“ Katie Taylor vs. Amanda Serrano FAQs
Who is the favorite for Taylor vs. Serrano?
Amanda Serrano (-161) is the favorite to beat Katie Taylor (+150). Those odds represent a 61.69% chance that Serrano wins the trilogy rematch on July 11.
How many rounds will Taylor vs. Serrano be?
Taylor vs. Serrano will be fought over 10 rounds of two minutes each.
What's the weight class for Taylor vs. Serrano?
Taylor vs. Serrano will be fought as a super lightweight bout.
When is the Taylor vs. Serrano fight?
Taylor vs. Serrano will take place on Friday, July 11. The main card will begin at 8 p.m. ET. Taylor and Serrano will begin their ring walks around 11 p.m. ET.
Where is the Taylor vs. Serrano fight?
Taylor vs. Serrano will take place at Madison Square Garden in New York City.
How to watch Taylor vs. Serrano fight
Taylor vs. Serrano will be streamed live on Netflix.
đź’° How to bet on boxing
1. Moneyline bets (straight up winner)
The most straightforward bet in boxing is a moneyline bet, which is just picking who you think will win the fight. In this type of bet, the odds will indicate which fighter is the favorite and which one is the underdog. The favorite will have negative odds (like -150), meaning you have to bet more to win a smaller amount, while the underdog will have positive odds (like +200), meaning you can win more relative to your bet if they pull off an upset.
- Example: Let’s say Fighter A is listed at -150, and Fighter B is listed at +200. If you bet $150 on Fighter A and they win, you’d make $100. But if you bet $100 on Fighter B and they win, you’d make $200.
2. Over/Under (total rounds)
Another popular bet is the over/under on the number of rounds in the fight. Oddsmakers will set a line, typically between 7 and 10 rounds, and you’ll bet whether the fight will last more or fewer rounds than that. If you think a fight will end quickly, you’d bet the under, and if you think it’ll be a back-and-forth slugfest, you’d bet the over.
- Example: If the Over/Under is set at 8.5 rounds, and you bet the Over, the fight must last 9 rounds or longer for your bet to win. If it’s stopped before 9 rounds, the Under wins.
3. Method of victory
With this bet, you’re wagering on how the fight will end, not just who will win. There are a few typical outcomes you can bet on: a KO/TKO, decision (the fight goes the distance and is decided by the judges), or a draw.
- Example: You could bet on Fighter A to win by knockout at +300, meaning a $100 bet would win $300 if Fighter A knocks out their opponent. Or, if you think the fight will go the distance and be decided by judges' scorecards, you could bet on Fighter A to win by decision at +150.
4. Round betting
For a more precise bet, you can wager on which round the fight will end in. This bet is a little trickier but can offer a higher payout because you're predicting a more specific outcome. If you’re confident in a fighter's ability to end the fight early or think they’ll tire out and win later, this can be a fun way to bet.
- Example: You could bet that Fighter A wins in round 3 at odds of +800. If the fight ends in round 3, you’ll win your bet and collect the higher payout.
5. Parlay betting
If you’re feeling confident in multiple outcomes, you can combine several boxing bets into a parlay. A parlay lets you bet on multiple fighters, methods of victory, or even fights on the same card. All your selections must win for you to cash in, but the potential payout increases with each additional leg in the parlay.
- Example: You could parlay Fighter A to win with Fighter B to win by knockout. If both bets hit, you’ll get a bigger payout than if you had placed each bet individually.
6. Prop bets
Boxing also offers a variety of prop bets, which are unique and sometimes very specific to the fight. These bets can cover anything from how many punches a fighter will throw to whether the fight will end in a particular round or whether there will be a knockdown.
- Example: A prop bet might be “Will Fighter A score a knockdown in round 2?” at odds of +500. If Fighter A does score a knockdown in that round, you’ll win the bet.
7. Live betting
Once the fight begins, many sportsbooks offer live betting. This allows you to place bets on the fight as it progresses, adjusting your wagers based on what’s happening in real time. For example, if a fighter you bet on is getting knocked around early but you still think they have a chance to turn it around, you can place a bet on them at more favorable odds as the fight unfolds.
đź’µ Best boxing betting sites
Want to bet on Katie Taylor vs. Amanda Serrano? Here are the best sports betting sites and best sportsbook promos for betting on boxing:
- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
- Hard Rock Bet Promo Code | Read our Hard Rock Bet Review
(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.
Not intended for use in MA.
Each betting site featured on SBR has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.

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