Texas State vs. Texas Prediction: College Football Week 1 Opening Odds & Early Pick
Last Updated: September 5, 2026 3:36 PM EDT • 2 minute read Google News Link
There’s plenty of hype surrounding the Texas State Bobcats as they enter the Pac-12, but expectations are even higher for the Texas Longhorns. My Texas State vs. Texas early prediction breaks down which side of that hype is worth buying into.
The opening odds for this matchup are long gone, with Texas now installed as a 29.5-point favorite ahead of Saturday’s 3:30 p.m. ET kickoff from DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium in Austin. The game will air on ESPN.
🏈 Early Texas State vs. Texas prediction: Week 1
Stay ahead with the rest of our early college football picks.
Texas -29.5 (-110 at bet365)
In a vacuum, this spread should be set at about -27.5 or -28. For this moment, let’s assume -28 would be accurate. Then why has it climbed an additional 1.5 points toward the Texas Longhorns?
In part because this spread has been available to bet on for more than three months, and in part because Texas could name the score in this matchup, with all due respect to the Texas State Bobcats.
Even when Longhorns head coach Steve Sarkisian begins sending in his reserves, they should have ample skill advantages against the Bobcats and continue to run up the score.
📊 Live Texas State vs. Texas odds: Week 1
See the latest college football odds for every game in real time.
Texas State vs. Texas line movement
If anything, perhaps this number drifts back toward -28, but most likely, more than three months of action have already hammered it into its final form.
📺 How to watch Texas State vs. Texas: Week 1
- Date: Saturday, Sept. 5
- Kickoff: 3:30 p.m. ET
- Location: DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium (Austin, Texas)
- TV: ESPN
📃 Affiliate disclosure
Sportsbook Review may receive a commission if you sign up through our links. Not intended for use in MA. Bonuses not applicable in Ontario. 21+ only. (Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
Douglas Farmer