Redblacks vs. Stampeders Prediction & Odds: CFL Week 16 Picks for Saturday, Sept. 19

My Redblacks vs. Stampeders prediction breaks down the best CFL bets I'm backing Saturday in Calgary, Alberta.
Stampeders quarterback Vernon Adams Jr. (3) throws the ball as we break down our Redblacks vs. Stampeders prediction.
Pictured: Stampeders quarterback Vernon Adams Jr. (3) throws the ball as we break down our Redblacks vs. Stampeders prediction. Photo by Sergei Belski / Imagn Images.
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📡 SBR Edge: Redblacks Are on Mc-Cloud 9!

My Redblacks vs. Stampeders prediction includes Redblacks +9.5 (-112) and Under 63.5 (-108). McLeod Bethel-Thompson starting for the Redblacks will likely give them an emotional boost, and the Stampeders have scored 30 or fewer points in each of Vernon Adams Jr.'s last four starts.


🏈 Redblacks vs. Stampeders prediction: CFL picks

See all of our experts' CFL picks based on the latest CFL odds.

💰 Pick ⚖️ Units 🧠 Why I bet this
Redblacks +9.5 (-112 via DraftKings) 2.24u → 2u Bethel-Thompson starting will likely provide an emotional boost for the Redblacks.
Under 63.5 (-108 via DraftKings) 0.54u → 0.5u The Stampeders have scored 30 or fewer points in each of Adams' last 4 starts.

Total wagered: 2.78 units | Max profit: 2.5 units

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🏆 Who will win Redblacks vs. Stampeders?

I like the Stampeders to beat the Redblacks by seven points Saturday, meaning there's value on Ottawa's spread at +9.5 (-112). The Stampeders have the seventh-shortest Grey Cup odds at +1200, while the Redblacks have already been eliminated from postseason contention, so I understand why Calgary is favored. However, the market is overreacting to the Redblacks' 0-12 straight-up record.

Score prediction: Stampeders 35, Redblacks 28


💰 Redblacks vs. Stampeders prediction & best bet

Redblacks +9.5 (-112)

The Redblacks are winless on the season and just 4-8 against the spread. However, none of that matters anymore because the offense has fundamentally changed.

Ottawa will start Bethel-Thompson on Saturday, which will likely provide an emotional boost for the entire team. The Redblacks are 0-12 in Jake Maier's starts - not Bethel-Thompson's - so the 2022 CFL passing leader isn't carrying the blame for the team's record. Ottawa even almost won last week in Toronto with Bethel-Thompson in the game for Maier.

Redblacks +9.5 (-112) at DraftKings is the best line available among the top sports betting apps.


🚨 Alberta: Sports betting is now live!

Regulated sports betting in Alberta officially launched July 13, allowing sportsbooks to operate under provincial oversight.

To see which sportsbooks are available for betting on your Stampeders - and how to sign up - see our list of the best Alberta betting apps.


🔥 More Redblacks vs. Stampeders picks

Under 63.5 (-108)

This number is too high, as it's still anchored to the Stampeders' results from earlier in the season.

While Adams was extremely productive to start the season - he had 17 passing touchdowns with zero interceptions entering Week 9 - the offense has slowed down considerably. The Stampeders have scored 30 or fewer points in each of Adams' last four starts, including a 16-point outing last week against the Elks.

While the Redblacks' offense will likely be more productive under Bethel-Thompson, it won't be enough to make up for the Stampeders' recent downturn. Under 63.5 (-108) at DraftKings is the best line available among the top sports betting sites.


💵 My betting record for CFL picks

All CFL picks have been tracked since June 4.

Bet type Record Net profit ROI
Overall 24-24 +0.22 units ✅ 0.3% ✅
Spreads 13-11 +1.9 units ✅ 3.6% ✅
Totals 11-13 -1.69 units ❌ -12.9% ❌

📊 Live Redblacks vs. Stampeders odds


📈 Redblacks vs. Stampeders betting trends

Redblacks Statistic Stampeders
0-12 W-L record 5-8
4-8 ATS record 5-8
6-6 O/U record 10-3
L, 26-23 @ Argonauts Previous result L, 53-16 @ Elks

📺 How to watch Redblacks vs. Stampeders

  • Date: Saturday, Sept. 19
  • Kickoff: 7 p.m. ET
  • Location: McMahon Stadium (Calgary, Alberta)
  • TV: TSN, CFL+