EP36's Racquet Abuse

[EaglesPhan36]

Mathieu + games isn't terrible, although he can play loose sets that can kill that.

Catching Dimitrov off the layoff should help though.

[kenz]

Dimitrov games won over 12.5 @1.80 is also good

[kenz]

Dude is 6'6"

His serve was a big help when he won Auckland

I watched him with bare eyes in the first challenger he won when he was a dog to pretty much every guy he played when he was first making a name for himself. I would not trust his serve a lot but the guy has many weapons and definitely a very winner guy.

For today I am not sure. Cuevas might be a bit rusty out of rhtym for lack of games this season. If that happens Vesely will def cover the spread unless he chokes big

[kenz]

Mathieu + games isn't terrible, although he can play loose sets that can kill that.

I like over 21 and Dimitrov games won over 21.5 more because if he gets a break behind in the begining of the 3rd and understands he cant win he will probably get loose

7-5 6-3 and 7-5 6-2 are winners with Dimi over 12.5.

[abcapper]

Thoughts on Goffin? Really like him a lot today. It's a bit juicy, but I think he win in straights.

[kenz]

Dont like Goffin

[kenz]

Dimitrov looks like shit

[GoBlue77]

Dimitrov is such a f\*g lol

[SCI]

Goffin is unpredictable until he wins a few matches. Then he gets hot and you jump on.

[EaglesPhan36]

Yay Choke #1 of the week from Vesely.

[SirtySree]

Vesely serves 220kph bombs and is 6'6 like EP mentioned so would definitely say he's a big server.

[EaglesPhan36]

Well at least all my ideas sucked today, both those played and those thought about. One of those days, hopefully the shitty day gets outta the way early.

[EaglesPhan36]

2015 Profit Margin: +3.18
2015 Futures: -1.55

[EaglesPhan36]

2.10.15
ATP Rotterdam: Simon-Sousa Over 21.5 @ -110
Got a couple plays in mind early in Sao Paulo, but waiting for my book to release more options. Will be on it early in the morning to update with any picks.

Verdasco's draw gets interesting with Lopez out now as far as the futures play this week. Still has some tough guys to find through like Andujar, but not seeing Lopez makes it nicer since the indoor surface would help Lopez's serve.

[EaglesPhan36]

Add..
ATP Sao Paulo: De Bakker 1st Set @ +115
ATP Memphis: Sijsling +1.5 Sets @ -115
ATP Memphis: Kokkinakis-Kudla Over 22.5 @ -102

[kenz]

I think I will fade Kokk today, even tough I hate Kudla

Kokkinakis is too vulnerable on this surface. I did not like how he plays

[beefcake]

De bakker on an indoor clay court with that serve. yes please.he may go to the semis here or final IMO.

[EaglesPhan36]

Getttin crazy with the Cheese Wiz

[EaglesPhan36]

How many BPs you gonna not convert de Bakkle?

[EaglesPhan36]

The correct answer is all of them. 7/7

[EaglesPhan36]

That was an eloquent narrative on how not to win a set. Well done. 7 failed BPs and blowing the TB up 4-1 and on-serve to go up 6-1. That's why you are who you are de Bakkle.

At least Sijsling grabbed a set already to take the sting off that blowjob.

[EaglesPhan36]

Add...
ATP Memphis: Krajicek +1.5 Sets @ -113

[kenz]

I think I will fade Kokk today, even tough I hate Kudla

Kokkinakis is too vulnerable on this surface. I did not like how he plays

Kokk choked, my boy Kudla won

Wish I took your bet on Sisjling instead of my +3.5 @2.06. I liked the higher odds but Sijsling did it in a heartbreaking fashion

[EaglesPhan36]

How did he choke? I thought he just got outplayed. Wasn't like he put himself into position to win either set. Kudla played pretty solid.

[EaglesPhan36]

2015 Profit Margin: +3.66
2015 Futures: -1.55

[kenz]

How did he choke? I thought he just got outplayed. Wasn't like he put himself into position to win either set. Kudla played pretty solid.

Agreed. He got outplayed, 2nd set he looked better though

[EaglesPhan36]

I like Kudla, but he doesn't every seem to put it all together to take that next step. He's still pretty young, but I'm waiting for that season where he can escape being a Challenger guy and start getting wins on the ATP level, even if it's mostly 250s. Would be a big step for him.

[kenz]

I dont like Kudla's game and he was not great vs Kokkinakis. Watched Kokkinakis against Broady and Hanescu and I did not like him. I dont think Kudla can go ATP 250 level and being an Ukranian-born does not help either.

Anything for today? I am liking Thiem and Dimitrov to win today, might parlay them

[EaglesPhan36]

Eh I have no read on Thiem. He beat a half dead Gulbis and what looks to be Old School Ernie/DGAF, so that's not worth much to gauge anything on.

[kenz]

You may be right. Thiem is not great but court is so slow and Stak is Stak, not much of a return game. He beat a horrible Granollers whom I dont know how he played a semi last week with that game. Line movement favors a Thiem win. Still might need a 2nd consideration

[girlscoutcookies]

have a hard time gauging thiem myself. was gonna take the over tomorrow but i passed. thiem likes rotterdam and i think he goes on a mini run here, but he'll be a major public play tomorrow for sure. i still remember last season in the middle of being in form he lost to bobby ginepri.

[EaglesPhan36]

2.11.15
ATP Parlay: Haase +1.5 Sets + Cuevas ML @ +111
ATP Sao Paulo: Mayer-Ramos Over 22 @ +100

[EaglesPhan36]

have a hard time gauging thiem myself. was gonna take the over tomorrow but i passed. thiem likes rotterdam and i think he goes on a mini run here, but he'll be a major public play tomorrow for sure. i still remember last season in the middle of being in form he lost to bobby ginepri.

Yeah when a guy gets his first win of the year against a total waste of space, I gotta see another match to see if he's got form or if it was just a product of Gulbis Sucking Major Dikk. Speaking of Auto-Fade, I think Ernie is on that list from now until he wins two matches in a row.

[BennyBigNuts]

50 points to anyone who finds me a good stream for this Doi-Peng match

[EaglesPhan36]

Gulbis = hot garbage