Mr Octobers 2023 picks thread

**Maizey** · 08-14-23, 09:37 PM

Not a damn thing. They’re even more painful when you’re at the venue, to which I can attest.

**Mr0ctober** · 08-15-23, 01:11 PM

Ughhhhh rain delays the worst. I can’t find much on these tennis cards lately. I’m treading lightly by design as I was having hard time judging court speed etc for Cincy but anyone else struggling to find tennis plays here last few days.

**Maizey** · 08-15-23, 01:55 PM

Very cool and windy today in Cincy. My picks have been horrible so far.

**Mr0ctober** · 08-16-23, 06:35 AM

Originally posted by Maizey

Very cool and windy today in Cincy. My picks have been horrible so far.

That’s why I’m struggling to find stuff. Might be for the better I haven’t found much.

Ostapenko +210 and Mertens as a dog both looks like value to me. let’s fire some small plays today

**Mr0ctober** · 08-16-23, 06:43 AM

8/16 wta cincy

ostapenko +210 (0.5u)
Mertens +125 (0.4u)

parlay:
Kasatkina ML/Guaff ML/ Sablenka to win 2 sets to 0 (-111) (0.7u)

**Maizey** · 08-16-23, 10:25 AM

I play mostly dogs which haven’t fared well so far. Noskova and Mertens winning the late matches really helped.

I’ll join you on Mertens. Penko line has dropped too much to play. Interesting parlay. I like Sabby in straights, but not thrilled with Kasatkina.

My bigger plays today are spread plays on Davidovich and Collins, both gettin 5.5. I got that on Davidovich last night. It’s dropped to 5, so at least the market likes that one.

**Maizey** · 08-16-23, 09:18 PM

Sorry O, I jinxed you. I even managed to jinx your parlay, Kasatkina easy, Sabby of course is the loser.

I watched the Bouzkova Mertens match and I was amazed at how well Bouzkova moves. She seemed out of so many points and was able to not only get to balls, but in a position to get them back deep. Mertens just doesn’t have the power to hit through her.

**Mr0ctober** · 08-17-23, 06:38 AM

Originally posted by Maizey

Sorry O, I jinxed you. I even managed to jinx your parlay, Kasatkina easy, Sabby of course is the loser.

I watched the Bouzkova Mertens match and I was amazed at how well Bouzkova moves. She seemed out of so many points and was able to not only get to balls, but in a position to get them back deep. Mertens just doesn’t have the power to hit through her.

I like bouzkova game but thought Mertens would be able to solve her a little better. I didn’t watch the match but if bouzkova looks very fit something to keep in mind going forward! You can always find value live betting etc seeing things market isn’t especially in tennis I haven’t seen an ounce of this tournament just tracking via phone most of the time. That’s a pathetic effort by me yesterday basically forcing plays. Hate making mistakes like this but at the end of the day gotta learn from it and make better decisions in the future. And at least they were smaller plays but still dropped a couple units due to stupidity and not being disciplined.

oh well better luck today Maze! Enjoy the matches

**Maizey** · 08-17-23, 09:11 AM

Don’t be too hard on yourself, those weren’t bad plays. You were on the right side of Penko with the price you got. I didn’t see the Sabby match. She must have brain farted to drop a set to Ann Li, which is always in the cards with her. Fading Ann Li has been a cash cow for me this year but she burned me this week.

The one bright spot for me has been Linda Noskova’s performance in taking out Sams and Kvitova. I’ve had my eye on her for a while as a rising star. She’s got a complete game, not overly flashy, but pretty solid all around. I’ll be very interested to see how she fares under the bright lights against Coco with the crowd heavily against her. I have no idea how she’ll handle it. Her game can compete with Coco, just not sure she’ll be able to deal with the moment as an 18 year old.

**Mr0ctober** · 08-17-23, 09:17 PM

Originally posted by Maizey

Don’t be too hard on yourself, those weren’t bad plays. You were on the right side of Penko with the price you got. I didn’t see the Sabby match. She must have brain farted to drop a set to Ann Li, which is always in the cards with her. Fading Ann Li has been a cash cow for me this year but she burned me this week.

The one bright spot for me has been Linda Noskova’s performance in taking out Sams and Kvitova. I’ve had my eye on her for a while as a rising star. She’s got a complete game, not overly flashy, but pretty solid all around. I’ll be very interested to see how she fares under the bright lights against Coco with the crowd heavily against her. I have no idea how she’ll handle it. Her game can compete with Coco, just not sure she’ll be able to deal with the moment as an 18 year old.

bouzkova in straights! Hope you were on it!!

**Maizey** · 08-17-23, 10:24 PM

Sadly, no. I thought both players had a good game for heavy winds, Pegula because she takes the ball early and Bouzkova because she moves so well, so it was a no play for me. In the end, it came down to Pegula’s fatigue. All three of the women that played Sunday in Canada are out. That’s usually a good angle, and it was this year, even with the cooler than normal weather.

**Mr0ctober** · 08-21-23, 07:51 AM

8/21

ATP winston salem
Kotov -125 (1u) DK

WTA Cleveland
Siniakova -120 (1u) DK

**Mr0ctober** · 08-23-23, 07:29 AM

8/23 tennis
WTA Cleveland
Tat Maria +120 (1u)

**Conqueror** · 08-23-23, 03:09 PM

MrOctober (even though we're in August),

What's your take on some of the ridiculous outcomes of the qualification games?

**Mr0ctober** · 08-24-23, 01:32 PM

Not real super sure with qualifications l results to be honest. Am excited for the draw though US OPEN.

8/24

purcell +110 (0.8u)

**Conqueror** · 08-25-23, 02:28 PM

Rain delays!

**Mr0ctober** · 08-28-23, 08:58 AM

US Open:

FutureIga +250 (BetMGM) (1.5u)

WTAParlay: Saville -240/iga under 12.5 games -400 parlay (-130) (0.7u)

Parlay: Andreeva -340/keys -1.5 sets (-114) (0.7u)

Gracheva +120 (0.7u)

Parlay: Muchova 2-0 set/Vondrusova 2-0 set -134 (0.7u)

Volynets +185 (0.5u)

Andreeva -340 (to win 0.5u)

ATP:S Kwon +300 (0.5u)

**Conqueror** · 08-28-23, 09:30 AM

Can someone explain why Gracheva is an underdog here?

**Maizey** · 08-28-23, 09:56 AM

Townsend playing at home with a game well suited to fast courts. Market likes her a lot. Gracheva now +140.

**Conqueror** · 08-28-23, 11:30 AM

Originally posted by Maizey

Townsend playing at home with a game well suited to fast courts. Market likes her a lot. Gracheva now +140.

The result justified the line.

**Conqueror** · 08-28-23, 11:39 AM

Sakkari out in straight sets!

**Mr0ctober** · 08-29-23, 09:58 AM

someone knew something i thought Gracheva was live

**Mr0ctober** · 08-29-23, 10:03 AM

8/29/2023

ATP:
Griekspoor -160 (0.6u)
Monfils/Daniel Over 36.5 (-120) (0.5u)
Daniel +220 (0.5u)
Luca Van Assche +178 (0.5u)
Sebastian Baez +170 (0.5u)

WTA:
Yufan Wang +125 (0.7u)
Vik Tomova +178 (0.6u)
Fiona Crawly +260 (0.5u)

**Conqueror** · 08-29-23, 03:14 PM

Also expected Griekspoor to win.

**Mr0ctober** · 08-30-23, 09:19 AM

Originally posted by Conqueror

Also expected Griekspoor to win.

Brutal suffering through that loss by him

**Mr0ctober** · 08-30-23, 12:11 PM

8/30 tennis
WTA
Juvan-120 (0.8u)
Kalinskaya +155 (0.6u)
Haddad Mai -180 (0.5u)
ATP
Thiem +115 (0.8u)
Sauf/Paul over 37.5 (-105) (0.6u)

**Conqueror** · 08-30-23, 12:55 PM

Did I mention in some other thread that Collins (WTA) is unreliable? Didn't I?

**Conqueror** · 08-31-23, 10:04 AM

MrOctober,

Where are you?
I'm waiting to see your picks.

**Maizey** · 08-31-23, 12:02 PM

He posted Mhoh on twitter. I played Mhoh as well on the overnight. I got great line value. The market agreed with the play. I'm very surprised he's getting rolled by old man Isner.

**Conqueror** · 08-31-23, 12:30 PM

Originally posted by Maizey

He posted Mhoh on twitter. I played Mhoh as well on the overnight. I got great line value. The market agreed with the play. I'm very surprised he's getting rolled by old man Isner.

Thanks!

**Mr0ctober** · 08-31-23, 06:24 PM

ATP 8/31M. Mmoh -118 (1u)

sorry guys I had mmoh for full unit. I posted on Twitter I was busy at work. I had a bad line but still showed plenty of value. I saw he lost the first 2 sets but then somehow he came back?!! Busy day at work just catching up.

**Mr0ctober** · 08-31-23, 07:12 PM

Taking a smaller shot on Vickery +155 pts bet (0.3u) think there is some value here as I can’t justify Minnen as this big of a favorite just bc she destroyed Venus. Vickery has been playing very well here last few matches. But Vickery historically hasn’t shown much which is why we are much smaller here.

**Mr0ctober** · 09-01-23, 12:06 PM

Tennis 9/1
ATP
Karatsev +145 (0.5u)
Stricker -143 (0.8u)

WTA
Woz -125 (0.8u)
Mertens +5.5 games +100 (0.5u)

**Mr0ctober** · 09-01-23, 08:28 PM

Is Mertens real life?! Jesus

**Maizey** · 09-01-23, 08:51 PM

That’s the worst beat I’ve ever seen. Brutal.