murray +4.5 @2.12 2u
baba booey's tennis
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bababooey13SBR MVP
- 11-13-13
- 1897
#36Comment -
bababooey13SBR MVP
- 11-13-13
- 1897
#37why didn't i stick with my system and take chardy +1.5 sets? dumb. too much kush.Comment -
bababooey13SBR MVP
- 11-13-13
- 1897
#38profit: +9.207 units
roi: 23.61%
stake: 39 units
record: 11 - 12
*pending futureComment -
bababooey13SBR MVP
- 11-13-13
- 1897
#39raonic/djokovic over 21 @1.741 4u
joker to win 2-1 @ 4.05 0.5u
dimitrov @4.35 2u
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bababooey13SBR MVP
- 11-13-13
- 1897
#40jankovic/errani over 24 @2.39 1u (degen/action junkie/too much weed/i hate wta/before i go to sleep bet)Comment -
bababooey13SBR MVP
- 11-13-13
- 1897
#41dimirov/nadal over 22 @1.926 3u
dimitrov +4 @1.909 1u
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BumdealSBR MVP
- 12-17-13
- 3954
#42Originally posted by bababooey13jankovic/errani over 24 @2.39 1u (degen/action junkie/too much weed/i hate wta/before i go to sleep bet)
put janko as closer in one of my mma parlaysComment -
bababooey13SBR MVP
- 11-13-13
- 1897
#43Originally posted by Bumdealthe story of my life
put janko as closer in one of my mma parlaysComment -
bababooey13SBR MVP
- 11-13-13
- 1897
#44profit: +7.196 units
roi: 14.39%
stake: 50 units
record: 13 - 18Comment -
bababooey13SBR MVP
- 11-13-13
- 1897
#45djokovic @2.21 6u
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sluggy1616SBR MVP
- 07-21-13
- 1317
#47Nice hit dude!!Comment -
bababooey13SBR MVP
- 11-13-13
- 1897
#48Originally posted by sluggy1616Nice hit dude!!Comment -
bababooey13SBR MVP
- 11-13-13
- 1897
#49profit: +14.456 units
roi: 25.81%
stake: 56 units
record: 14 - 18Comment -
bababooey13SBR MVP
- 11-13-13
- 1897
#50lajovic +1.5 sets @1.787 4u
lajovic @2.93 2u
nedovyesov +1.5 sets @1.81 2u
nedovyesov @2.84 0.5u
vaisse/mahut over 22 @1.91 1.5u
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fitguy67SBR Hall of Famer
- 03-13-11
- 5082
#51damn, i'm pinching myself...
*a thread with the great recording format of hardcoar (and honeybadger adopting it as well),
*a pledge to NOT bet wta and challenger (and, i hope doubles of all types gets included on the "ignore" list)...AND
*the "fire from the hip" posting style of bababooey ("Ferrer and Nishikori have the hearts of a lion...and the serving power of Sara Errani..."...that was you, right...over in EP's thread)
__________
question for you: can you state min/max and typical bet sizes...
looks so far that your minimum is 0.5u, and the max you'll seldom use/never exceed would be __________(my guess is 4.5 or 5u...cuz we've already seen most multiples of half-units, and they've gone as high as 4.5u so far)...and your typical play would risk somewhere in the 2u to 3u range...that's my guess from what I've seen so far...correct me if i'm wrong
so, like a a standard "1min to 10max/increments of 1u" system, but based on half-unit jumps instead, so it looks like
0.5min to 5max/increments of 0.5 (again, correct me if i'm wrong)
___________
good luck, palComment -
fitguy67SBR Hall of Famer
- 03-13-11
- 5082
#52what do you think of vaisse @2.6 vs. mahut...no h2h and its frenchy vs. frenchy so the chokinesss-factor should cancel...
no freaking way i'd take a frenchy at 1.62 (the best odds available on Mahut at Ladbrokes)...so it's effectively a "no chalk" choice over the two books, +160 vs -160 in US-format...
with the 60% premium on the payout, i say Vaisse looks good for a smallish splash (say 1.5u in your terms)
___________
oops, see u'v already looked into this one and are predicting a war, so taking the over rather than a sideComment -
bababooey13SBR MVP
- 11-13-13
- 1897
#53thanks fitguy. sincerely. you've pretty much got it figured out with the 0.5 to 5max system... you're rarely gonna see me go over 6, 7 units... and if you do, then Im chasing and this thread has gone to shit. 0.5unit bets will be the lowest while the 1-2unit range should be the average. anything over 4units would obviously be a strong play. made money with this system so far so lets hope i keep it going.Comment -
bababooey13SBR MVP
- 11-13-13
- 1897
#54Originally posted by fitguy67what do you think of vaisse @2.6 vs. mahut...no h2h and its frenchy vs. frenchy so the chokinesss-factor should cancel...
no freaking way i'd take a frenchy at 1.62 (the best odds available on Mahut at Ladbrokes)...so it's effectively a "no chalk" choice over the two books, +160 vs -160 in US-format...
with the 60% premium on the payout, i say Vaisse looks good for a smallish splash (say 1.5u in your terms)
edit.. & mahut hasn't won a set since the beginning of april. more fish smell.Comment -
matt1216SBR Posting Legend
- 10-27-11
- 14683
#55Originally posted by bababooey13i like it, but i passed. anybody who tells you they know vaisse's game really well is lying. i mean he beats ramos and queerboy and they make him a big dog again now to mahut(who we all know sucks donkey dick, especially on clay)? fishy to me. i think he puts up a fight , but flames out for everybody , cuz he looks too trendy for me. good luck buddy.
edit.. & mahut hasn't won a set since the beginning of april. more fish smell.Comment -
bababooey13SBR MVP
- 11-13-13
- 1897
#56busta @2.14 0.5uComment -
bababooey13SBR MVP
- 11-13-13
- 1897
#57pouille @3.61 0.5u
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bababooey13SBR MVP
- 11-13-13
- 1897
#58Originally posted by matt1216Its not fishy... Remember that run carbena just made??? He was a big dog-small dog for atleast 5 matchs.... It's just the public unaware of who this guy is so there's auto money coming in on Mahut right now. Carbena was a dog almost up until he lost 5-6 matches in I believeComment -
fitguy67SBR Hall of Famer
- 03-13-11
- 5082
#59Originally posted by bababooey13pouille @3.61 0.5u
and thanks for your take on playing Vaisse as the over...as a result, i set it up to balance things if he didn't hit on the ML...a unit saved is a unit earned!Comment -
bababooey13SBR MVP
- 11-13-13
- 1897
#60profit: +13.469 units
roi: 20.1%
stake: 67 units
record: 16 - 23
shoulda taken pouille +1.5 sets at evens but didn't wanna risk more than a unit on the piece of shit.
no dogs barked today. get ready for the public bloodbath tomorrow or the day after.Comment -
bababooey13SBR MVP
- 11-13-13
- 1897
#61becker +1.5 sets @2.27 2.5u
becker @4.36 0.5u
johnson +1.5 sets @2.04 2u
johnson @3.66 0.5u
volandri +1.5 sets @1.935 2u
volandri @3.5 0.5u
tomic +1.5 sets @2.35 1u
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bababooey13SBR MVP
- 11-13-13
- 1897
#62really wanted to up my units on johnson since all the favorites were winning again, but I was out doing shit and didn't wanna chase. lucky to scrape through today. play of the day was becker. what a dirty phaggot he is.Comment -
fitguy67SBR Hall of Famer
- 03-13-11
- 5082
#63baba, you gotta help me...don't know where else to turn...
don't know if i'm onto something here...or i need correction
i just posted these two over at EP36...but he's somewhere rustling cattle or something in Texas...he's usually helpful in times like these...but....well, i flipped out and put on each one to WIN 1 u...
i don't wanna become cappinpicks...but i'm starting to see unexplainably larger-than-logical payouts everywhere, lol
give it to me straight...do i need some re-education, here...or have i accidentally stumbled onto some of that "value" stuff i hear so much about?
Originally posted by fitguy67davydenko over vesely at +140 ish,
very similar ranking, similarly mediocre recent form, no h2h...
anything my unrefined tennis-betting ass is missing?
jesus, am i passing thru my "davopnz" (gift-fascination) phaseOriginally posted by fitguy67another APPARENTLY (to this crude = hopefully "budding", but maybe "decaying" tennis mind) "funny line" that makes me want to sound cappinpicks' free-money alarm...
why the hell is granolla +135 against monaco...
similar mediocre recent form, but grans 3-1 h2h, last on clay in 2013/monaco's only W was in 2008Comment -
bababooey13SBR MVP
- 11-13-13
- 1897
#64Originally posted by fitguy67baba, you gotta help me...don't know where else to turn...
don't know if i'm onto something here...or i need correction
i just posted these two over at EP36...but he's somewhere rustling cattle or something in Texas...he's usually helpful in times like these...but....well, i flipped out and put on each one to WIN 1 u...
i don't wanna become cappinpicks...but i'm starting to see unexplainably larger-than-logical payouts everywhere, lol
give it to me straight...do i need some re-education, here...or have i accidentally stumbled onto some of that "value" stuff i hear so much about?you kill me.
Comment -
bababooey13SBR MVP
- 11-13-13
- 1897
#65my guess is most people will be on monaco tomorrow. Pretty sure he's defending champ at the tourny. Plus, he just completely raped becker without any lube what-so-ever. It was rough to watch, being on becker.
Monaco looked pretty good, but how could you tell with the chump on the other side of the net not getting any balls in play? I was ready to fade monaco with becker... granollers is a big step up, so Im pretty comfortable backing granollers here as well , for a unit or 2.
as far as davy/vesely goes i lean to vesely. really hard to get me to put money on davydenko any more. I backed his +games spread back when he played tsonga last month and it cashed, but this is too much for me. too many other nice matchups I have a better feel for. Was gonna say i like the over, but either guy could take it up the ass and I wouldn't be surprised. full paragraph for me to say 'i got nothing' with that one.
i personally feel you stumbled on one gift, one lump of coal. but thats just my opinion.
good luck fitguy. keep looking for the gifts. you fortunately have a long way to go before you even come close to cappinpicks territory.Comment -
bababooey13SBR MVP
- 11-13-13
- 1897
#66delic +2.5 @1.909 4u
delic @2.37 2u
queerboy +1.5 sets @1.826 4u
queerboy 1st set @2.72 0.5u
klizan +3 @1.935 2u
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bababooey13SBR MVP
- 11-13-13
- 1897
#67delic/brown over 23 @1.99 2u
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bababooey13SBR MVP
- 11-13-13
- 1897
#68profit: +19.653 units
roi: 21.71%
stake: 90.5 units
record: 22 - 30Comment -
bababooey13SBR MVP
- 11-13-13
- 1897
#69thiem @2.48 0.5u
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bababooey13SBR MVP
- 11-13-13
- 1897
#70Originally posted by bababooey13thiem @2.48 0.5u
simon to win 2 - 0 @2.1 2u (live)Comment
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