EP36's Racquet Abuse

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  • EaglesPhan36
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 12-06-06
    • 71662

    #1156
    I don't think Murray is going down easily today. I mean sometimes everyone is right, but I have not seen anything but people picking Djokovic to roll today. Seems like a very public/square pick and those often have a tough time winning.

    I think the conditions here favor Murray a lot more obviously than last week at Indian Wells and Djokovic to me still looks a little battered whether its mentally or physically. Hard to bet against the best in the business though, but my gut says Murray will at least make this one competitive.
    Comment
    • EaglesPhan36
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 12-06-06
      • 71662

      #1157
      For the Murray future booked @ +550, it's a tough hedge with the line where it's at with Djokovic @ -345. Really would be bettors choice to either let it ride or take Djokovic -345 which would cut the Murray profit to +205 if he wins.

      I'm usually keen on locking up a profit anyway possible on these, but with the investment only 0.5 unit here I am going to go ahead and just ride with Murray. Probably crazy, but my gut says Murray will have chances today. Whether he converts or not obviously is the question.
      Comment
      • Hardcoar
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 02-17-13
        • 15606

        #1158
        If you're feeling bitchy, you could always hedge live if you like the odds...
        Comment
        • EaglesPhan36
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 12-06-06
          • 71662

          #1159
          4.5.15 ATP Houston Qualis
          Sweeting @ +230
          Collarini @ +200
          Comment
          • EaglesPhan36
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 12-06-06
            • 71662

            #1160
            Houston matches may or may not get in today, rainy.
            Comment
            • EaglesPhan36
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 12-06-06
              • 71662

              #1161
              2015 Profit Margin: +0.57
              2015 Futures: +1.95
              Comment
              • beefcake
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 11-26-09
                • 14029

                #1162
                Man watch out for Chung in this tourney I he gets in.
                Comment
                • EaglesPhan36
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 12-06-06
                  • 71662

                  #1163
                  Yikes so much for Burgos. Losing to Groth on dirt is a bad loss for him.
                  Comment
                  • EaglesPhan36
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 12-06-06
                    • 71662

                    #1164
                    4.6.15
                    ATP Houston: Matosevic +1.5 Sets @ +125
                    Comment
                    • EaglesPhan36
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 12-06-06
                      • 71662

                      #1165
                      Qualifiers put into the main draw in Houston ...
                      Q] Chung vs [Q] Arguello
                      [5] Giraldo vs [Q] Dutra Silva
                      [WC] Tipsarevic vs [Q] Clezar
                      Comment
                      • EaglesPhan36
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 12-06-06
                        • 71662

                        #1166
                        4.7.15
                        ATP Casablanca Dubs: Brown-Struff @ -120

                        Comment
                        • beefcake
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 11-26-09
                          • 14029

                          #1167
                          Chung should roast the argie. That pixie dust clay helps his game. Kid has endless energy..
                          Comment
                          • EaglesPhan36
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 12-06-06
                            • 71662

                            #1168
                            Seems a public play, either going Arguello or Overs myself. Still thinking. Be interesting to see what he does against someone suited to the surface. His quali opponents were a big bag of meh
                            Comment
                            • beefcake
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 11-26-09
                              • 14029

                              #1169
                              Youre right..opposition was shit. Big servers bro on the dust here. Hence you are spot on with Isner and Felicity.
                              Comment
                              • Hardcoar
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 02-17-13
                                • 15606

                                #1170
                                In case you're interested, Farkin' Farcundo looked like shit beating Kudla yesterday...
                                Comment
                                • EaglesPhan36
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 12-06-06
                                  • 71662

                                  #1171
                                  4.7.15 ATP Houston
                                  Arguello @ -112
                                  Lajovic @ +200
                                  Comment
                                  • beefcake
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 11-26-09
                                    • 14029

                                    #1172
                                    Got five dimes to post futures on all the qualies..They posted Chung at 250-1!!..took it.
                                    Comment
                                    • AceAce
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 02-23-14
                                      • 158

                                      #1173
                                      I like the Lajovic pick EP, BOL
                                      Comment
                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 12-06-06
                                        • 71662

                                        #1174
                                        I never win anything for or against Chardy, so he will likely lose but I still think it was worth a try & F my albatross
                                        Comment
                                        • juanquintero
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 11-29-14
                                          • 222

                                          #1175
                                          Lajovic being a retarded. Breaks back to give away the game with double faults..
                                          Comment
                                          • EaglesPhan36
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 12-06-06
                                            • 71662

                                            #1176
                                            Pretty much as expected when I bet on chardy matches. Always need that one or two per year to remind me why I shouldn't bet his matches.
                                            Comment
                                            • EaglesPhan36
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 12-06-06
                                              • 71662

                                              #1177
                                              0-fer Houston I be today. At least my dubs luck turned around the last couple picks. Onward ho.
                                              Comment
                                              • EaglesPhan36
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 12-06-06
                                                • 71662

                                                #1178
                                                2015 Profit Margin: +0.01
                                                2015 Futures: +1.95
                                                Comment
                                                • EaglesPhan36
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 12-06-06
                                                  • 71662

                                                  #1179
                                                  4.8.15
                                                  ATP Casablanca: Andujar/Haider-Maurer Over 2.5 Sets @ +130
                                                  ATP Houston: Delbonis @ +145
                                                  Comment
                                                  • beefcake
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 11-26-09
                                                    • 14029

                                                    #1180
                                                    Ep...I have offically ripped up and cancelled by dustin brown fan card and membership after the debacle in the desert this morning.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                      • 71662

                                                      #1181
                                                      Add...
                                                      ATP Casablanca Dubs: Klizan-Oswald @ -130
                                                      Comment
                                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 12-06-06
                                                        • 71662

                                                        #1182
                                                        Originally posted by beefcake
                                                        Ep...I have offically ripped up and cancelled by dustin brown fan card and membership after the debacle in the desert this morning.
                                                        How did he blow it? Only see the scoreline so can't tell
                                                        Comment
                                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 12-06-06
                                                          • 71662

                                                          #1183
                                                          Think this is one of those weeks where I'm gonna step away. Have very little feel for these tournaments obviously and now got to waffling on the doubles pick where my original selection looks like it would have won, instead I flip and choose the loser. Woosah.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Vinnie Paz
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 03-27-12
                                                            • 12177

                                                            #1184
                                                            Agreed I'm getting butchered thus far
                                                            Comment
                                                            • EaglesPhan36
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 12-06-06
                                                              • 71662

                                                              #1185
                                                              Clay for whatever reason for me is tougher than most surfaces to pick when they switch surfaces. Maybe when the Masters tourneys get rolling, I can get going better. This week though, I got that feeling now to get out of my own head. I will add one more pick that I liked so I can empty my entire mental clip for the day, but then regardless of result I think skip out for the rest of the week.

                                                              Add...
                                                              ATP Houston: Groth +3 @ -110
                                                              Last edited by EaglesPhan36; 04-08-15, 06:16 PM.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • EaglesPhan36
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 12-06-06
                                                                • 71662

                                                                #1186
                                                                Booking Delbonis now @ +160
                                                                Comment
                                                                • beefcake
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 11-26-09
                                                                  • 14029

                                                                  #1187
                                                                  Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                                                  How did he blow it? Only see the scoreline so can't tell
                                                                  Serving or match up 6-5..gets broke. Up 4-2 in breaker..loses 7-5...
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 12-06-06
                                                                    • 71662

                                                                    #1188
                                                                    That sucks, although I've seen some a shade worse than that - but that is pretty rough.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • lucasdawg
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 02-19-13
                                                                      • 3399

                                                                      #1189
                                                                      on groth to take a set aswell!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 12-06-06
                                                                        • 71662

                                                                        #1190
                                                                        Time of death 1st set 3-0 Lopez, no way Groth covers +3. Only thing I was right about this week, needing to step away from these tournaments because my feel for them sucks.
                                                                        Comment
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