2025 NASCAR AI Picks for Tonight's Coca-Cola 600: ChatGPT's Full Predictions at Charlotte

We turn to ChatGPT - which has nailed two straight winners - to predict the full finishing order of tonight's 600-mile gauntlet in NASCAR's hometown.
NASCAR AI Predictions for Coca-Cola 600 Tonight: ChatGPT's Picks & Finishing Order
Pictured: William Byron (17) would lead much of the early going during the Bet MGM 300 at Charlotte Motor Speedway. Photo by Jim Dedmon via Imagn Images.

After predicting two straight winners and four of the last seven Cup Series races, our NASCAR AI predictions look to add to that resume at tonight's Coca-Cola 600 from Charlotte Motor Speedway at 6 p.m. ET (Prime Video).

We asked ChatGPT for its NASCAR at Charlotte predictions based on historical data, betting odds, and statistical trends - including its pick to win, best prop bet, favorite long shot, and results for every driver for tonight's 40-car field.

Along with our 2025 Coca-Cola 600 predictions at Charlotte, here are our AI-powered NASCAR best bets and full AI-simulated finishing order as part of our Memorial Day weekend racing guide.

🤖 NASCAR AI picks & predictions for Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte

We've previously used ChatGPT to predict its March Madness bracketSuper Bowl picks, and Kentucky Derby winner, and we're turning to OpenAI's popular chatbot once again to predict the winner of today's Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte Motor Speedway.

We trained ChatGPT's most advanced AI model to study the latest NASCAR odds, betting history, and relevant trends before predicting today's winner:

🏆 ChatGPT's pick to win: Kyle Larson (+450)

ChatGPT predicts Kyle Larson will win the Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte. His best odds to win the race are +450 via bet365, which would turn a winning $10 bet into a $45 profit with an implied win probability of 18.18%.

(Those odds have also been currently boosted to +500 as one of our best sportsbook promos for today's race. We also broke down the best Kyle Larson double odds for him to win the Indy 500 and Coca-Cola 600.)

✅ Strong starting position: Larson qualified second for the Coca-Cola 600, narrowly missing the pole by just 0.02 seconds to Chase Briscoe. Starting on the front row provides him with a significant advantage in track position at the outset of this grueling 600-mile race.

✅ Track success: Larson has a proven track record at Charlotte Motor Speedway, including a dominant victory in the 2021 Coca-Cola 600. His ability to manage long races and adapt to changing track conditions makes him a formidable contender in endurance events like this.

✅ Current form: In the 2025 season, Larson has already secured three Cup Series victories, including a recent win at Kansas. His consistent performance and momentum coming into this race position him as a top favorite.

🤖 AI confidence level: ⭐⭐⭐ (20% win probability)

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💰 ChatGPT's best prop bet: William Byron to finish top 3 (+170)

ChatGPT predicts William Byron will finish in the top three as its best NASCAR prop bet for Charlotte. His best odds to score a top-three finish are +170 via BetMGM, which would turn a winning $10 bet into a $17 profit with an implied win probability of 37.04%.

✅ Strong track record at Charlotte: Byron has consistently performed well at Charlotte Motor Speedway, securing second place in 2023 and third in 2024. His familiarity and success on this track make him a strong contender for a top-three finish.

✅ Recent performance: In the 2025 season, Byron has demonstrated solid form, including a win at the Daytona 500 and multiple top-five finishes. His momentum coming into the Coca-Cola 600 positions him favorably.

✅ Qualifying position: Byron qualified third for the race, providing him with an advantageous starting position to contend for a top spot early on.

🤖 AI confidence level: ⭐⭐⭐ (40% chance of top-5 finish)

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🎯 ChatGPT's best long shot: Joey Logano (+2000)

ChatGPT predicts Joey Logano to win the Coca-Cola 600 as its best long shot at Charlotte. His best odds to win the race are +2000 via BetMGM, which would turn a winning $10 bet into a $200 profit with an implied win probability of 4.76%.

✅ Strong track record at Charlotte: Logano has demonstrated consistent performance at Charlotte Motor Speedway, including a victory in the 2015 Bank of America 500 and a runner-up finish in the 2019 Coca-Cola 600. His experience and past success at this track make him a formidable contender.

✅ Recent momentum: In the 2025 season, Logano secured his first win earlier this month in Fort Worth and achieved a top-10 finish at Kansas, another 1.5-mile oval. This indicates that his team has dialed in the speedway setup, positioning him well for Charlotte.

✅ Milestone motivation: Celebrating his 35th birthday on Saturday, Logano may be particularly motivated to add a Coca-Cola 600 victory to his impressive resume, which includes three NASCAR Cup Series championships and 37 Cup wins.

🤖 AI confidence level: ⭐⭐⭐ (5% win probability)

🤖 NASCAR AI projections today

Here is our predicted Coca-Cola 600 finishing order and results for every driver based on AI projections. While ChatGPT is a large language model and not specifically designed for predicting sporting events, it can spot trends or insights that NASCAR bettors might overlook.

🏁 Projected finish order at Charlotte

  1. Kyle Larson (No. 5, Hendrick Motorsports) 🥇
  2. William Byron (No. 24, Hendrick Motorsports) 🥈
  3. Christopher Bell (No. 20, Joe Gibbs Racing) 🥉
  4. Tyler Reddick (No. 45, 23XI Racing)
  5. Joey Logano (No. 22, Team Penske)
  6. Ryan Blaney (No. 12, Team Penske)
  7. Chase Elliott (No. 9, Hendrick Motorsports)
  8. Denny Hamlin (No. 11, Joe Gibbs Racing)
  9. Alex Bowman (No. 48, Hendrick Motorsports)
  10. Chris Buescher (No. 17, RFK Racing)
  11. Ty Gibbs (No. 54, Joe Gibbs Racing)
  12. Chase Briscoe (No. 19, Joe Gibbs Racing)
  13. Kyle Busch (No. 8, Richard Childress Racing)
  14. Michael McDowell (No. 71, Spire Motorsports)
  15. John Hunter Nemechek (No. 42, Legacy Motor Club)
  16. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. (No. 47, Hyak Motorsports)
  17. Josh Berry (No. 21, Wood Brothers Racing)
  18. Austin Cindric (No. 2, Team Penske)
  19. Noah Gragson (No. 4, Front Row Motorsports)
  20. Bubba Wallace (No. 23, 23XI Racing)
  21. Justin Haley (No. 7, Spire Motorsports)
  22. Daniel Suarez (No. 99, Trackhouse Racing)
  23. Erik Jones (No. 43, Legacy Motor Club)
  24. Zane Smith (No. 38, Front Row Motorsports)
  25. AJ Allmendinger (No. 16, Kaulig Racing)
  26. Ryan Preece (No. 60, RFK Racing)
  27. Austin Dillon (No. 3, Richard Childress Racing)
  28. Ross Chastain (No. 1, Trackhouse Racing)
  29. Brad Keselowski (No. 6, RFK Racing)
  30. Carson Hocevar (No. 77, Spire Motorsports)
  31. Jimmie Johnson (No. 84, Legacy Motor Club)
  32. Ty Dillon (No. 10, Kaulig Racing)
  33. Todd Gilliland (No. 34, Front Row Motorsports)
  34. Shane van Gisbergen (No. 88, Trackhouse Racing)
  35. Connor Zilisch (No. 87, Trackhouse Racing)
  36. Riley Herbst (No. 35, 23XI Racing)
  37. Cole Custer (No. 41, Haas Factory Team)
  38. Derek Kraus (No. 44, NY Racing Team)
  39. Cody Ware (No. 51, Rick Ware Racing)
  40. Josh Bilicki (No. 66, Garage 66)

💰 NASCAR best bets for Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte

Bet Driver Odds Implied win probability
🏆 Pick to win Kyle Larson +450 18.18%
💰 Best prop bet William Byron (top-3) +170 37.04%
🎯 Best long shot Joey Logano +2000 4.76%

💵 Best NASCAR betting sites

Want to bet on the Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte Motor Speedway? Check out the best sports betting sites for the race this weekend:

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