Tracking this only....New system..

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  • beefcake
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-26-09
    • 14029

    #1
    Tracking this only....New system..
    Seeing Davydenko win Doha last week gave me an idea.You have to forgive me,Im a alternative think outside the box kind of gambler,so Im always tinkering looking for an edge on anything.Just so happens Im doing it in tennis right now.

    How about seeing how all Ranked players do in an underdog system?
    Meaning..... play on all ranked players in each tourney that are +100 or better.Also Im sure there are ranked players that play other players that are UNRANKED that also are + money.

    Im sure yes the reason they would be underdogs would be for a reason that the books know,but the books cant be always right?

    So through Brisbane,Doha,and Chennai..

    The record would be 5-10...-6.06 units YTD..assuming 1 unit per bet..
    Record of Seeded underdogs vs unseeded would 0-1..-1 unit...
  • beefcake
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-26-09
    • 14029

    #2
    Well montanes is +205 as a seeded player vs isner unseeded...+215.....hmmmm..
    Comment
    • beefcake
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 11-26-09
      • 14029

      #3
      +215...idiot..
      Comment
      • sportsfan2009
        SBR MVP
        • 11-19-09
        • 2063

        #4
        Comment
        • beefcake
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 11-26-09
          • 14029

          #5
          well too many plays to track with seeded players underdog vs seeded..dont have the time

          But the seeded dogs vs the unseeded can be tracked casue we have maybe 1 or 2 per tourney..maybe 3-4 per major..

          Through the aussie open record of seeded dogs vs unseeded favs is ...5-5 +1 unit..
          Comment
          • beefcake
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 11-26-09
            • 14029

            #6
            today ram would qualify as a play..
            Comment
            • beefcake
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 11-26-09
              • 14029

              #7
              6-5 +1.2 units..YTD..

              Lu qualifies tommorrow...+180
              Comment
              • beefcake
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 11-26-09
                • 14029

                #8
                winner with Lu...7-5 +3 units..
                Tommorrow we have Mr. Ram...+100...
                Comment
                • dtp
                  SBR MVP
                  • 09-17-09
                  • 2106

                  #9
                  don't like ram at all tomorrow.. good luck though beefcake!
                  Comment
                  • revnecro1273
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-25-09
                    • 1698

                    #10
                    i usually like to go with the unseeded player that is favoured over a seed...same thing as in ncaab and ncaaf going with unranked chalk vs ranked dog
                    Comment
                    • sportscash
                      Restricted User
                      • 01-16-09
                      • 2894

                      #11
                      Originally posted by beefcake
                      winner with Lu...7-5 +3 units..
                      Tommorrow we have Mr. Ram...+100...
                      Also had ram good stuff
                      Comment
                      • beefcake
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 11-26-09
                        • 14029

                        #12
                        winner with ram.
                        8-5 +4 units..(all seeded players that are dogs to unseeded.)

                        Doubt we will have any more plays this week..usually these only happen in 1st and 2nd rounds..

                        But I will keep my eyes peeled.!
                        Comment
                        • beefcake
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 11-26-09
                          • 14029

                          #13
                          2 plays so far that I can see..

                          Zeballos +128
                          Troicki +115..
                          Comment
                          • beefcake
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 11-26-09
                            • 14029

                            #14
                            2 retirements last week...so i wont count them...

                            Today we have hanescu.. +125..
                            Comment
                            • Unchained
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 11-19-09
                              • 428

                              #15
                              Let's get'em today Brutus the Barber.
                              Comment
                              • beefcake
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 11-26-09
                                • 14029

                                #16
                                9-5 +5.25 units..
                                Comment
                                • beefcake
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 11-26-09
                                  • 14029

                                  #17
                                  here we go again...

                                  1 play for dubai..Giles Simon +200
                                  Comment
                                  • Jive
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-10-10
                                    • 1405

                                    #18
                                    Interesting as I just put down some coin on Simon as well. I think I am going to take a tiny amount and chase against Baghdatis this tournament, and Simon provides an excellent opening match. I should get underdog odds against Marcos for the first 3 rounds. If he is upset I cash in, if not I can catch up when he gets to the quarters onward, where he'll likely have to beat Davy, Djoker, and Andy Murray to win. I'm betting he doesn't he win the tournament. I just hope he loses early so I don't have to bet high amounts against him later on.
                                    Comment
                                    • JNic
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-03-10
                                      • 4272

                                      #19
                                      simon looks like a pretty good play, i also think bolelli might finally break his losing streak?
                                      Comment
                                      • beefcake
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 11-26-09
                                        • 14029

                                        #20
                                        yeah no repect for giles...Coming off an injury I think,cause he pulled out of the aussie hurt.
                                        Good luck fading Marcos!!
                                        Comment
                                        • beefcake
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 11-26-09
                                          • 14029

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by JNic
                                          simon looks like a pretty good play, i also think bolelli might finally break his losing streak?
                                          Man he has been so bad...I personally wouldnt touch him with a 10 foot pole..
                                          Comment
                                          • beefcake
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 11-26-09
                                            • 14029

                                            #22
                                            9-6 +4.25 units...
                                            Comment
                                            • beefcake
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 11-26-09
                                              • 14029

                                              #23
                                              2 for tuesday..

                                              isner +119..
                                              chardy +125
                                              Comment
                                              • beefcake
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 11-26-09
                                                • 14029

                                                #24
                                                10-7 +4.5 units...
                                                Comment
                                                • beefcake
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 11-26-09
                                                  • 14029

                                                  #25
                                                  chardy +134...
                                                  Comment
                                                  • beefcake
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 11-26-09
                                                    • 14029

                                                    #26
                                                    10-8 +3.5 units..YTD

                                                    Today. montanes +125..5 dimes..
                                                    melzer +115..5 dimes
                                                    lopez..+215..pinnacle
                                                    Comment
                                                    • beefcake
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 11-26-09
                                                      • 14029

                                                      #27
                                                      sorry lopez is +115..
                                                      Comment
                                                      • beefcake
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 11-26-09
                                                        • 14029

                                                        #28
                                                        13-8 +7.05 units..
                                                        Comment
                                                        • beefcake
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 11-26-09
                                                          • 14029

                                                          #29
                                                          2 more seeded dogs today...so far so good on the year! hopefully it keeps going
                                                          troicki +160
                                                          Bellucci +190..
                                                          Comment
                                                          • beefcake
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 11-26-09
                                                            • 14029

                                                            #30
                                                            14-9 +7.95 units...

                                                            looks like we have montanes +160 on sat..
                                                            Comment
                                                            • beefcake
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 11-26-09
                                                              • 14029

                                                              #31
                                                              14-10 +6.95 units..
                                                              Comment
                                                              • beefcake
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 11-26-09
                                                                • 14029

                                                                #32
                                                                lopez +120 for monday..
                                                                Comment
                                                                • singgooner
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 03-27-10
                                                                  • 795

                                                                  #33
                                                                  beefcake - as I come from the home of Wimbledon ! I really like your concept and it is showing a good profit - strike rate - please keep it going - it could be a real gem if you have the commitment throught the season
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • beefcake
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 11-26-09
                                                                    • 14029

                                                                    #34
                                                                    No problem,I will follow it till the end,Im sure like any other system,it will have peaks and valleys,but getting + money on seeded players I would think will be good in the long run in theory,Lets hope it true!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • singgooner
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 03-27-10
                                                                      • 795

                                                                      #35
                                                                      what about looking at a martingale betting approach. So you bet 2 units - then if a loser 4 units, then 8 units, then 16 units. If the winners are more than even money - you should be able to cover a short losing run with a winner after 4 or 5 losers in a row. Just a thought - this is all your hard work
                                                                      Comment
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