EP36's Racquet Abuse

**EaglesPhan36** · 04-05-15, 11:21 AM

I don't think Murray is going down easily today. I mean sometimes everyone is right, but I have not seen anything but people picking Djokovic to roll today. Seems like a very public/square pick and those often have a tough time winning.

I think the conditions here favor Murray a lot more obviously than last week at Indian Wells and Djokovic to me still looks a little battered whether its mentally or physically. Hard to bet against the best in the business though, but my gut says Murray will at least make this one competitive.

**EaglesPhan36** · 04-05-15, 11:30 AM

For the Murray future booked @ +550, it's a tough hedge with the line where it's at with Djokovic @ -345. Really would be bettors choice to either let it ride or take Djokovic -345 which would cut the Murray profit to +205 if he wins.

I'm usually keen on locking up a profit anyway possible on these, but with the investment only 0.5 unit here I am going to go ahead and just ride with Murray. Probably crazy, but my gut says Murray will have chances today. Whether he converts or not obviously is the question.

**Hardcoar** · 04-05-15, 11:36 AM

If you're feeling bitchy, you could always hedge live if you like the odds...

**EaglesPhan36** · 04-05-15, 11:41 AM

4.5.15 ATP Houston Qualis
Sweeting @ +230
Collarini @ +200

**EaglesPhan36** · 04-05-15, 12:04 PM

Houston matches may or may not get in today, rainy.

**EaglesPhan36** · 04-05-15, 11:33 PM

2015 Profit Margin: +0.57
2015 Futures: +1.95

**beefcake** · 04-06-15, 08:35 AM

Man watch out for Chung in this tourney I he gets in.

**EaglesPhan36** · 04-06-15, 02:24 PM

Yikes so much for Burgos. Losing to Groth on dirt is a bad loss for him.

**EaglesPhan36** · 04-06-15, 03:24 PM

4.6.15
ATP Houston: Matosevic +1.5 Sets @ +125

**EaglesPhan36** · 04-06-15, 04:15 PM

Qualifiers put into the main draw in Houston ...
Q] Chung vs [Q] Arguello
[5] Giraldo vs [Q] Dutra Silva
[WC] Tipsarevic vs [Q] Clezar

**EaglesPhan36** · 04-07-15, 12:11 AM

4.7.15
ATP Casablanca Dubs: Brown-Struff @ -120

**beefcake** · 04-07-15, 09:45 AM

Chung should roast the argie. That pixie dust clay helps his game. Kid has endless energy..

**EaglesPhan36** · 04-07-15, 09:56 AM

Seems a public play, either going Arguello or Overs myself. Still thinking. Be interesting to see what he does against someone suited to the surface. His quali opponents were a big bag of meh

**beefcake** · 04-07-15, 10:41 AM

Youre right..opposition was shit. Big servers bro on the dust here. Hence you are spot on with Isner and Felicity.

**Hardcoar** · 04-07-15, 10:43 AM

In case you're interested, Farkin' Farcundo looked like shit beating Kudla yesterday...

**EaglesPhan36** · 04-07-15, 11:39 AM

4.7.15 ATP Houston
Arguello @ -112
Lajovic @ +200

**beefcake** · 04-07-15, 11:44 AM

Got five dimes to post futures on all the qualies..They posted Chung at 250-1!!..took it.

**AceAce** · 04-07-15, 11:57 AM

I like the Lajovic pick EP, BOL

**EaglesPhan36** · 04-07-15, 12:27 PM

I never win anything for or against Chardy, so he will likely lose but I still think it was worth a try & F my albatross

**juanquintero** · 04-07-15, 12:43 PM

Lajovic being a retarded. Breaks back to give away the game with double faults..

**EaglesPhan36** · 04-07-15, 01:29 PM

Pretty much as expected when I bet on chardy matches. Always need that one or two per year to remind me why I shouldn't bet his matches.

**EaglesPhan36** · 04-07-15, 03:07 PM

0-fer Houston I be today. At least my dubs luck turned around the last couple picks. Onward ho.

**EaglesPhan36** · 04-07-15, 11:01 PM

2015 Profit Margin: +0.01
2015 Futures: +1.95

**EaglesPhan36** · 04-07-15, 11:21 PM

4.8.15
ATP Casablanca: Andujar/Haider-Maurer Over 2.5 Sets @ +130
ATP Houston: Delbonis @ +145

**beefcake** · 04-08-15, 08:57 AM

Ep...I have offically ripped up and cancelled by dustin brown fan card and membership after the debacle in the desert this morning.

**EaglesPhan36** · 04-08-15, 09:09 AM

Add...
ATP Casablanca Dubs: Klizan-Oswald @ -130

**EaglesPhan36** · 04-08-15, 09:18 AM

Originally posted by beefcake

Ep...I have offically ripped up and cancelled by dustin brown fan card and membership after the debacle in the desert this morning.

How did he blow it? Only see the scoreline so can't tell

**EaglesPhan36** · 04-08-15, 10:47 AM

Think this is one of those weeks where I'm gonna step away. Have very little feel for these tournaments obviously and now got to waffling on the doubles pick where my original selection looks like it would have won, instead I flip and choose the loser. Woosah.

**Vinnie Paz** · 04-08-15, 10:54 AM

Agreed I'm getting butchered thus far

**EaglesPhan36** · 04-08-15, 11:02 AM

Clay for whatever reason for me is tougher than most surfaces to pick when they switch surfaces. Maybe when the Masters tourneys get rolling, I can get going better. This week though, I got that feeling now to get out of my own head. I will add one more pick that I liked so I can empty my entire mental clip for the day, but then regardless of result I think skip out for the rest of the week.

Add...
ATP Houston: Groth +3 @ -110

**EaglesPhan36** · 04-08-15, 12:25 PM

Booking Delbonis now @ +160

**beefcake** · 04-08-15, 12:45 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

How did he blow it? Only see the scoreline so can't tell

Serving or match up 6-5..gets broke. Up 4-2 in breaker..loses 7-5...

**EaglesPhan36** · 04-08-15, 01:25 PM

That sucks, although I've seen some a shade worse than that - but that is pretty rough.

**lucasdawg** · 04-08-15, 07:19 PM

on groth to take a set aswell!

**EaglesPhan36** · 04-08-15, 07:56 PM

Time of death 1st set 3-0 Lopez, no way Groth covers +3. Only thing I was right about this week, needing to step away from these tournaments because my feel for them sucks.