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Caitlin Clark WNBA MVP Odds: Iowa Star Already Among Favorites Before Rookie Draft

C Jackson Cowart

Last Updated: March 11, 2024 2:34 PM EDT • 4 min 6 sec read.

Guard Caitlin Clark #22 of the Iowa Hawkeyes listens as the crowd cheers, as we look at her 2024 WNBA MVP odds.
Guard Caitlin Clark #22 of the Iowa Hawkeyes listens as the crowd cheers after breaking the NCAA women's all-time scoring record during the game against the Michigan Wolverines at Carver-Hawkeye Arena on February 15, 2024 in Iowa City, Iowa. Photo by Matthew Holst/Getty Images via AFP.

Caitlin Clark is already among the favorites to win MVP by the latest WNBA odds, as we explore her chances to win the award ahead of the 2024 season.

Within the last week, Caitlin Clark declared for the WNBA draft, set the NCAA all-time scoring record, and secured one of the biggest wins of her collegiate career. Now she's among the favorites to win the WNBA MVP by the odds from our best sports betting sites, too.

The Iowa Hawkeyes star is already priced in the top 10 of the initial 2024 WNBA MVP odds, which were released last week at FanDuel to include the record-breaking collegiate star. She's tied for the eighth-shortest odds just behind former No. 1 pick Kelsey Plum, whose scoring mark she broke a few weeks ago amid a historic final season at Iowa.

Clark seems to be a near-lock to go No. 1 overall to the Indiana Fever in April's WNBA draft. Can the superstar scorer continue to make history in her rookie season?

Let's take a look at Clark's odds to win 2024 WNBA MVP, as well as how her entry into the draft has affected the Indiana Fever's betting odds (via our best sports betting apps).

Caitlin Clark WNBA MVP odds, analysis

(Odds as of March 4)

PlayerFanDuel
A'ja Wilson+200
Breanna Stewart+480
Alyssa Thomas+1000
Jewell Loyd+1500
Brittney Griner+1600
Sabrina Ionescu+1800
Kelsey Plum+2000
Caitlin Clark+2100
Arike Ogunbowale+2100
Nneka Ogwumike+2400

Can Caitlin Clark win WNBA MVP as a rookie?

Anyone who has watched Clark in her four years at Iowa, and particularly this past season, can surmise that she'll win at least one WNBA MVP award before her professional career is over. Can she do it right away, though?

Only one player in WNBA history has ever won MVP honors as a rookie. That came in 2008, when Candace Parker translated a truly unparalleled collegiate career into an immediately dominant career in the W - stuffing the stat sheet from seemingly every position with a record-setting scoring pace and a few dunks, for good measure.

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In many ways, it felt like Parker was playing a different game than the rest of the sport in '08, which was obvious when she set the record for points in a debut (34). We've since seen an infusion of talent into the W, as evidenced by last year's three-headed race that resulted in one of the closest MVP finishes in league history.

You could make the argument that Clark has transcended women's basketball, and that's certainly true in many respects. Still, we've seen long-range shooters like Sabrina Ionescu, Kelsey Plum, and Jewell Loyd enter the league after dominant college careers and turn in solid - but not spectacular - rookie seasons.

All three of those players have shorter 2024 WNBA MVP odds than Clark, who could be the best shooter and passer of them all. She still has clear weaknesses in the rest of her game, though, and I don't expect her to suddenly overcome those shortcomings between now and the start of the season in May.

That's likely what it would take for her to keep pace with the likes of recent MVP winners A'ja Wilson or Breanna Stewart, who are unstoppable forces down low for two of the WNBA's best teams. Clark will (likely) be piloting an Indiana Fever squad that has posted a losing record every year since 2016.

Only one player in the past 15 years has won MVP without being on a top-two team in the league. If Clark can lead the Fever to the W's best record, she'll have an outside shot at winning this award right away. Otherwise? It'll be tough to pull off.

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Indiana Fever odds for 2024 WNBA season

MarketFanDuel
To win WNBA Championship+2000
To make the playoffsYes -215 / No +164
O/U 21.5 winsOver -115 / Under -111

Speaking of the Fever's outlook for 2024, FanDuel has also dropped early odds in Indiana in anticipation of the team drafting Clark with the No. 1 overall pick in the 2024 WNBA Draft.

As mentioned above, the Fever have finished with a losing record in seven straight seasons, topping out at 13 wins last year alongside 27 losses. There's a reason Indiana has secured the No. 1 pick in two consecutive seasons, and it actually could have been more if not for the league's lottery system to curb tanking.

That said, a roster with Clark and 2023 top pick Aliyah Boston - who has +5000 odds via FanDuel to win MVP - is a worthwhile bet to finish above .500, which is essentially what Over 21.5 wins is asking for ahead of a 40-game season. I'd also be surprised if the Fever aren't among the eight teams to make the playoffs in the 12-team league.

These 20/1 odds to win the title feel a bit short for a team that hasn't sniffed the postseason since 2016. I'd keep an eye on that market, though. If the Clark and Boston show gets off to a hot start and proves viable in today's superteam era, I might be buying a title ticket within the first few weeks of the season.

Caitlin Clark WNBA MVP FAQs

What are Caitlin Clark's MVP odds?

Caitlin Clark is priced at +2100 to win 2024 WNBA MVP, according to the opening odds at FanDuel. Those are tied for the eighth-shortest odds to win the award.

Has a rookie ever won WNBA MVP?

Candace Parker won the 2008 WNBA MVP award as a rookie after being drafted No. 1 overall by the Los Angeles Sparks. She remains the only rookie to ever win the award.

Who won the WNBA MVP in 2023?

New York Liberty forward Breanna Stewart won the WNBA MVP award in 2023.

Here are our best sports betting apps:

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Written By:
C Jackson Cowart
C Jackson Cowart is an award-winning sports writer, reporter, and editor with nearly a decade of experience in the industry, with previous stops at theScore, Action Network, Forbes, and ESPN before joining the Sportsbook Review team. He's written about sports betting for the last five years, with a specialty in NFL, NBA, MLB, and collegiate futures markets and a weakness for novelty props and betting on the eventual runner-up. He's also an avid fantasy sports manager and commissioner and runs a sports card business on the side. He's a fiercely proud Oregon native and UNC alumnus, and he can't seem to stop betting on Ben Simmons to win MVP.