EP36's Tennis Things I THINK I THINK

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  • beefcake
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-26-09
    • 14029

    #3326
    Well I bet on chardy today..So i am the Swine Ass Mofo..
    Comment
    • Stacocakes
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 04-10-08
      • 7126

      #3327
      Nice hit with Dodig Eagles.Tailed you and Roguescholar on that one.

      What do you think of Lopez tomorrow over Stepanek? Radek will be tired from the big win last week and will probably be eager to check out of here early and spend the big check on Viadasova.
      Comment
      • EaglesPhan36
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 12-06-06
        • 71662

        #3328
        Probably gonna avoid that one Staco. Stepanek is 8-1 vs. Flodonis, although the lone loss came in Cananada in 2008 ... Lopez is usually very flakey in the US Open Series except for the Open itself where he seems like he tries. Stepanek made me some coin last week, so I figure he's due to fukk me if I touch him this week, so not going to.

        Pavlyuchenkova you Russian shit .. loved you in 2010, hate you this season.
        Comment
        • EaglesPhan36
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 12-06-06
          • 71662

          #3329
          Tuesday's WTF
          Hradecka -120
          Llodra +185
          Parlay: Isner + Gasquet [+115]
          Comment
          • griffdog
            SBR Sharp
            • 11-25-09
            • 424

            #3330
            Went big on Pav since she's a) the better player and b) had a sizable advantage on the surface, but damn, damn, damn. She's one of those that beats me when I pick against her and screws me when I take her...won't be going near her for a while.

            What are your thoughts on Montanes vs. Russell? Getting to a final and then having to go from Austria to Canada makes Montanes a question mark, but those are some nice odds on him as a dog, even if clay isn't his best surface.
            Comment
            • EaglesPhan36
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 12-06-06
              • 71662

              #3331
              Yeah I don't think I would pay the price for Russell as a favorite. He's had good moments on hard courts, but he's not reliable from tournament to tournament. Problem is Montanes has an awful record on the surface.
              Comment
              • Gaskan
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 01-31-11
                • 765

                #3332
                Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                Tuesday's WTF
                Hradecka -120
                Llodra +185
                Parlay: Isner + Gasquet [+115]

                I like Isner / Gasquet, but why Hradecka? She's been a nasty slide lately Martic has beaten her caliber lately.
                Comment
                • EaglesPhan36
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 12-06-06
                  • 71662

                  #3333
                  Back to a surface that suits her and she's beaten Martic on it twice this season. I'm putting a little trust that the surface switch will wake her up plus facing someone she has not had too many issues against.
                  Comment
                  • Ingram$
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 08-09-11
                    • 185

                    #3334
                    Just consistency lacking.
                    Comment
                    • koscheckbaby
                      SBR MVP
                      • 04-05-10
                      • 1314

                      #3335
                      I ******* hate hard court tennis now after watching clay. It really is about who serves better. And sometimes it's about who gets the lucky break. Stepanek couldn't sniff Monfils serve, but milked the breaks he was gifted. Where is Raonic? He could be winning tournaments with this stupid surface.
                      Comment
                      • koscheckbaby
                        SBR MVP
                        • 04-05-10
                        • 1314

                        #3336
                        That Llodra bet is gonna hit. He lost the first set with an early break, but Youzhny is serving terribly and Llodra has been easily holding
                        Comment
                        • EaglesPhan36
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 12-06-06
                          • 71662

                          #3337
                          Llodra gets it done after blowing his first chance to close. Yeaaah buddy!
                          Comment
                          • sharlataans
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-13-10
                            • 1927

                            #3338
                            Whats up with Verdasco Kamke match? Why odds jumped so much in Kamkes favor?
                            Comment
                            • EaglesPhan36
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 12-06-06
                              • 71662

                              #3339
                              Wednesday's WTF
                              Parlay: Del Potro + Wawrinka [-135]
                              Stakhovsky +138
                              Zvonareva-Petrova Over 20.5 [-125]
                              Comment
                              • EaglesPhan36
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 12-06-06
                                • 71662

                                #3340
                                Stanny makes the 1st leg of the parlay very low pressure.
                                Comment
                                • Ethan
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 02-14-11
                                  • 375

                                  #3341
                                  Comment
                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 12-06-06
                                    • 71662

                                    #3342
                                    Small play here situational like. Fish's heel the obvious key here. He said he needed a couple weeks off with rehab to be 100%. He's had about a week, so who knows. Lopez wasn't stellar against Stepanek, but he survived and has a nice edge in court time now over Fish here in Cananada.

                                    Feliciano "FLODONIS" Lopez +170
                                    Comment
                                    • Hall2Collie
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 01-03-11
                                      • 462

                                      #3343
                                      Do you have any idea when this is due to start?
                                      Comment
                                      • MoYaL
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 09-23-10
                                        • 1383

                                        #3344
                                        Fleciano need to be at his best to have a chance to win Mardy .. good luck anyway im with Mardy :P
                                        Comment
                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 12-06-06
                                          • 71662

                                          #3345
                                          Should have gone with my first inclination which was under 23 games. Being late at night, figured one of them would win in straights. Looks like Lopez is ready for bed.
                                          Comment
                                          • EaglesPhan36
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 12-06-06
                                            • 71662

                                            #3346
                                            Thursday's 2-0 Guarantee or I Guarantee One of These Plays Lost
                                            Gasquet -160
                                            Federer-Tsonga Over 21.5 [-115]

                                            Comment
                                            • Gaskan
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 01-31-11
                                              • 765

                                              #3347
                                              Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                              Thursday's 2-0 Guarantee or I Guarantee One of These Plays Lost
                                              Gasquet -160
                                              Federer-Tsonga Over 21.5 [-115]


                                              Wow ... that's heavy chalk for you!
                                              Comment
                                              • EaglesPhan36
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 12-06-06
                                                • 71662

                                                #3348
                                                I dabble every once in a great while in the -150 to -160 range and I think this is the spot for me ... or he gets buried.
                                                Comment
                                                • MoYaL
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 09-23-10
                                                  • 1383

                                                  #3349
                                                  Seems Gasquet is increadible play for tommrow ... about Federer-Tsonga ... im not sure .. this one can go either way ... wont be suprised if Tsonga wins in straight .. , probably 1 tie break will be enough to get the over ...
                                                  anyway .. good luck.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 12-06-06
                                                    • 71662

                                                    #3350
                                                    Adding in Toronto ...

                                                    Stosur -140
                                                    Stosur's serve has looked pretty solid this week and sounds as if it's suited well for this surface. Na Li is 0-4 on hard courts since her great start to the year in Australia. Stosur is 3-0 vs. Na Li, all on clay. However, those do yield that Stosur's serve has troubled Li on slower stuff - so a faster surface should give her an edge me thinks.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                      • 71662

                                                      #3351
                                                      And a parlay ...

                                                      Kvitova + Fish [+147]
                                                      Kvitova's power should be a good match for Petkovic on this surface. Petkovic is capable, but flaky with her serve. Kvitova isn't unflappable, but seems to have an easier time holding. Petkovic has allowed 27 break opps in two matches and it just takes the right opponent to make her pay for that sort of form. Fish gets Gulbis and a chance to show his heel was the reason that Gulbis got the best of him in LA. Fish got better as the match went on against Lopez last night and showed good focus to win in that late night setting where motivation can be tricky.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • tevari
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 02-02-07
                                                        • 4959

                                                        #3352
                                                        I like the fish/kvitova parlay quite a bit. tailing you on it for 2U
                                                        Comment
                                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 12-06-06
                                                          • 71662

                                                          #3353
                                                          Kvitova = Shithouse
                                                          Comment
                                                          • EaglesPhan36
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 12-06-06
                                                            • 71662

                                                            #3354
                                                            Adding ..

                                                            Dodig +175
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Demonata
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 07-12-11
                                                              • 25829

                                                              #3355
                                                              Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                                              Adding .. Dodig +175
                                                              Good pick. He just beat Nadal so he should be extremely confident.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • EaglesPhan36
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 12-06-06
                                                                • 71662

                                                                #3356
                                                                Or extremely tired apparently. Thought his serve would hold up.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • EaglesPhan36
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 12-06-06
                                                                  • 71662

                                                                  #3357
                                                                  Sharapova lost today as an over -500 favorite. Chalk kills, chalk kills.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 12-06-06
                                                                    • 71662

                                                                    #3358
                                                                    Quick add...

                                                                    Safarova +130
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                                      • 71662

                                                                      #3359
                                                                      Well the Monfils total hit. Fed total hits. Gasquet though choked the 1st set away. Dude was up 5-2 I think and is gonna lose it 7-6.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 12-06-06
                                                                        • 71662

                                                                        #3360
                                                                        Gasquet from up 5-2 to down 6-7, 2-5. What a putz. Tsonga about to put Fed to bed. Amazing that 3 of the Big 4 are done before the QFs. No excuses if Djokovic doesn't win this now. My darkhorse now is Berdych. One thing for sure, US Open looks like it may be wide open as far as the spot opposite Djokovic in the final ... although I would expect Nadal to get better by the time the Open is in stride.
                                                                        Comment
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