Arizona State vs. Texas Tech Prediction: Week 7 Odds, Picks & Best Bet
My best Arizona State vs. Texas Tech prediction highlights why this is likely to be a low-scoring Big 12 battle. No. 10 Texas Tech has one of the best defenses in the country, but its offense has struggled against weaker competition at times this season.
Texas Tech is favored by 15.5 points ahead of Saturday's 3:30 p.m. ET game at Galaxy Stadium in Lubbock, Texas. The game will air on FOX and stream on FOX One.
Arizona State vs. Texas Tech picks & predictions
See all of our experts' college football picks for Week 7 based on the latest college football odds.
| Pick | Bet size |
|---|---|
| ATS: Texas Tech -15.5 (-110 via bet365) | 1 unit to win 0.91 units |
| O/U: Under 49.5 (-110 via BetMGM) | 1.5 units to win 1.37 units |
Total wagered: 2.5 units | Max profit: +2.28 units
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Arizona State vs. Texas Tech prediction & best bet
Check out all of our college football predictions for more analysis across this week's slate.
Under 49.5 (-110 via BetMGM)
Texas Tech ranks 22nd in scoring defense, allowing just 16.2 points per game. The last time out, Texas Tech went to Colorado and held the Buffaloes to just seven points, keeping them scoreless for the final 55:29 of the game.
Texas Tech ranks just 73rd in total defense but is tied for 47th in yards allowed per play. The run defense has been just as good as expected, holding opponents to just 91.4 yards per game and 3.2 yards per carry. And while the pass defense ranks 127th, allowing 262.2 yards per game, the unit is tied for 34th in yards allowed per attempt, giving up just 6.3.
While Arizona State ranks 54th in points per game, the team's average is inflated by a 70-point performance against Morgan State. Arizona State has yet to score more than 30 against an FBS team, averaging 23.3 points per game.
📡 SBR Edge: Red Raiders struggle with turnovers
Texas Tech has struggled to keep possessions going this season. The offense has turned the ball over eight times, with Will Hammond throwing five interceptions, and the team is converting just 43.3% of third-down attempts.
Texas Tech's offense still isn't clicking
For as dominant as the Texas Tech defense has been, the offense has struggled all year. The Red Raiders rank 58th in yards per game and 62nd in yards per play. Though Texas Tech is 2-0 in Big 12 games, the offense hasn't scored more than 29 in either game, settling for three field goals against Colorado.
Arizona State's defense has been destroyed by both Baylor and Texas A&M, allowing at least 48 points in both games. But while Texas Tech has scored at least 28 in every game, the team has topped 35 just once. And though Arizona State ranks 75th in passing yards allowed per game, the Texas Tech passing attack ranks just 74th, so it is unlikely to exploit Arizona State's biggest weakness.
Score prediction: Texas Tech 28, Arizona State 10
Live Arizona State vs. Texas Tech odds
Arizona State vs. Texas Tech opening odds
- Moneyline: Arizona State +500 | Texas Tech -700
- Spread: Arizona State +12.5 (-110) | Texas Tech -12.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: Over 52.5 (-110) | Under 52.5 (-110)
How to watch Arizona State vs. Texas Tech: Week 7
- Date: Saturday, Oct. 17
- Kickoff: 3:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Galaxy Stadium (Lubbock, Texas)
- TV: FOX
- Streaming: FOX One
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