litter box tennis plays

[Marillion]

Lol it seems like the whole universe was on Cabal/Farah and they lost.

[Snowball]

great work Sara and btw you have the most humpable legs on the circuit.

[Straguzzi]

Way to go, Snowball. Good call on Errani.

[Snowball]

very pleased with errani but disappionted in kerber and cabal/farah.
kerber i questioned but took anyway. i knew bencic has been playing everyone tough
but went with "experience" and again have that propensity to fade very young players
which has been dangerous. also i know kerber is a head case like giorgi so i shouldn't haveput her in.
anyway i added Agut, Woz, and Sharapova to get the [ ferrer, cilic, dimitrov, murray, raonic ] parlay up to +270 and 4 spots remaining.
also really want Mannarino +5.5 here (nice to see line fall to 4) because I have back-action on it to more Errani.
and Woz -4.5 straight.

[Straguzzi]

Good strategy.

As for me, I'm going to start a new open parlay; my 2 open parlays are dead.

[Snowball]

more thanks to woz, agut, and mannarino.

[Snowball]

i like this early line on Robredo tomorrow. He showed unbelievable guts
coming back yesterday to beat Simone Bolelli. He must be feeling strong.
Day of rest. Kyrgios seems overvalued. He's not a killer on Hard. From what
I can tell Robredo should be a stiffer favorite than -116.
I'm also going to put up some Under 29 on Federer match tonight.
Quick work.
I also think Kohlscreiber can beat Isner tomorrow. Isner hasn't been impressing me. Pennetta and Bouchard should both win also. Not sure if Kanepi will beat
Navarro but I'd like to see that. Could be worth a toss.
Have most action on Sharapova tonight but threw in a few tiny parlays
with Lisicki just in case it's a night of horrors for Maria.

[Snowball]

also like Under 29.5 in Joker/Querrey (Joker rolls)
and Sunday I like the early line on Jankovic over Bencic.
will be taking Errani but think that line can come down.
and Raonic -7 (-105) seems appealing.

[Snowball]

update:
Pennetta had no problem.
Raonic couldn't get separation but won all 3 tb's. probably the early start which can shake up some of these players who are used to playing later in the day/night. Like Kvitova. too bad she lost, was so flat and error filled like she
was ragged and hungover or something.
Djoker under came in easily.
Kanepi came in.
Kohl looks good 2-1 here should win a set before Isner can win 2.
Murray, Tsonga, no probs.
Winding down the day. Confident in Genie tonight. She hasn't had much of a problem with Strycova before. I don't think she will "beat herself" tonight.
Maintain on Robredo over the Kyrgios hype. Would stay away if it was on Grass
but not on Hard, and not with the pressure at Arthur Ashe I'll go with the guy I
know can handle it.

[Snowball]

great work staying focused Genie and Tommy.
pros both of you.

[sluggy1616]

update:
Pennetta had no problem.
Raonic couldn't get separation but won all 3 tb's. probably the early start which can shake up some of these players who are used to playing later in the day/night. Like Kvitova. too bad she lost, was so flat and error filled like she
was ragged and hungover or something.
Djoker under came in easily.
Kanepi came in.
Kohl looks good 2-1 here should win a set before Isner can win 2.
Murray, Tsonga, no probs.
Winding down the day. Confident in Genie tonight. She hasn't had much of a problem with Strycova before. I don't think she will "beat herself" tonight.
Maintain on Robredo over the Kyrgios hype. Would stay away if it was on Grass
but not on Hard, and not with the pressure at Arthur Ashe I'll go with the guy I
know can handle it.

Nice work kitty!!!

[Straguzzi]

Great job, Snowball. I like the way you structure your bets as they have been $ for me.

Thx => Am keeping an eye on Errani/Lucic-Baroni line. Had bet Jancovic ML last night SU and have her in an Open Parlay. Also have an open parlay from Fri with the 2 winners you posted; Sharapova and Wozniacki. Hoping to close that out today with a either a dog or short-odds favorite.

[Snowball]

lopez -150
gasquet 130
janko -255 janko 2-0 115 bencic 2-1 515
safarova 2-0 155 peng 2-1 415
sharapova -155
errani 2-0 -101 baroni 2-1 430

[Straguzzi]

Got a ? re: Safarova/Peng match, Snowball.

Book doesn't offer Sets betting.

What do you feel is the better bet I can make in the Safarova/Peng match?

My options are:

L. SAFAROVA -180 -3½-105
S. PENG +155 +3½-125


o21½-125 u21½-105

Thanks

[Snowball]

the way i have things arranged right now i need either Lopez or Jankovic.
both would be great. Safarova is kind of secondary, so is Gasquet.
i am also likely to sprinkle on some Goffin just for fun. hard to make
a convincing argument that he wins, but it's possible if he's relatively
flawless and Dimitrov gets anxious or sloppy.

[Straguzzi]

appreciate the advice on safarova. i put her in an open parlay. will fill later when she wins

[Snowball]

just a terrible day yesterday. it was obvious the rain delay and heavy humid conditions
affected the games to anyone who watched them. have to move on.

Pennetta, Pospisil/Sock, Azarenka, Berdych (vs Thiem tomorrow)+151
Pennetta, Bouchard +165
Pennetta, Bouchard, Djokovic/Kohl Under 31.5, Tsonga, Peng (vs Bencic tomorrow) +1775
Bouchard +100
that's it for now

[matt1216]

appreciate the advice on safarova. i put her in an open parlay. will fill later when she wins

Oh the Irony!

[matt1216]

just a terrible day yesterday. it was obvious the rain delay and heavy humid conditions
affected the games to anyone who watched them. have to move on.

Pennetta, Pospisil/Sock, Azarenka, Berdych (vs Thiem tomorrow)+151
Pennetta, Bouchard +165
Pennetta, Bouchard, Djokovic/Kohl Under 31.5, Tsonga, Peng (vs Bencic tomorrow) +1775
Bouchard +100
that's it for now

Good luck man!

[matt1216]

That fckin idiot Pospisil is costing us the match

[Snowball]

That fckin idiot Pospisil is costing us the match

going to try and recapture what was spent on that parlay with a Tsonga / Azarenka +159

[Straguzzi]

was on Djok Un. got Bouchard and Tsonga each straight-up. wasnt able to bet the other ones. was hemmed in at work.

[Snowball]

Wawrinka -213
large

[Snowball]

Raonic / Berdych +135

[Straguzzi]

I'm tailing, Snowball. Thx!

[Snowball]

well this is why Raonic can't get to the "next level" yet. Went to bed thinking he had it.
Really all he has is his serve. Nishikori the better overall tennis player.

+2960 Berdych -5, Monfils, Fed/Agut O 31.5, Peng, Woz/Err O 19, Will/Will
+186 Berdych, Will/Will, Hing/Penn
+221 Berdych, Simon
+280 Monfils, Woz/Err O 19
+194 Peng, Woz/Err O 19
.757/1 Berdych, Will/Will
+113 Berdych, Hing/Penn
-127 Peng

[Snowball]

thank you Peng
the Williams sisters were both utterly horrible.
add to Berdych / Hingis-Pennetta

[Snowball]

teeny weeny bet on Errani +400
Over 19 covers it.
good day here. Berdych, Monfils, Pennetta/Hingis, Peng.

[Straguzzi]

sounds good to me, Snowball. I'm alive in 2 parlays with your Ov and could risk a little on Errani. Book has +375.

[Snowball]

Challenger 9:15am Italy
Naso +105

these in open parlays:
Pennetta +6.5 (-150) small
Nishikori +2.5 sets (-310) medium
Azarenka -120 medium/large

[Straguzzi]

Like your betting a lot.

Followed but not able to bet set handicaps.

Book has Wawrinka/Nisikori 3.5 game handicap & SU -195/+175. Fill an open slot with Wawrinka -195.

Filled 2 other open and started 2 new parlays with Pennetta +6.5(-130) and Azarenka(-120).

Hope you keep up the good work.

[Snowball]

you say book has the match at 3.5 set handicap so means you could take over ?
i think Nishikori can win, but of course feel safer taking him to win 1 set.
Azarenka is low price and realize there are questions about her leg but she's
been able to wrestle through the matches. Her mental focus is strong. Makarova will have a harder time with Vika's serve than Genie's of course.
Pennetta +6.5 here's why I like it. At New Haven she
went 1-6,6-7(3) vs Serena. That's a 6. This time 6.5. I saw coverage before that match. Pennetta's coach was telling her to hit as hard as she could against serena and I could tell Flavia wasn't comfortable with that approach. She said "i've got to hit harder than her" but you could tell she knew that is impossible for her. She's playing great tennis now. If she learned her lesson about being unable to challenge Serena at all with power shots then she has a chance to keep it close. During that match she adapted thus you see the result shift between sets. She's been smoking on doubles unlike serena.
If she plays smart this will cover.
Concerning this challenger match coming up Naso has won 5/6 his last matches. He beat Skugor and went to tb with Zopp. On the other hand, Trevisan hasn't played at all
for over two months and is coming off a losing streak. He is favored because in two previous matches he won in 6-4 style but those were in previous years so it looks like Naso could be more in the zone today if he keeps up his recent performance level.

[Straguzzi]

Quick reply as I am out and about using phone.

Book doesn't have set betting.

Wawrinka is giving 3.5 games.

Will look spreads, totals, prices when I get back home.

Thanks for the reply

[Straguzzi]

took a look at my wawrinka bet, it's a $20 ml parlay w djok ml to pay even $.

Read replies re; nish/wawr in matt's thread. i didn't know all that about stan's knee. I can see how Nish being more lithe than big stan may help him. About the weather; our's here is generally the same as nyc's. warm today in mid-80's, very low humidity. shouldn't be brutal like the past 2 days.

[Snowball]

not going to be a great day here. Azarenka had nothing going on.
need Nishikori to win one set and Flavia +6.5
with these it will be a breakeven day.
no opinion on Djokovic/Murray.