Phillies vs. Dodgers Prediction, Picks & Player Props Today, Aug. 5
A possible NLCS preview is on tap as the Los Angeles Dodgers host the Philadelphia Phillies, and we have you covered with our best Phillies vs. Dodgers prediction based on the top odds from our MLB betting sites.
The Phillies snapped a six-game losing streak with victory over the Seattle Mariners on Sunday, while the Dodgers are looking to atone for getting swept in three games at Citizens Bank Park in July - a series in which they were outscored 19-5.
Los Angeles is a -135 moneyline home favorite in this game between World Series odds favorites. First pitch from Dodger Stadium scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET (MLBN) on Monday night.
Phillies vs. Dodgers player props
MLB odds via our best MLB betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.
- Aaron Nola Under 5.5 strikeouts (+110 via Betway) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Tyler Glasnow Under 1.5 walks allowed (+125 via Betway) ⭐⭐⭐
- Cavan Biggio Over 0.5 RBIs (+325 via Betway) ⭐⭐⭐
Phillies vs. Dodgers expert picks
MLB picks made Monday at 7:09 a.m. ET.
Prediction: Aaron Nola Under 5.5 strikeouts ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Phillies righty Aaron Nola is on pace for his best winning percentage since he finished third in the Cy Young voting in 2018, but he has relied on the defense behind him much more for his success.
Nola’s 8.6 K/9 is on pace to be his worst since his rookie year (2015) and the trade-off is that he is inducing ground balls at the highest rate since 2020 (44.6% ground ball rate).
He did strike out nine Dodgers in a home win on July 11, but he should suffer a much different fate in this road start, as he is barely over .500 in his career on the road (46-45) with an ERA that is 0.93 higher (4.19 compared to 3.22) than in his home starts.
If Nola were to finish with five or fewer strikeouts, my winning $10 wager would pay out $21.
Best odds: +110 via Betway | Implied probability: 47.62%
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Prediction: Tyler Glasnow Under 1.5 walks allowed ⭐⭐⭐
Tyler Glasnow had walked two or more batters in three consecutive starts entering his last outing, but seemed to get his control in order. He walked just one batter in his first seven-inning start since June 22.
He has walked one or fewer batters in three of his last four starts against teams currently over .500. And while Philadelphia has the fifth-highest walk rate in the majors (8.9%), that ranking drops to 17th since the start of July (7.8%).
A winning $10 wager for this prop would pay out $12.50 in profits.
Best odds: +125 via Betway | Implied probability: 44.44%
Prediction: Cavan Biggio Over 0.5 RBIs ⭐⭐⭐
In a lineup full of superstars, Cavan Biggio is an often overlooked Dodgers slugger. Despite Biggio batting just .197 on the year, manager Dave Roberts still seemingly respects his RBI potential as he has been batting sixth in the lineup regularly.
Biggio has rewarded that faith with at least one RBI in six of the last 11 games. He's also 4-for-5 against Nola, and that coupled with the fact that he is coming off by far his best month - with a .900 OPS in July - suggests that he should have much more than a one-in-four chance to drive in a run as the odds imply.
A winning $10 wager pays a $32.50 profit.
Best odds: +325 via Betway | Implied probability: 23.53%
Phillies vs. Dodgers odds & game info
- When: Monday, Aug. 5
- First pitch: 10:10 p.m. ET
- Where: Dodger Stadium (Los Angeles, Calif.)
- How to watch: MLBN
- Favorite: Dodgers (-135 via Betway)
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