Stacocakes Sony Ericsson Open thread

**Stacocakes** · 03-29-10, 02:45 AM

Can't really sleep right now so I figured I would throw some names into a parlay and see how much it pays to give you guys an idea of what we can get here.

First off Berdych I will never trust as a big favorite.Doesn't matter who he is playing.He is 1-0 vs Zeballos in their career but odds of -530 are a definate no-go for a parlay even.

Verdasco is 3-1 vs Melzer in their career. Last time they played was last year where verdasco won in straight sets 3 and 1. -270 odds on Verdasco.....definately not for a straight wager, for a parlay... if I am picking a parlay I am not sure about you guys but I want to pick someone that I think will win hands down. I don't feel confident enough in Verdasco to include him at -270.

Baghdatis/Cilic - toss up. definate no play at all

ok this doesn't seem to be working.I can't find any atp players I want to include in a parlay. If you parlay the mens favorites tomorrow you will get +1197 wow. That is seven picks and includes berdych, verdasco, Cilic,Fish,Youzhny, Gonzalez and Soderling. Great payoff. All 7 hitting is unlikely though.

On the womens side if you parlayed the four womens favorites, Kuz, Wick, Venus and Rad you would get +178 for a 4 team parlay. Very nice.

If you parlayed Berdych,Verdasco, Soderling,Kuz, Wick, Venus and Rad you would get +436 payoff for a 7 player parlay.

So tough to decide what to do.

Ok this is what I have decided. If this parlay wins all of the plays except Verdasco then I am going to get really pissed off because I am adding him to this parlay because I am feeling greedy haha.

Parlay for monday :

Verdasco, Kuznetsova, Wickmayer, Venus and Radwanska

+281

Best of luck tomorrow guys.

**obie** · 03-29-10, 06:33 AM

I hate parlying more then 3 players .. I know the play should go home, but I really dont think its gonna :/ .. 5 players is just too much, but Good Luck dude

..

And, Melzer is playing very good at the time, and Verdasco is not what he used to be.. I know that this might be the turnover for verdasco, and lets hope! :-)

Sorry for my bad english, hope you can understand me

**Boner_18** · 03-29-10, 07:16 AM

I think Verdasco holds it down. He really whooped his first opponent.

**obie** · 03-29-10, 10:19 AM

I think its gonna be a 3.setter

Bet: over 2,5 set @ 2,65

**MUHerd37** · 03-29-10, 10:21 AM

Tailing you on the parlay Staco. Also, made another parlay of my own.

Roger Federer -3500* vs Florent Serra
Tomas Berdych -580* vs Horacio Zeballos
Mikhail Youzhny -155* vs Stanislas Wawrinka
Robin Soderling -650* vs Philipp Petzschner
D.Nestor/N.Zimonjic -425* vs N.Almagro/T.Robredo
Venus Williams -600* vs Daniela Hantuchova

Pays more than double. Also, there will probably be no matches played today. It's supposed to rain all day in Miami.

**Stacocakes** · 03-29-10, 11:06 AM

Best of luck today guys
I'm not a fan of parlays either really so a five player parlay isn't my ideal bet but the good thing is if there is a big upset you don't lose as much as if you had bet the players individually.
Can't really see any of the favorites losing. Anything can happen of course as we see everyday

I should have waited until today to make the parlay. I figured something was wrong with Pinnacle displaying only four women's matches last night when I was doing the parlay. The odds for all 8 matches are now up.Some really interesting matches today.

HOWEVER looks like there is going to be ALOT of rain today. Not sure if any of the matches will be played or when they will be played. Guess we are just going to have to wait and see.

**tailmypicks** · 03-29-10, 11:17 AM

anyone on gonzalez? i think it is a mismatch against monaco

**Sforz** · 03-29-10, 11:20 AM

cakes, whats your record on this tourney ?

**ringemup** · 03-29-10, 11:23 AM

would not take soderling over petzchner, upset is possible there.

**Totolover1409** · 03-29-10, 11:28 AM

Yo Staco. Your 5-teamer looks pretty good but I have the same concern everyone else is having. 5-teamer is just like throwing your money away.

**Totolover1409** · 03-29-10, 11:31 AM

Also, i just looked at the parlay. Pays only +205 now on Bodog.

What do you think stacos

**RichardMoss** · 03-29-10, 11:55 AM

Alert! The Sony Ericsson Open is currently on rain delay.

**MUHerd37** · 03-29-10, 12:24 PM

Anyone can beat anyone at any time. Murray lost to Fish the other day. I'll take a chance with Soderling (#7 in world) over Petzschner (#53 in world). They have played each other only once (June 08) and Soderling won. Soderling is 8-2 his last 10 matches and Petzschner is 6-4. Like I said tho, anyone can beat anyone at any time.

**TWEETS** · 03-29-10, 12:31 PM

Rain Rain Go Away

**obie** · 03-29-10, 01:12 PM

Fukk rain!!

**Sforz** · 03-29-10, 01:22 PM

Originally posted by MUHerd37

Anyone can beat anyone at any time..

thats a fact, I recall the day fed beat smitch, seemed unthinkable, then we find that smitch had massive money on fed.... so smitch lost, but he really won. case and point.

**PingPong** · 03-29-10, 01:42 PM

looks like the rain has passed

**Stacocakes** · 03-29-10, 02:08 PM

Finally the play is about to start

Gonzalez is 6-0 lifetime vs Monaco. THe odds of -206 seem very decent here in this occasion.

With the rain going to be around all day I am not sure if betting and tying up your money all day is a good way to go here. The worst is when you have a good chunk of money on a player and you lose the first set and then the rain comes and there is a delay. Makes you sit there and worry about the bet the whole day and then you look at other forums and some people are saying that it stopped raining and others are saying its still raining yadda yadda yadda. If you want to bet today,don't bet big. Just do a parlay or something to have fun. I took the five players in mine because I got greedy. 3 or 4 player parlay like yesterday is really all you need.

Best of luck.Let's hope some of these matches get in today

**RichardMoss** · 03-29-10, 02:12 PM

After 4 hours rain delay today's tennis is now underway.

**smitch124** · 03-29-10, 02:16 PM

Originally posted by Sforz

thats a fact, I recall the day fed beat smitch, seemed unthinkable, then we find that smitch had massive money on fed.... so smitch lost, but he really won. case and point.

**Boner_18** · 03-29-10, 02:19 PM

I think I like gonzo at that price too. Finally getting started...

**Stacocakes** · 03-29-10, 02:27 PM

Federer has a weird orange shirt on today

**obie** · 03-29-10, 02:29 PM

I dont know about you guys, but seeing federer isnt the same as it used to be? His game is so insecure to watch i think !

**Stacocakes** · 03-29-10, 02:33 PM

Fed's groundstrokes are really inconsistant the last year and a half. They aren't as bad now as they were a year ago. In a non-slam though it's hard to bet him big because he doesn't really care about the matches and tries only when he really has to which is sometimes to late

**Stacocakes** · 03-29-10, 02:34 PM

Kuznetsova down a break in the first set

Not a good start

**Stacocakes** · 03-29-10, 02:35 PM

haha just as we talk about federer he gets broken back by Serra

**obie** · 03-29-10, 02:36 PM

Oh my god, he thinks he owns the hole world!

**Stacocakes** · 03-29-10, 02:37 PM

Kuznetsova broken again to lose the first set

ugly tennis. Looks like the wind is affecting her. Parlay might be dead before it even gets a chance

**Stacocakes** · 03-29-10, 02:38 PM

oh my god.Trainer out for Kuz

**obie** · 03-29-10, 02:41 PM

What the F*** is youzhny doing?

**Stacocakes** · 03-29-10, 02:45 PM

Wawrinka is destroying Youzhny. Surprising.Still think it will be a three set match

**Stacocakes** · 03-29-10, 02:48 PM

2-0 Bartoli

Kuz holding her shoulder and side pretending to be in pain.This match is done and so is the parlay

**obie** · 03-29-10, 02:51 PM

Youzhny didnt meet up today, I think its over ..

**Stacocakes** · 03-29-10, 02:56 PM

Thanks for the effort Kuz

**tailmypicks** · 03-29-10, 02:57 PM

gonzo sod williams that is the safest one