🏎️ Canadian Grand Prix Odds, Favorites 2026: F1 Picks & Best Bets
Kimi Antonelli has won three successive races, and Mercedes is on a four-race winning streak as we approach Sunday's Canadian Grand Prix from Circuit Gilles-Villeneuve in Montreal (4 p.m. ET, ESPN).
I'm backing Antonelli, the marginal betting favorite (+175), as I profile the Canadian Grand Prix odds and favorites. He's trading just ahead of teammate George Russell, who hasn't won since the first race of the season in Melbourne. McLaren, meanwhile, has picked up a head of steam, with Lando Norris taking second and Oscar Piastri third at the Miami GP.
📊 Canadian Grand Prix odds 2026
Latest Canadian Grand Prix odds to win Sunday's race via BetMGM.
| Driver | Odds | Implied Probability | Profit on $10 Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kimi Antonelli | +175 | 36.36% | $17.50 |
| George Russell | +200 | 33.33% | $20 |
| Lando Norris | +450 | 18.18% | $45 |
| Max Verstappen | +700 | 12.5% | $70 |
| Oscar Piastri | +1000 | 9.09% | $100 |
| Charles Leclerc | +1400 | 6.67% | $140 |
| Lewis Hamilton | +2500 | 3.85% | $250 |
| Isack Hadjar | +30000 | 0.33% | $3,000 |
| Franco Colapinto | +30000 | 0.33% | $3,000 |
| Pierre Gasly | +30000 | 0.33% | $3,000 |
| Oliver Bearman | +50000 | 0.2% | $5,000 |
| Nico Hulkenberg | +50000 | 0.2% | $5,000 |
| Carlos Sainz Jr. | +50000 | 0.2% | $5,000 |
| Liam Lawson | +50000 | 0.2% | $5,000 |
| Alexander Albon | +50000 | 0.2% | $5,000 |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | +50000 | 0.2% | $5,000 |
| Esteban Ocon | +75000 | 0.13% | $7,500 |
| Arvid Lindblad | +75000 | 0.13% | $7,500 |
| Fernando Alonso | +100000 | 0.10% | $10,000 |
| Sergio Perez | +200000 | 0.05% | $20,000 |
| Valtteri Bottas | +200000 | 0.05% | $20,000 |
| Lance Stroll | +200000 | 0.05% | $20,000 |
🏁 Early pick to win Canadian Grand Prix
Kimi Antonelli (+175) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The 19-year-old has won three consecutive races, and he is not slowing down. Antonelli won from pole in all three victories, accomplishing what most people thought George Russell would.
The Mercedes driver is showcasing how dominant the W17 car is. He wasn't at his best in Miami, but still found a way to come back and win. Antonelli made a few small mistakes, but nothing that his car can't overcome.
While I have reservations about backing a teenager to win a fourth straight race, I'm so impressed by his performances that I'm overlooking any concerns. He finished third at last year's Canadian Grand Prix, his debut podium. How far he's come.
💰 Early picks & best bets for Canadian GP
Here's a look at the best alternatives on the board looking ahead to Sunday's race:
George Russell (+200)
There's no other way around it: Russell is struggling to race under Antonelli's growing shadow. The Briton endured his worst performance of the season in Miami, finishing fourth. And he only finished fourth because of his car's ability to make up the deficit in the latter stages of the race.
The Canadian GP represents a defining test of character, as Russell must show he has the mettle and mental fortitude to overcome his early-season adversity. Comfortable and confident in Montreal, Russell won last year's Canadian GP and finished third in 2024.
Now, we have to see him assemble a mistake-free race, which hasn't occurred since the opener Down Under.
Lando Norris (+450)
McLaren is well and truly back in the mix, which Norris demonstrated when he finished second at the Miami GP. Norris lost by just over three seconds, the second-closest margin between first and second in four races.
He ran a near-flawless race, and last year's champion is one year removed from finishing second at the Canadian GP. He didn't finish at last year's Canadian GP after running into teammate Piastri.
For Norris to win, he must be as close to perfect as possible. While improbable, Norris has the acumen and experience to make it happen, especially after his confidence-boosting Miami GP performance.
Oscar Piastri (+1000)
McLaren has my vote behind Mercedes, of course. Piastri cracked the podium in Miami for the second race running as he took second at the Japanese GP.
He was, however, well off the pace, finishing over 27 seconds behind Antonelli. That should have little bearing on Sunday's race, with Piastri finishing in fourth at last year's Canadian GP despite being run into by Norris.
Piastri is gaining momentum quickly and racing almost as well as he did in the early stages of last season.
🏆 Past Canadian Grand Prix winners
| Year | Driver | Team |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | George Russell | Mercedes |
| 2024 | Max Verstappen | Red Bull-Honda RBPT |
| 2023 | Max Verstappen | Red Bull-Honda RBPT |
| 2022 | Max Verstappen | Red Bull-RBPT |
| 2021 | Not held due to COVID-19 pandemic | |
| 2020 | Not held due to COVID-19 pandemic | |
| 2019 | Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes |
| 2018 | Sebastian Vettel | Ferrari |
| 2017 | Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes |
| 2016 | Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes |
🗓️ 2026 Canadian Grand Prix schedule
- Practice 1: Friday, May 22 @ 12:30 p.m. ET
- Sprint Shootout: Friday, May 22 @ 4:30 p.m. ET
- Sprint Race: Saturday, May 23 @ noon ET
- Qualifying: Saturday, May 23 @ 4 p.m.
- Race: Sunday, May 24 @ 4 p.m. ET
📺 How to watch 2026 Canadian Grand Prix
- Date: Sunday, May 24
- Time: 4 p.m. ET
- Location: Circuit Gilles Villeneuve (Montreal)
- How to watch: ESPN
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