F1 Championship Odds 2025: Verstappen, Norris Co-Favorites
The 2024 F1 season featured an element that felt unexpected: Real competition.
Max Verstappen seemed to be returning to his usual dominant form early while taking five of the first seven races and piling up a significant advantage in the drivers' standings.
But then the struggles for Red Bull began, with Lando Norris and his jet-fueled McLaren taking off around the same time. Norris slowly chipped away at Verstappen's lead while consistently lurking around the podium and being a threat to win.
He came close to Verstappen but stumbled in the end, with the Red Bull dynamo accumulating several more late wins to secure his fourth straight title, though Norris did take the final checkered flag of the season in Abu Dhabi. That victory helped to shore up a finish atop the constructors' standings for McLaren, the first such triumph in 26 years for the team.
Now Verstappen and Norris are predictably leading the F1 championship odds for 2025, though there's some indecisiveness regarding what order they should be in right now. Our best sportsbooks aren't featuring odds for the 2025 constructors' championship yet.
F1 championship odds 2025
2025 F1 championship odds from our best F1 betting sites
| Player | Odds (FanDuel) | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Max Verstappen | +200 | 33.33% | $20 |
| Lando Norris | +200 | 33.33% | $20 |
| Charles Leclerc | +420 | 19.23% | $42 |
| Lewis Hamilton | +850 | 10.53% | $85 |
| Oscar Piastri | +900 | 10.0% | $90 |
| George Russell | +2200 | 4.35% | $100 |
| Yuki Tsunoda | +7000 | 1.41% | $700 |
| Andrea Kimi Antonelli | +7000 | 1.41% | $700 |
| Liam Lawson | +7000 | 1.41% | $700 |
| Pierre Gasly | +14000 | 0.71% | $1400 |
Some notes and quick observations about the early F1 championship odds for 2025:
- Though the 2025 season is shaping up to be a competitive one based on much of 2024, only four drivers are receiving implied odds of 19.23% or greater
- There are three tiers in the odds, with the three front-runners in Verstappen, Norris, and Charles Leclerc at +420 or shorter through FanDuel, followed by Lewis Hamilton, Oscar Piastri, and George Russell, and then a canyon of space before Yuki Tsunoda, Andrea Kimi Antonelli, and Liam Lawson at +7000
- There's some disagreement about how to handle Norris and Verstappen up top, with the two listed as co-favorites through FanDuel, Verstappen ahead narrowly at Caesars (+163 to +200), and Norris holding a decent lead at both BetMGM (+175 to +275) and bet365 (+175 to +225)
- If you're seeking a deep long shot, Lawson at +7000 is intriguing, as he seems likely to be in line to occupy Red Bull's second seat if the team decides to move on from Sergio Perez soon
F1 Championship favorite 2025
Max Verstappen (+275)
Let's assume that over the offseason Red Bull fixes the problems it faced while often losing ground to McLaren and Ferrari during the middle part of 2024. That process may already be well underway given Verstappen's strong finish to this season, including a rain-soaked triumph in Brazil when he started way back in 17th.
If that happens, then a price of +275 could be highly appealing fast.
Sure, the 2025 season is looking to be much more of a competition for Verstappen than a coronation. His 2023 championship was the latter, and he needed to claw more for his crown in 2024. Now McLaren, Mercedes, and Ferrari are rising, and Lewis Hamilton will be switching teams while getting the support of the Tifosi.
But when Verstappen and Red Bull are in peak form, he's often entering a race weekend as a minus-money favorite. Sometimes deeply so, too, and this price will evaporate quickly if he starts off hot again in 2025.
Best odds: +275 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 33.33%
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My F1 championship odds driver to watch
Charles Leclerc (+550)
Charles Leclerc endured a frustrating season at times in 2023. But that was put behind him and Ferrari fast this past campaign. He earned wins in Monaco, Monza, and Austin en route to finishing among the top three in the drivers' standings, with a sizable gap to Oscar Piastri in fourth (356 points for Leclerc to 292).
Much like Norris, Leclerc was always hovering around the podium while ending up there 13 times, eight of which came during the latter portion of the season following the summer break.
Ferrari has been surging while challenging Red Bull, and it finished ahead of the Verstappen-powered behemoth in the constructors' standings, taking second this past season and sitting only slightly behind McLaren.
It will no doubt be in contention for the constructors' championship again too, with Leclerc along for the ride.
Best odds: +550 via Caesars | Implied probability: 15.38%
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How to bet on F1 championship odds
Betting on the F1 championship odds is pretty straightforward. First, pick a reputable sportsbook that offers F1 futures. Check out the odds for different drivers; for instance, if Driver A is getting +300 odds and Driver B is +500, Driver A is more likely to win.
Place your bet by deciding how much you want to wager. If you bet $100 on Driver A at +300 and they win, you’ll get $400 back ($100 stake + $300 profit). Keep an eye on the driver's performances throughout the season to see how your bet is shaping up.
Now, why do odds move in future markets? Well, it’s mostly about performance and perception.
If a driver starts producing great results, hits odds will change. A lot of people betting on the same driver can also cause the odds to shift as sportsbooks try to manage their risk.
Plus, expert predictions and analysis can influence how people bet, which in turn affects the odds. Understanding these factors can help you make smarter bets and maybe even catch some favorable odds shifts.
How to read F1 championship odds
Reading F1 championship odds is simple once you know the basics.
Odds are typically presented in a format like +300 or -150. Positive odds (e.g., +300) indicate how much profit you'd make on a $100 bet. For instance, a $100 bet at +300 odds would win you $300, plus your initial $100 stake, totaling $400.
Negative odds (e.g., -150) show how much you need to bet to win $100. So, a $150 bet at -150 odds would win you $100, plus your $150 stake, totaling $250.
Odds also reflect the probability of an outcome. Lower odds (e.g., +100) suggest a higher probability of the driver winning, while higher odds (e.g., +1000) indicate a lower probability. Sportsbooks adjust these odds based on factors like performance and betting patterns.
For example, if Driver A is getting +200 odds and Driver B is at +500 odds, Driver A is considered more likely to win. If you bet $100 on Driver A and they win, you'd get $300 back ($200 profit + $100 stake).
Reading and understanding these odds helps you make informed betting decisions.
Past drivers' championship winners
| Year | Driver | Team |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Max Verstappen | Red Bull |
| 2023 | Max Verstappen | Red Bull |
| 2022 | Max Verstappen | Red Bull |
| 2021 | Max Verstappen | Red Bull |
| 2020 | Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes |
| 2019 | Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes |
| 2018 | Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes |
| 2017 | Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes |
| 2016 | Nico Rosberg | Mercedes |
| 2015 | Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes |
| 2014 | Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes |
| 2013 | Sebastian Vettel | Red Bull |
Past constructors' championship winners
| Year | Constructor |
|---|---|
| 2024 | McLaren |
| 2023 | Red Bull |
| 2022 | Red Bull |
| 2021 | Red Bull |
| 2020 | Mercedes |
| 2019 | Mercedes |
| 2018 | Mercedes |
| 2017 | Mercedes |
| 2016 | Mercedes |
| 2015 | Mercedes |
| 2014 | Mercedes |
| 2013 | Red Bull |
F1 driver and constructor championship FAQs
Who is the F1 championship favorite for 2025?
Max Verstappen and Lando Norris are the co-favorites by the F1 championship odds from FanDuel. The +200 odds both are receiving lead to an implied probability of 33.33%, via our odds converter.
When will the winner be named?
The Formula 1 season features 22 races, with the last one for 2025 taking place on Dec. 7 in Abu Dhabi. The leader in both the driver and constructor standings will be declared the winner in each category after that race.
However, one or both could be clinched before that event, as was the case with Verstappen's fourth title last year.
Who won the drivers' championship in 2024?
Max Verstappen took home the title in 2024 for the fourth straight season.
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