Australian Grand Prix Predictions & Odds: Expert Picks, Best Props, Odds for Australian GP
Can you hear the engines revving, roaring, and warming up for the Australian Grand Prix tonight at midnight ET in Melbourne?
The stage is set at Albert Park Grand Prix Circuit in Melbourne, one of the circuit's most festive and party-like atmospheres, for Sunday's kickoff to the F1 season (midnight ET, ESPN).
McLaren is touted as the team to beat entering proceedings, with Lando Norris the race favorite and F1 Championship odds front-runner. Our Australian Grand Prix odds and predictions expect Norris to start the season in style.
๐ฅ2025 Australian Grand Prix odds & favorites๐ฅ
Australian Grand Prix odds via FanDuel as of Saturday.
| Category | Odds | Implied probability | Profit on a $10 bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lando Norris | +145 | 40.82% | $14.50 |
| Max Verstappen | +230 | 30.30% | $23.00 |
| Oscar Piastri | +390 | 20.41% | $39.00 |
| George Russell | +1200 | 7.69% | $120.00 |
| Charles Leclerc | +1500 | 6.25% | $150.00 |
| Lewis Hamilton | +2000 | 4.76% | $200.00 |
| Alex Albon | +7000 | 1.41% | $700.00 |
| Carlos Sainz | +7500 | 1.32% | $750.00 |
| Yuki Tsunoda | +11000 | 0.90% | $1,100.00 |
| Pierre Gasly | +18000 | 0.55% | $1,800.00 |
| Liam Lawson | +18000 | 0.55% | $1,800.00 |
| Kimi Antonelli | +18000 | 0.55% | $1,800.00 |
| Fernando Alonso | +20000 | 0.50% | $2,000.00 |
| Isack Hadjar | +20000 | 0.50% | $2,000.00 |
| Lance Stroll | +42000 | 0.24% | $4,200.00 |
| Jack Doohan | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000.00 |
| Oliver Bearman | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000.00 |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000.00 |
| Esteban Ocon | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000.00 |
| Nico Hulkenberg | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000.00 |
2025 Australian Grand Prix updated betting action
Tuesday, March 11:
- Leclerc's odds lengthened from +380 to +460
- Verstappen's odds shortened from +550 to +550
- Piastri's odds lengthened from +550 to +600
- Russell's odds lengthened from +1300 to +1500
Thursday, March 13:
- Verstappen moved from +500 to +440
- Piastri moved from +600 to +500 after news broke of his contract extension
- Hamilton's odds dropped from +650 to +750
- Russell's odds shortened from +1500 to +1200
Australian Grand Prix predictions, expert picks & best bets to win
๐ Pick to win Australian Grand Prix: Lando Norris (+200) โญโญโญโญ
๐ Best odds: +200 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 33.33%
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Norris and McLaren impressed the most during preseason testing. Additionally, by sticking with Norris and Piastri, McLaren joins Aston Martin as the only teams with the same drivers from last season. I love the continuity and consistency and think it will benefit them during the season's first race.
Norris and Piastri are driving their new MCL39, and according to several drivers, including Mercedes' George Russell, they are the pair to beat.
"I think McLaren are going to be pretty strong," said Russell. "Lando says they've found a lot over the winter, and he's looking pretty confident."
If Norris doesn't get off to a dream start, his Australian teammate will. BetMGM offers the most competitive odds for Norris at our best F1 betting sites, where a winning $10 bet will profit $20.
๐ Best value bet to win Australian Grand Prix: Oscar Piastri (+700) โญโญโญ
๐ Best odds: +700 via Caesars | Implied probability: 12.50%
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No Australian has finished among the top three at the Australian Grand Prix, with the first race Down Under 40 years ago. This could be the year the drought ends. Piastri won two races last season, and racing on home soil should be galvanizing.
Piastri said the car ran "pretty much flawlessly" during preseason testing. Let's hope so come race day on Sunday. A winning $10 bet at Caesars will profit $70.
๐ฏ Best long shot to win Australian Grand Prix: George Russell (+1400) โญโญโญ
๐ Best odds: +1400 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 6.67%
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Russell finished with the second-fastest time at the Bahrain International Circuit during last week's preseason testing. He won two races last year and will be hellbent on earning a redemptive performance Down Under after his DNF in Melbourne. Russell is the best bet outside of the five favorites.
The disparity between Russell and the drivers receiving the next shortest odds, Liam Lawson or Kimi Antonelli, is vast. For this race, I can't see anyone beyond Russell getting a chance to win. A winning $10 bet will profit $140.
๐ฐ Best Australian Grand Prix prop bet: Lewis Hamilton fastest lap (+650) โญโญโญ
๐ Best odds: +650 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 13.33%
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Hamilton looks pretty confident while donning his Ferrari colors. He's now part of the Scuderia and appears pleased as punch.
Hamilton loves the way his new car runs. He said it himself in Bahrain. He won the fastest lap in Monaco and Canada last year, but I wouldn't be surprised to see him pin it during his first race with Ferrari. That'll especially be the case on a circuit conducive to lightning-quick times, as weather is rarely a factor.
๐ 2025 Expert Australian Grand Prix picks
- Australian Grand Prix predictions and odds
- Australian Grand Prix AI picks and predictions
- F1 preseason odds and predictions
๐ Past Australian Grand Prix winners
Here is a look at the last 10 Australian Grand Prix winners.
| Year | Driver | Team |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | ๐ช๐ธ Carlos Sainz Jr. | Ferrari |
| 2023 | ๐ณ๐ฑ Max Verstappen | Red Bull-Honda RBPT |
| 2022 | ๐ฒ๐จ Charles Leclerc | Ferrari |
| 2021 | Canceled | Covid-19 |
| 2020 | Canceled | Covid-19 |
| 2019 | ๐ซ๐ฎ Valtteri Bottas | Mercedes |
| 2018 | ๐ฉ๐ช Sebastian Vettel | Ferrari |
| 2017 | ๐ฉ๐ช Sebastian Vettel | Ferrari |
| 2016 | ๐ฉ๐ช Nico Rosberg | Mercedes |
| 2015 | ๐ฌ๐ง Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes |
๐ Australian Grand Prix trends & history
๐๏ธ Michael Schumacher holds the record for the most victories with four wins
๐๏ธ Schumacher holds the current lap record at the Albert Park Circuit with a time of 1:24.125 in 2004 while driving for Ferrari
๐๏ธ An Australian driver has never finished on the podium at his home race since the circuit joined the World Championship in 1985
๐บ How to watch the 2025 Australian Grand Prix
๐
Race date: Sunday, March 16
๐ Start time: 12 a.m. ET
๐ Track: Albert Park Grand Prix Circuit (Melbourne, Australia)
๐บ TV: ESPN | Streaming: ESPN+
๐ง๏ธ 75 degrees, 12 mph to 18 mph winds, 90% chance of precipitation
โ Australian Grand Prix FAQs
Who is favored to win the Australian Grand Prix?
Lando Norris is the favorite to win the Australian Grand Prix while getting odds of +145. That leads to an implied probability of 40.82%.
What are the odds for the Australian Grand Prix?
Lando Norris (+145), Max Verstappen (+230), and Oscar Piastri (+390) lead the Australian Grand Prix odds.
What time is the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?
The Australian Grand Prix starts at midnight ET on Sunday, March 16.
How to watch the 2025 Australian Grand Prix
You can watch the Australian Grand Prix on ESPN or ESPN+.
Who has won the most Australian Grand Prix races?
Michael Schumacher holds the record for the most victories with four.
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