it's all good. getting killed in these early rounds. thanks for the encouragement boys.
like babe ruth, i am calling a big today tomorrow.
like babe ruth, i am calling a big today tomorrow.
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matosevic @2.25 bet365-live 2.5u
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GL sir - I am on Matosevic/Steve Johnson /Monfils parlay.
Insane ups and downs so far.Comment -
and Matosevic takes it - grats!Comment -
you had to know that parlay was going to give you anal fissures. gl buddyOriginally posted by BumdealComment -
hahaha yep. very much wish i switched out Johnson w/ Struff. I considered it, but I'm greedy.Comment -
melzer +1.5 sets @1.769 3.5u
haase @3.17 2u
melzer @5.76 0.5u
paire @5.96 0.5u
vesely @4.22 0.5u
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fukking miserable run to start this french open. fml
thiem +2.5 sets @2.93 3u
mannarino/GGL over 34 @1.909 3u
haider-maurer +3 @2.14 1u
haider-maurer @2.94 1uComment -
Why Haider?
I think Karlo can block the net and serve well one more dayComment -
im fade-worthy at this point, so my opinion doesn't matter much. im not trying to go tout or have some fake trend record, these are just the bets i personally make and this thread keeps me organized and accountable.Originally posted by kenz
obviously ivo deserves to be the favorite here..just going with my gut. i think karlovic has played a fuk ton of tennis lately. If his serve is off even a little, maurer has a great chance. karlovic -2.5 sets is 3.05 in pinnacle..what a gift. the longer this match goes i think it favors haider over old man ivo.
He will be the key to everyone's parlay tomorrow. These fukking favorites have to stop cashing eventually. I will be there when they do.Comment -
I think Haider is a candidate of master of choker ceremonies before most guys so I would not trust him. But BOL baba
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you too kenz. can i ask you why you think they didn't open karlovic in the 1.25- 1.35 range? i know tons of people who make straight bets on 1.4 odds or higher. fishy line imo, but with the way ive been picking, youre probably golden.Originally posted by kenzI think Haider is a candidate of master of choker ceremonies before most guys so I would not trust him. But BOL babaComment -
I took Ivo in a parlay but I am making more money with live bets. I dont like my pregame picks but I really like my livebetsOriginally posted by bababooey13
Checked back from 2008, Ivo had 2 games under these odds on clay. @1.1 against Lajovic in 2010 when he was a nobody and @1.18 against Milojevic last week whom I never heard off. So I think the price is more of a tradition, reflecting Karlo's poor clay record.
I watched Haider more than a few times he never impressed me once. He barely beat Brands who was out of action for 2 months and having a horrible season ( people say stomach problems but I have no idea). Karlovic is underrated I think with his recent game + confidence. I think he can beat many guys ( some are top guys) and Haider -not a top guy- is in the beatable group.
I will also watch the game. BOL baba
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BOL kenz. i hope haider proves you wrong. doubt he does at this point. my confidence is shot. i refuse to make a favorite parlay. trying to keep on keepin on.Comment -
Brands had a monoComment -
good thing he took time off...so it didn't spread to both sides...Originally posted by zec
then he'd have "stereo"...
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stepanek +2.5 sets @1.84 6u
gulbis/stepanek over 34 @1.917 4u
stepanek @6 1.5u
berdych/robredo parlay @2.23 2u
stepanek +2.5 sets/berdych/robredo/tsonga (fun degen chase fml parlay) @4.7 0.5u
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well this thread has gone to shit quickly. not about to quit.
seppi +2.5 sets @2.71 1u
karolovic @2.56 3u
karlovic 1st set @2.36 1u
karlovic -2.5 sets @6.3 0.5u
fognini @1.869 4u
verdasco @2.06 0.5uComment -
Never say die baba!!! That's the spirit! Best of luck tomm, maybe you can turn it around. I'm pulling for ya
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I think SERVE BOT DR IVO has a good chance tomm to maybe win, but in straights is gonna be really really tough. Gotta think Anderson gets one of the first two, BUT if SERVE BOT goes off serving tomm, than you are betting on Ivo to win the first two in breakers..... Hmmm, maybe not a bad play with those huge payout odds. I won't touch that prop, but BOL!!!Comment -
fade away folks. im in a nightmare.
gulbis @2.78 5u
raonic -2.5 sets @2.14 2.5U
tsonga +2.5 sets @1.961 2UComment -
that's the best time to hold your nose and submit the plays...Originally posted by bababooey13
"square" and "sharp" results come in waves just like red and black in roulette...
i just booked my tickets on the same three flights...
best of luck to "team overdue good guys"Comment -
thanks fitguy. i needed it. first winning day of the week for me. fml.Originally posted by fitguy67Comment -
garcia-lopez @2.38 6u
really like this play tomorrow, so probably not gonna bother with anything else.Comment -
respectable plays LOVE IT, tailing.Originally posted by bababooey13
thanks for the gulbis tip as well.Comment -
no problem. your lucky if you didn't tail anything i bet earlier this week. my bum is still sore.Originally posted by FollowMyPicksComment -
k i lied. anderson 1st set @5.31 0.5uOriginally posted by bababooey13Comment -
another gutsy play...even with the 40-cent bonus payout...given their (admittedly mostly ancient) h2h...
you factoring in the "Frenchiosity"...lol, which i clearly would agree with (playing at home for a choker is worse than on foreign soil...the "fear of screwing up ...AGAIN...is magnified by all the symbolic "national pride" etc. horseshit...i recall him choking HARD at last year's FO...again magnifying the "not AGAIN" elements that work against one's ability to close the deal)...
hmmm...think i just talked (er, typed) my way into following you full-pop on your super-max play based on fading the king of tennis self-sabotageComment -
lol.Originally posted by fitguy67
i just really don't like how monfils has looked. the injury timeouts, playing like shit against struff. GGL has been as hot on clay as any player in the ATP the past couple months. what, like 3 losses since february?? but honestly.. have to mention.. i can't forget, GGL had trouble against donald duck AND lost a set to mannarino
i think there is a bunch of sharp money on GGL cuz i see tipsters everywhere on monfils yet the price is going down on GGL. hoping the line movement ends up making sense on this one. cheers buddy. good luck to us.
side note: GGL/monfils is on after halep/stephens so im expecting a 3 setter that takes 4 hours from them before I see the GGL/monfils match, which should get delayed by darkness.Comment -
I like the lo-risk/hi-reward Anderson play as well...all these "Lurches" (Karlo, Isner, Anderson, Cilic...) are--apart from TB's of course--more likely to win earlier sets than later...their joints/gas-tanks can't take it like their human-sized opponents.
i wouldn't bite at the 10-ish ML price, see it as a donation to the book...but if someone from the future told me Anderson won a set...i'd bet it be s1, 2 or 3 in declining order of likelihood of their being able to force a TB (or even steal a break with their massive serve-like forehand)
good luck to Team Good-Guys
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I like thisOriginally posted by fitguy67good luck to Team Good-Guys
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Problem with GGL is he was very soft against Mannarino and Young. And not in 1 set in at least 8 out of 9 sets.
BOL Team Good-Guys
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monfils has looked just as soft if not worse imo. if fognini had any testicles monfils would be dunzo. mannarino and young are both in-form as they can respectively get. appreciate the positive vibes buddyOriginally posted by kenzProblem with GGL is he was very soft against Mannarino and Young. And not in 1 set in at least 8 out of 9 sets.
BOL Team Good-Guys
. team good-guys need a win streak.
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hey bbb...i know u like the MLB, pal...(seen u over at NC's etc.)...
chek this out...
wouldn't you know it...burn all sorts of brain cells in tennis last few days...and go 1-5...
decide to auto-fade all big faves in bases...and looks like i'll go 5-1 on the eve of my launchComment -
nice job buddy. first night without nda or nhl playoffs for people to bet , and whaddya know almost all the dogs hit in mlb.Originally posted by fitguy67hey bbb...i know u like the MLB, pal...(seen u over at NC's etc.)...
chek this out...
wouldn't you know it...burn all sorts of brain cells in tennis last few days...and go 1-5...
decide to auto-fade all big faves in bases...and looks like i'll go 5-1 on the eve of my launchComment
