Lightning tennis thread

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  • Lightning
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 05-15-16
    • 647

    #491
    Adding:

    CHALLENGER FAIRFIELD

    - Giannessi to WIN - $2 - ONE STAKE
    Comment
    • Chaz22
      SBR MVP
      • 09-30-10
      • 1152

      #492
      Was on Tsonga and Djokovik's freaking under as well.....once i saw Tsonga's movement in first couple of games, I knew my bet was lost....incredible....and Djokovik ????? what are you doing?? out of all the matches you pick this one to underperform..... you loose a set???? hope you loose a match.....Good thing, Lightning. Im going against your 2 other picks (Murray and Simon) so it means you have a really good chance of evening this out....i hate tennis....
      Comment
      • KingHawkins
        SBR MVP
        • 04-18-13
        • 1311

        #493
        Nice writeups again. I like Simon tonight to beat Sock, I am on that, and I took Murray ML in a few pretty good sized parlays that I expect to cash. I was on Agut earlier, as I really felt Tsonga was quite fortunate to have beaten Zverev last night. I watched almost that entire match pretty closely, and I felt that I was watching a Tsonga that was clearly past his prime. If they played again tonight, I'd be on A. Zverev big. Anyway, good luck with Gilles, I may put a little more on him parlayed w Andy, and I hope Andy covers the 5 games for you.
        Comment
        • Lightning
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 05-15-16
          • 647

          #494
          Originally posted by Chaz22
          Was on Tsonga and Djokovik's freaking under as well.....once i saw Tsonga's movement in first couple of games, I knew my bet was lost....incredible....and Djokovik ????? what are you doing?? out of all the matches you pick this one to underperform..... you loose a set???? hope you loose a match.....Good thing, Lightning. Im going against your 2 other picks (Murray and Simon) so it means you have a really good chance of evening this out....i hate tennis....
          Oh boy. I bet someone's not happy right now hahaha. I just strapped myself in and backed myself with the last two. I've been really happy with my thinking and tipping, so I had a bit of confidence that the last two would pull through.
          Comment
          • Lightning
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 05-15-16
            • 647

            #495
            Originally posted by KingHawkins
            Nice writeups again. I like Simon tonight to beat Sock, I am on that, and I took Murray ML in a few pretty good sized parlays that I expect to cash. I was on Agut earlier, as I really felt Tsonga was quite fortunate to have beaten Zverev last night. I watched almost that entire match pretty closely, and I felt that I was watching a Tsonga that was clearly past his prime. If they played again tonight, I'd be on A. Zverev big. Anyway, good luck with Gilles, I may put a little more on him parlayed w Andy, and I hope Andy covers the 5 games for you.
            Nice call on Agut man! If it was any other tournament than Shanghai, I would've been with you. I just thought that the points would be a massive incentive.

            Glad that Tsonga and Murray both pulled me back to give me +0.2 on the Shanghai Mens but I lost a bit on challengers today. Hopefully Giannessi rolls with his impressive form lately.
            Comment
            • Lightning
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 05-15-16
              • 647

              #496
              Don't have time for lengthy explanations today, sorry guys.

              ATP SHANGHAI

              - Djokovic -4.5 games - $1.7 - ONE STAKE

              - 1st Set 3-Way Game Handicap: N Djokovic (-2.0) - $2.35 - ONE STAKE

              - Murray -5.5 games - $2 - ONE STAKE

              WTA HONG KONG

              - Gavrilova x Wozniacki - $2.1 - ONE STAKE

              WTA TIANJIN

              - Kuznetsova to WIN OUTRIGHT - $1.7 - ONE STAKE


              CHALLENGER CASABLANCA

              - Tsitsipas to WIN - $1.6 - ONE STAKE
              Comment
              • Lightning
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 05-15-16
                • 647

                #497
                Should clarify that the 3 way game handicap bet is with sportsbet
                Comment
                • Chaz22
                  SBR MVP
                  • 09-30-10
                  • 1152

                  #498
                  smoked again Lightning....

                  Cant believe you went for Djokovik's handicaps after his last 2 matches....even though he played considerably much better today than against Zverev. Credit to Agut certainly....he could easily gone out mentally....with all the Djokers tricks (racket breaking, shirt tearing and match point saving) he did stood his ground....
                  Unlucky with Murray of course....he had him in the second 5-1 serving for the match.

                  Women + parlays = Russian roulette...
                  Comment
                  • Lightning
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 05-15-16
                    • 647

                    #499
                    haha it was coming I suppose man, I had about 4 days of consecutive profit.

                    Re. Djokovic, I just thought that he'd pull it out. He's the best player in thgeg world by a country mile when he's on, and usually when he has a tough match early in the tournament, he raises his level. It's like a wake up call, i.e. you can't be so casual. Clearly he couldn't raise his level enough.

                    Murray just f*cks me off hey, nothing annoys me more than that.
                    Comment
                    • Lightning
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 05-15-16
                      • 647

                      #500
                      ATP STOCKHOLM

                      - Baghdatis +1.5 games - $1.8 - ONE STAKE


                      WTA LUXEMBOURG

                      - Bouchard to WIN - $2 - ONE STAKE

                      WTA MOSCOW

                      - Bencic to WIN - $2.5

                      MULTIS

                      - Berrer (Antwerp) x Harrison (Stockholm) - $1.95 - HALF STAKE

                      - Konjuh x Davis - $2.1 - HALF STAKE
                      Comment
                      • Lightning
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 05-15-16
                        • 647

                        #501
                        Baghdatis can go drink a bottle of bleach.


                        ATP ANTWERP

                        - Mahut -4.5 games - $2.1 - ONE STAKE

                        Mahut has a game really well suited to these courts. His serve is hard and flat, and he has probably the best set of hands at the net on the tour. His backhand slice will skid off the deck, making life hard for Schwartzman, who grew up playing on slower surfaces. Diego's forehand naturally has more topspin, whereas Mahut's ability to flatten his out means he can take time away from his opposition. Confident the Frenchman can cover here.


                        ATP MOSCOW

                        - Carreno-Busta to WIN 2-0 - $2 (Unibet) - ONE STAKE-

                        - Donskoy to WIN - $1.6 - ONE STAKE

                        - Carreno-Busta x Tipsarevic x Lorenzi - $2.2 - ONE STAKE

                        Donskoy got to the semis here last year, which means he has a ton of ranking points to defend.

                        WTA LUXEMBOURG - ALL ONE STAKE

                        - Dodin to WIN - $1.7

                        - Davis to WIN - $2.1

                        - Beck to WIN - $1.8


                        WTA MOSCOW

                        Pavlyuchenkova -3.5 games - $1.8 - ONE STAKE


                        CHALLENGER BREST

                        - Sidorenko to WIN - $1.6 - ONE STAKE
                        Comment
                        • gorwin068
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 05-16-16
                          • 920

                          #502
                          so unlucky on the pick of Donskoy...the opponent retired at 1-5 down in 2nd set...
                          Comment
                          • Lightning
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 05-15-16
                            • 647

                            #503
                            TENNIS TIPS



                            - Goffin -4.5 games - $1.8 - ONE STAKE
                            - Kohlscreiber to WIN - $1.6 - ONE STAKE
                            - Karlovic +2.5 games - $2 - ONE STAKE
                            - Bertens to WIN - $1.6 - ONE STAKE
                            - Gavrilova to WIN - $1.6 - ONE STAKE
                            Comment
                            • Miha UtroÅ¡a
                              SBR Rookie
                              • 10-21-16
                              • 2

                              #504
                              Why Kohlscreiber to WIN? Thank you
                              Comment
                              • Lightning
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 05-15-16
                                • 647

                                #505
                                Back after a semi-decent break.

                                ATP VIENNA

                                - Karlovic to WIN - $1.8 - ONE STAKE

                                - Dzumhur to WIN - $2.1 - ONE STAKE

                                - Struff +2.5 games - $1.8 - ONE STAKE


                                WTA FINALS

                                - Kuznetsova +4.5 games - $1.8 - ONE STAKE

                                - Muguruza to WIN - $2.2 - ONE STAKE
                                Comment
                                • Lightning
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 05-15-16
                                  • 647

                                  #506
                                  ATP BASEL

                                  - Raonic -4.5 games - $1.6 - ONE STAKE

                                  - Granollers-Pujol -2.5 games - $1.9 - ONE STAKE

                                  - Dimitrov -2.5 games - $1.9 - ONE STAKE

                                  - Mayer to WIN - $1.8 (Pinnacle) - ONE STAKE


                                  ATP VIENNA

                                  - Troicki to WIN - $2 - ONE STAKE

                                  - Pouille -2.5 games - $2 - ONE STAKE

                                  CHALLENGER BUDAPEST

                                  - Fabbiano to WIN - $1.8 - ONE STAKE

                                  - Basic to WIN - $2.1 - ONE STAKE
                                  Comment
                                  • Lightning
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 05-15-16
                                    • 647

                                    #507
                                    ATP BASEL

                                    - Verdasco/Carreno-Busta OVER 22.5 games - $1.9 - ONE STAKE

                                    - Pella +4.5 games - $2.3 (Unibet - amazing price) - ONE STAKE

                                    - Nishikori -5.5 gamesw - $1.8 - ONE STAKE

                                    - Delbonis to WIN - $2.4 - TWO STAKES


                                    ATP VIENNA

                                    - Lopez to WIN - $2.1 - ONE STAKE

                                    - Dzumhur +2.5 games - $2.1 - ONE STAKE

                                    Cheers!
                                    Comment
                                    • Lightning
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 05-15-16
                                      • 647

                                      #508
                                      Classic, Gasquet retiring when I'm about to get a win. Don't think I've ever seen it the other way round.

                                      ATP BASEL

                                      - Mayer to WIN - $2.8 - ONE STAKE
                                      - Mayer +2.5 games - $1.9 - ONE STAKE

                                      - Cilic to WIN 2-0 - $1.8 - ONE STAKE

                                      - Pella +3.5 games - $1.9 - ONE STAKE


                                      ATP VIENNA

                                      - Thiem -3.5 games - $2.1 - ONE STAKE


                                      WTA SINGAPORE

                                      - Kerber -2.5 games - $1.8 - TWO STAKES


                                      CHALLENGER BUDAPEST

                                      - Fabbiano to WIN - $2.1 - ONE STAKE

                                      - Gombos to WIN - $2.4 - ONE STAKE

                                      Cheers!
                                      Comment
                                      • Lightning
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 05-15-16
                                        • 647

                                        #509
                                        Last couple of tips for the year before I turn my attention to the cricket.

                                        ATP PARIS

                                        - Karlovic +2.5 games - $1.9 - ONE STAKE

                                        More than happy to take a +2.5 game handicap anytime Karlovic is involved, for obvious reasons. He actually leads the head to head record 2-1 on actual tour matches (all hard court). Cilic has just come off a tournament win in Basel, but as we saw with Kyrgios and then Agut, that doesn't always mean they're a sure thing going into the next week. Karlovic is just enjoying playing now, and all the pressure will be on Cilic. I think Ivo will go out there relaxed, and start bombing serves.

                                        - Muller +4.5 games - $2 - ONE STAKE

                                        I think this is the first time I've actively gone against Djokovic in a line bet all year. I generally don't like doing it, but like I always say - never say never. Novak traditionally struggles against the big-servers, and Muller is definitely that. His game suits indoor hard and with the form he's in and the troubles the Serbian has had recently, he'll think he has a chance of knocking him off. Could we see another Vesely moment?

                                        - Simon to WIN - $1.7 - TWO STAKES

                                        The French generally do really well at French events, because of the home support factor. Watch any highlights involving a French player from the first two nights, and everytime they win a point, the crowd goes absolutely nuts. Agut has had a rough couple of weeks, and Simon has been in good form for the last month. I think at home, at this event, Simon should be winning.

                                        - Tsonga x Pouille - $1.8 - ONE STAKE

                                        Same thing here - two French players that'll have the boost of the crowd support.

                                        - Ferrer to WIN - $2 - TWO STAKES

                                        I don't care how out of form Ferrer seems - he should not be $2 against this lumbering oaf. The Spaniard is good enough to just bide his time, pick the serves to attack and outrally the American. Watch for pinpoint passing shots whenever Isner gives Ferrer anytime at all on the approach shot.

                                        - Murray -5.5 games - $2 - ONE STAKE


                                        CHALLENGER CHARLOTTESVILLE

                                        - Soderlund to WIN - $6 - HALF STAKE
                                        Comment
                                        • Conqueror
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 12-08-13
                                          • 16778

                                          #510
                                          Insightful write-ups!
                                          Tailing all except Cilic and Ferrer. Cilic is on another level nowadays and Karlovic is too reliant on his serve.
                                          You never know what to expect from the "latter-day" Ferrer.
                                          BOL with your plays.
                                          Comment
                                          • Buffalosoldier
                                            SBR Hustler
                                            • 10-12-16
                                            • 85

                                            #511
                                            I wish my local let me do over/unders or +/- games. Seems you kill that lightning. Thanks for the winners past few weeks.
                                            Comment
                                            • Lightning
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 05-15-16
                                              • 647

                                              #512
                                              Originally posted by Conqueror
                                              Insightful write-ups!
                                              Tailing all except Cilic and Ferrer. Cilic is on another level nowadays and Karlovic is too reliant on his serve.
                                              You never know what to expect from the "latter-day" Ferrer.
                                              BOL with your plays.
                                              Thanks mate. Ferrer frustrating in the end and Djokovic showing exactly why you don't bet against him ahaha.
                                              Comment
                                              • Lightning
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 05-15-16
                                                • 647

                                                #513
                                                Originally posted by Buffalosoldier
                                                I wish my local let me do over/unders or +/- games. Seems you kill that lightning. Thanks for the winners past few weeks.
                                                Ahh shame man! Perhaps time to have a look for some new bookmakers?

                                                Thanks for the support, been a toughish end to the year but I'll only get better in 2017.
                                                Comment
                                                • Lightning
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 05-15-16
                                                  • 647

                                                  #514
                                                  ATP SHANGHAI

                                                  - Goffin to WIN - $2.5 - ONE STAKE

                                                  - Gasquet to WIN - $1.7 - TWO STAKES

                                                  - Djokovic -4.5 games - $2 - ONE STAKE
                                                  Comment
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