EP36's Tennis Things I THINK I THINK

EaglesPhan36 · 06-03-11, 09:32 AM

This is gonna be a bummer. Murray has done enough to win a set, but he just can't quite get over the hump.

EaglesPhan36 · 06-03-11, 09:45 AM

Oh well, on to Roger. Hope he plays well and at least pushes Djokovic.

koscheckbaby · 06-03-11, 09:51 AM

Who are you leaning for the women's final? Li beating Kvitova, Azarenka, and Sharapova just seems so impressive to me, as opposed to Bartoli, Jankovic, and Payluchenkova. Li must have upped her game tremendously to get here, since she looked pretty shitty when I bet on her over Mattek-Sands. I think Schiavone doesn't repeat.

WIZARDOFBEANTOWN · 06-03-11, 09:55 AM

good luck eP

EaglesPhan36 · 06-03-11, 10:00 AM

Hard to go against Schiavone, but really a toss up. Might just play a total or nothing.

EaglesPhan36 · 06-03-11, 10:42 AM

Should have followed my own advice for the Women's Doubles. +140 dogs cashed.

Hall2Collie · 06-03-11, 11:37 AM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Should have followed my own advice for the Women's Doubles. +140 dogs cashed.

I followed your advice so thanks for that

I'd give you some points but I can only give out two since I'm non-pro

EaglesPhan36 · 06-03-11, 11:50 AM

No worries, glad it worked out for ya!

beefcake · 06-03-11, 12:49 PM

What the hell has gotten into Yuri Sckulkin> Beats youzhny and now Stepanek...Yuri is the ultimate example of a dirtballer..

EaglesPhan36 · 06-03-11, 02:10 PM

Or you could look at it like I do, Youzhny & Stepanek are shit and just collecting a check. Why else are you playing Challengers?

Gaskan · 06-03-11, 02:13 PM

Game 9 was the pivotal game and Nole got it. Fed is going to be in deep do do now.

... Or not

EaglesPhan36 · 06-03-11, 02:38 PM

Roger Federer STREAK Killer!

This made my tournament.

EaglesPhan36 · 06-03-11, 02:42 PM

He may not admit it, but this has to be one of his top 5 most favorite wins. I'm guessing #1 is still winning the French the first time. #2 maybe breaking Sampras' record. But this has got to be high up there considering he broke one of the all-time great winning streaks and not many gave him a chance today, well at least the talking head idiots mostly.

koscheckbaby · 06-03-11, 02:43 PM

I would have been OK if Roger earned the victory. But he was Raonic out there. Novak couldn't return his serve and that was the difference.

And it's ridiculous to overhype this victory, since this was not the Djokovic of 2011. He shanked so many balls. It was ridiculous how bad he played.

kingsr · 06-03-11, 02:45 PM

The FED is back!!! WOW WOW WOW!!! It's 544am in Sydney and I stayed up to watch this match...Fed dominated!

Greekster · 06-03-11, 02:46 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Roger Federer STREAK Killer!

This made my tournament.

Mine as well. Awesome match by Fed. He is not over the hill yet and these young guys could learn something from him.

Ya he will be an underdog on Sunday, but all you need is the opportunity and with his talent and pedigree he has the shot at it.

kingsr · 06-03-11, 02:46 PM

Originally posted by koscheckbaby

I would have been OK if Roger earned the victory. But he was Raonic out there. Novak couldn't return his serve and that was the difference.

And it's ridiculous to overhype this victory, since this was not the Djokovic of 2011. He shanked so many balls. It was ridiculous how bad he played.

I was on no side, mutual standing here...HE WAS OUTPLAYED BY A BETTER PLAYER

EaglesPhan36 · 06-03-11, 02:56 PM

Koscheck will never be satisfied with anyone winning 99% of the time. I've come to terms with that and don't care.

koscheckbaby · 06-03-11, 02:57 PM

God, I want to fight someone so badly over this. People are so antagonistic over the internet, but pussies in person.

It's patently obvious Djokovic played like shit and Federer was a serve bot. He had like 4 love holds in one set. How anyone can dispute that is just doing it to be difficult and because they can get away with it on the internet.

Greekster · 06-03-11, 02:59 PM

Originally posted by koscheckbaby

God, I want to fight someone so badly over this. People are so antagonistic over the internet, but pussies in person

lol...where you from? I will challenge you to a tennis match and get you so angry before we fight by big serving you to death.

timmyboy34243 · 06-03-11, 03:11 PM

another solid call by e p..............he's back !!!!

reformed · 06-03-11, 03:51 PM

Originally posted by koscheckbaby

God, I want to fight someone so badly over this. People are so antagonistic over the internet, but pussies in person.

It's patently obvious Djokovic played like shit and Federer was a serve bot. He had like 4 love holds in one set. How anyone can dispute that is just doing it to be difficult and because they can get away with it on the internet.

one of these days you will say this to the wrong person and get your teeth knocked out if not worse...

NEW_WORLD · 06-03-11, 11:50 PM

another great call
Federer was reall great yesturday.
Thanks EP

EaglesPhan36 · 06-04-11, 03:30 AM

Saturday's Points Play
Schiavone-Li Under 22 [-105]

A little historical play here. Only once in the last ten years has the Women's French Open final gone to three sets. Only twice in that span has it hit for more than 22 games. Common perception is that this will be a three set battle. I go oppo taco.

belvedere86 · 06-04-11, 04:04 AM

finally somebody who likes the under just like me.

one of them will choke I think. 6-4 6-2 type of game I think.

micky · 06-04-11, 05:10 AM

Good job yesterday. Congrats

Boxing Champ · 06-04-11, 07:16 AM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Saturday's Points Play
Schiavone-Li Under 22 [-105]

A little historical play here. Only once in the last ten years has the Women's French Open final gone to three sets. Only twice in that span has it hit for more than 22 games. Common perception is that this will be a three set battle. I go oppo taco.

Although I respect your picks, I have a hard time believing that results over the last 10 years of other people's matchups have anything to do with todays match.

beefcake · 06-04-11, 07:25 AM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Saturday's Points Play
Schiavone-Li Under 22 [-105]

A little historical play here. Only once in the last ten years has the Women's French Open final gone to three sets. Only twice in that span has it hit for more than 22 games. Common perception is that this will be a three set battle. I go oppo taco.

Stats over the last few years has the avg total games at around 19.5-20 when both players open up at under 2.00 on the Decimel scale..Getting a 2 games advantage over the long term average is real smart betting!. I actually took the 22.5 at -123 just to be safer..Good luck to us!

shari91 · 06-04-11, 07:53 AM

Originally posted by beefcake

Stats over the last few years has the avg total games at around 19.5-20 when both players open up at under 2.00 on the Decimel scale..Getting a 2 games advantage over the long term average is real smart betting!. I actually took the 22.5 at -123 just to be safer..Good luck to us!

I should pay you to pull stats for me. That's almost my exact reasoning as to why I took the under as well. Didn't realise you and EP were on it until now as I've been sorting out the contests so LET'S WIN THIS ONE GUYS!!!!

belvedere86 · 06-04-11, 10:05 AM

got under 22.5. ofcourse the stupid chinese bitch won in 23.

should have been easily 6-4 6-2 instead. ******* choker. luckly I won big with federer yesterday or I'd have been pissed

beefcake · 06-04-11, 11:02 AM

This match pissed me off to know end..Li had just enough nerves to Fukk us over by the hook...Right pick wrong result..DAMMIT>>>

beefcake · 06-04-11, 11:05 AM

Originally posted by shari91

I should pay you to pull stats for me. That's almost my exact reasoning as to why I took the under as well. Didn't realise you and EP were on it until now as I've been sorting out the contests so LET'S WIN THIS ONE GUYS!!!!

Yeah, only thing is the juice on the O/U's shari on these matches on hard courts is sometimes around -135 to -145 on the 21.5 they set with sites like 5 dimes.This is where having access to pinnacle pays so many dividends over th long haul saving .1 to .15 per match.
I have seen these hit 60-65% on some years(no bullshit),but that juice pulls down you profit margin. Actually the mens is profitable as well doing this as the totals aon hard are usually 23/23.5 as you well know, give you a chance even if there is a breaker in the first..

shari91 · 06-04-11, 11:05 AM

I just saw the score now. UNFUKKINGABSOLUTELYBELIEVABLE.

I'm on an 0-6 streak. 5 of those totals, 2 of which I got screwed by the BLOODY CRAPPY ASS HOOK. No more tennis for awhile. Taking a break.

Maybe.

EaglesPhan36 · 06-04-11, 11:21 AM

Fukk. Nice way to wake up. I debated laying the chalk on the "Ends in 2 Sets" prop over taking the under last night, but could not reason myself into going -155 on it.

EaglesPhan36 · 06-05-11, 12:18 AM

Sunday's Points Play
Federer-Nadal Total Breaks of Serve Over 7.5 [-120]

Nadal's serve has shown vulnerability, it's just a question of can Federer convert on the break points he's given? Rafa doled out 18 break opps against Murray, but Murray could only covert three. For Federer, even when his serve is dominant as it was against Djokovic, there are times when he allows break opps. Djokovic converted 4 of 13 & even though not many were available against Monfils, La Monf took three of four breakers from Roger. For me, if this match goes at least four sets this should have a legit shot. Even in three, chances should be there.