Ally 400 NASCAR Betting Preview: Favorites and Values

Rodrigo Villagomez

Last Updated: June 23, 2022 7:53 AM EDT • 2 min 34 sec read. Twitter link Google News Link

MADISON, ILLINOIS - JUNE 05: Kyle Larson, driver of the #5 Valvoline Chevrolet, waits on the grid prior to the NASCAR Cup Series Enjoy Illinois 300 at WWT Raceway on June 05, 2022 in Madison, Illinois. Sean Gardner/Getty Images/AFP (Photo by Sean Gardner / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP)

Can Kyle Larson turn his season around with another dominating performance in the Music City? Read on for our Ally 400 NASCAR picks.

Drivers are back from a well-deserved week off and heading for Lebanon, Tennessee for the second year in a row to take on the Nashville Superspeedway. While the name may imply a large, wide-open track, this superspeedway is only 1.333 miles of paved concrete.

It was Larson who took home the checkered flag and the expensive electric guitar last season. He led almost the entire race and defended his lead despite several caution flags and contested restarts.

His team will look to bounce back after a rough outing in Sonoma that cost him a pit team member and a crew chief for this race.

Here are my outright picks for NASCAR’s Ally 400 at Nashville Superspeedway in Lebanon, Tennessee (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook, FanDuel Sportsbook, BetMGM).

Ally 400 Odds

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Ally 400 Odds Analysis

Once again, Larson enters the weekend as the odds-on favorite with little deviation. Most books have him at +450, but on BetMGM and WynnBET, you can find him at +500.

Kyle Busch gets the nod towards the top of the books as well, given he and Larson spent most of last season's race dueling for the lead. His best listing can be found on WynnBET at +800, which is 50 points higher than DraftKings and FanDuel and 100 points more than Caesars and BetMGM.

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Ally 400 Picks

Kyle Larson (+500 via BetMGM)Ross Chastain (+800 via FanDuel)Joey Logano (+1200 via DraftKings)

Who Will Win the Ally 400

Larson (+500)

Last season, Larson wrapped up a three-race winning streak with a win on this track. The No. 5 car led 264 of the 300 total laps that day, beating the second-place car to the finish line by more than four seconds.

While he's been unable to duplicate that same level of success so far this season, he still has a win and eight top-10 finishes. He sits seventh in the overall standings.

He was a victim of a strategy call that did not work out in Sonoma. However, he did start on the pole and led 26 laps on the day. His Next Gen car has made it hard to dominate, but 264 laps in clean air on this track gives his team more than enough data to work with in order to give Larson a fast car again this week.

Chastain (+800)

Ross Chastain was the second-place car in last year’s Ally 400. He turned in an impressive performance in his No. 42 Chip Ganassi ride in what ended up being his best finish of the season. He kept his Clover Camaro inside the top 15 for 245 laps and even led four of them.

Since joining Trackhouse Racing and piloting the No. 1 car this season, Chastain has been on another level. He has 10 top-10 finishes, a series-leading seven top fives, and two wins this year.

Seven of his last nine races have ended with a finish of 10th or better, including a win in Talladega. He's also running well at tracks under 1.5-miles, finishing second in Phoenix, fifth at Martinsville, third in Dover, and most recently eighth at Gateway.

Logano (+1200)

So far this season, Joey Logano has five top-10 finishes on tracks smaller than the standard 1.5-miles, including two wins. The No. 22 car took home first place at the 1.366-mile Darlington Raceway last month as well as the 1.25-mile World Wide Technology Raceway in Illinois.

Logano spent all but four laps among the top-15 drivers. He found himself jockeying for the lead at one point, fighting his way to third place late in the race. Ultimately, he would finish in 10th place, but it was still a strong showing for the Shell Mustang.

He's offering tremendous value here for a two-time winner on the season with the credentials Logano has on these kinds of tracks.

Where to Bet Ally 400 Picks

Here are our top-rated sportsbooks:

FanDuel Sportsbook Caesars Sportsbook DraftKings Sportsbook PointsBet BetMGM

SEE ALSO: All picks, odds, and sports betting news. Be sure to check out SportsbookReview.com’s community forums and betting tools.

Ally 400 picks made 6/20/2022 at 6:35 a.m. ET

Written By:
Rodrigo Villagomez

Rod Villagomez has been a sports writer, broadcaster, and podcaster for over 15 years. He has a passion for football whether it’s the NFL, CFL, USFL, XFL, IFL, X League, or Fan Controlled. He’s also been a fan of NASCAR for almost 20 years and enjoyed watching his favorite driver, Jimmie Johnson win seven Cup Series Championships. As a betting analyst for Sportsbook Review, Rod brings his passion for the sports betting community to any assignment be it football, stock car racing, horse racing, or even, the Oscars. If you can bet on it, he is ready to break down the odds for you.