EP36's Tennis Elbow

[Diesel79]

Unbelievable tennis from Federer

[MUHerd37]

Vamos!!!!!

[Yezzir]

Federer is on fire.

[MUHerd37]

Rafa is in trouble. Serving for the 2nd set and got broken. Not good. In the 1st set tiebreak he had 5 points and 2 serves and lost em both and lost the set.

[MUHerd37]

Berdych is serving great. He's killing Rafa with his serve.

[EaglesPhan36]

Glad I went to sleep after one set of that Fed-DelPo match. Not sure if it is fair to gauge DelPo's game and where he is at against Federer right now as Fed is just two or three notches ahead of just about anyone but Djokovic apparently.

Berdych is playing solid, but you feel like this third set is for the match because he's not going to beat Rafa in 5 ...

[MUHerd37]

Rafa wins the 2nd set tiebreak!!!! Huge!

[MUHerd37]

Hope Rafa taking that set will cool Berdych off. Berdych was really confident and had some swagger really going on. Hopefully this hurts his confidence. I really wanna see Federer vs Rafa in the semifinal.

[EaglesPhan36]

Fukk that I got Berdych.

[MUHerd37]

Well at least one of us will win.

[EaglesPhan36]

I mean I'll live if he loses. I have a Nadal future, but I specifically bought that future for this match so I could take Berdych on the ML.

[EaglesPhan36]

Breaker breaker. Consolidate it you lanky fukk.

[EaglesPhan36]

That was short lived. Rafa is such a f-ing grinder.

[MUHerd37]

Berdych's outside serve is killing Rafa

[EaglesPhan36]

Berdych is making too many errors now. Said it earlier, if he loses this set, it's over IMO.

[EaglesPhan36]

Nadal live is -650


Books think Berdych is done too if he loses this set.

[EaglesPhan36]

I took Berdych to get a break in the next game @ +450 for a cool $1

[EaglesPhan36]

Nadal is going to be well over -1000 live after this set. Almost -800 right now.

[MUHerd37]

Is Berdych hurt?

[MUHerd37]

3rd set to Rafa!

[shari91]

I took Berdych to get a break in the next game @ +450 for a cool $1

Those bets are the best. I was betting deuce yes there'll be a break every game on Jankovic the other day. If you bet small enough you can chase as they'll eventually hit, especially with the women.

[shari91]

Rafa -900 live now.

[EaglesPhan36]

-5000 @ Bovada

Well Berdy you had your shot today. Guess I need to get some Federer future to hedge my Nadal?

[shari91]

-5000 @ Bovada

Well Berdy you had your shot today. Guess I need to get some Federer future to hedge my Nadal?

I really think Fed's going to win that one. I have to look at everything in depth but Rafa can't pull this shit with Fed and not get punished for it. Maybe 6mths ago but not with the way Fed is playing now (and Nadal isn't). Might be a good idea EP.

[EaglesPhan36]

Yeah no doubt. As you said somewhere else, Berdych simply lacks the consistency to put Rafa away. He was in position to do it, but sprayed too many balls in critical moments. Not that Fed is immune to that, but since last November - this version of Federer is about as close to the Federer who dominated tennis for years as we've seen.

Really stoked for Djokovic-Ferrer later. I want to see Ferrer push him hard.

I also still don't understand why when these matches run so long they don't throw the doubles match onto another court. Making them start at 12:30am? Stupid.

[EaglesPhan36]

Might be a total sap here, but jumping on it.

Heilbronn Challenger: Berrer -135
Berrer up against Garbage-vili in Germany. Berrer's one surface he actually played well on last year was this indoor hard surface. He's done very well at this tournament over the years, 21-8 and he's never dropped an opening round match here. Gabashvili is under .500 on the surface and generally his few wins have come in qualis or on his home turf in Russia. It's firs-up for both and I'm taking the German here.

[Yezzir]

Like that pick.. I know Gab is 3-0 over Berrer, but the last match was 3+ years ago.

[EaglesPhan36]

Surprised 5Dimes doesn't have Challenger lines up, found that at Bovada which was a shocking, yet nice discovery.

[showtiime]

Had 2 live plays on Rafa/Birdshyt. Both hit.
Over 12.5 games first set midway @ $3.20, put down a sneaky $100 on that

Then with the winnings played Nadal to win 2nd set 7-6 at the start of the set @ $6.50, for $200.

Couple that with Azarenka - Aga over 2.5 sets and Clijsters ML and its a single sweep for today.
Would've been a sweep across the board but I played a parlay including NBA, NHL, some teasers, and got greedy with the last leg being Federer to win 3-1.
Was able to hedge as everything else hit leaving just this leg but Delpo never troubled Fed so had to settle with a shitty price on fed 3-0, that parlay was for +8900.

Been flaming lately, hitting basically 80% live / single plays, and hitting parlays left right and centre, aside from one I was able to hedge out of and almost double my BR in one hedge.
This slam has been hit after hit after hit, basically has set me up for a deposit on a new apartment. Couldn't be happier.
Just have to enjoy it while it lasts.
Probably sound like a bragging douche here but you gotta let it out.

Now I just gotta control myself and build slowly from here. Wish I had played some futures like a couple of others here but you can't win 'em all.

Like your reasoning on Berrer EP, played the over myself, hope we both hit, also tried the under in the Russell / Gawron match for some late night action.

[EaglesPhan36]

Where do you get totals on Challengers? Bet365?

[beefcake]

Yep, bet 365 has em available for all. They might actually have ITF Women totals as well..

Utterly amazing you found a challenger line at Bovada, that is like finding the Lockness monster actually is real and proving it to science.

[showtiime]

Yeah bet365. Under for the Russell match is at 21.5, seems like a gift considering Gawron played 3 matches on hard all last year and was 0-3 including losing 2 & 0 to ilhan.

Is there many markets for tennis at 5d? Or just the usual ML, handicap, O/U? Obviously no where near as much as bet365 but are there soccer markets half decent, asian lines? I was thinking about opening an account, mainly just because of the open parlay thing.

[Yezzir]

Great start for Berrer.

[nickspen13]

Adding ...

Clijsters +120
Obviously the only thing preventing most people from going on Clijsters is the status of her ankle. Truly, we won't know until she starts playing how much it is hindering or if it will hinder her at all. For me thought the fact remains that Aussie Kim is the toughest chick in the WTA. Wozniacki is playing well here, but all things being equal ... it's a Slam. It's Wozniacki. It's Clijsters. Mental toughness edge, Clijsters and as we saw against Li, that sometimes can be a bigger factor than on-court game. Woz has the better defense and is being a little more aggressive offensively, but Clijsters still rates better on-serve and with her ground strokes IMO.

Great call, and great value!!

[EaglesPhan36]

Yeah bet365. Under for the Russell match is at 21.5, seems like a gift considering Gawron played 3 matches on hard all last year and was 0-3 including losing 2 & 0 to ilhan. Is there many markets for tennis at 5d? Or just the usual ML, handicap, O/U? Obviously no where near as much as bet365 but are there soccer markets half decent, asian lines? I was thinking about opening an account, mainly just because of the open parlay thing.

5Dimes usually has MLs, spreads and totals for all the WTA-ATP matches. Challengers just ML. I see they have the Challenger lines up now, but are missing some of the Germany ones to come today. Very surprised they were late to the party.

beef, I'm interested to see if Bovada is going to continue to carry those or if it's just an isolated incident.