EP36's Fuzzy Tennis Balls

[EaglesPhan36]

Hewitt, need a large C'MON you fukk. Geeze.

[EaglesPhan36]

[EaglesPhan36]

Cilic + Cirstea is a good parlay.

Not acting on it, but I have had a weird feeling about Cilic all day. Good luck!

[EaglesPhan36]

Oy Kyrgios gonna make me stay up for a 5th set. Would like to at least grab two wins LoL.

[khas_il]

Kyrgios comes through

[EaglesPhan36]

Kyrgios comes back and wins in a 4th set TB. If Hewitt can somehow sneak out this set, I can go to bed feeling Even Stevenish.

C'MON!

[sluggy1616]

Hewitt was heavily over valued - did not really take an expert to see that. I am sure lots got sucked in on the home field advantage so to speak. Pretty much an every year occurrence with Hewitt at the Aussie Open. He's usually one of the most backed players. I have had a hard time finding two chalk players per day to try to parlay, so I have been skipping even thinking about it - the more you have to "look" to find a parlay filler, the worse the idea seems to be.

On top of all that - the weather is tricky as hell because no one knows how any of these players will respond, unless they have a track record.

There are conspiracies out there:
the books do collude
there are green men at area 57
Jennifer Capriati WAS following me around town yesterday(don't mind that though)

[EaglesPhan36]

How about a break here Hewitt to avoid the drama of a TB and save my black little heart?

[EaglesPhan36]

Behold the power of C'MON!


Would not be shocked if Hewitt made a run at overturning the 0-2 and wins it. Large momentum for him after he went down 0-1 in that set and battled it out.

[khas_il]

Hewitt!

[face]

hewitt

[sluggy1616]

Behold the power of C'MON!

Cash that Ticket!!!

[EaglesPhan36]

Can never say Hewitt's matches at the AO are not interesting. Well dudes, I gotta grab a few hours of shut eye again. Go Go Kokkinakis!

[EaglesPhan36]

1.13.14: Australian Open Day 2
Kokkinakis +155 W
Klahn +405 L
Dancevic +205 L
Kyrgios -115 W
Kavcic +245 W
Bautista-Agut/Smyczek Over 35.5 [-120] L
Hewitt-Seppi Over 36 [-120] W

Australian Open Profit Margin: +2.05

[EaglesPhan36]

1.14.14: Australian Open Day 3
Gasquet-Davydenko Under 36.5 [+100]
Garcia-Lopez -125
Thiem +160
Nieminen +110
Niculescu +200
Puig +175

[Hardcoar]

That match is pretty much about who croaks under the heat first!

[Noleafclover]

Talk to me about Nieminen-Fognini, if things go poorly for Fogs, isn't a retirement somewhat likely with the recent injury? (dunno if your book cancels)

[Hardcoar]

Set betting is always void betting (as far as I know).

That was my point yes, but I don't give any credit to his "injury".

Edit: Oh right, this is neither my thread nor my bet. Well then... hostile takeover!!!

[Noleafclover]

He seems to have taken the moneyline. Perhaps thats considered a subset of spread betting.

But looking at the rules on 5d/betonline (pretty sure he bets), they grade retirements after the first set on ML, but not spread. Sorry, I could have answered that myself. Jumped the gun cause I like Fogs here, will be going him on spread though.

[Hardcoar]

Money-line is another random American term which is far better referred to as "match line".

[EaglesPhan36]

Niculescu!

[Shifty107]

Nice going EP. Nice to see you starting out well mate.

Any thoughts on Benneteau. I feel Robredo will be a bit rusty coming into this match.

[Shifty107]

You got a good number on Niculescu. I only got her at +175.

[EaglesPhan36]

That Robredo-Benneteau match is a toss-up. Both played five setters. Robredo is a little more consistent I think, but it's tough to tell how each will bounce back from the long first match. I would tend to think it will be a good, back & forth so I thought about the Over, but wound up passing in the end as it seemed real tough to call.

[gottimhimmel]

EP36 do you have any thoughts on the Keys-Zheng match?

For the record I appreciate your input on everything. Read your picks nightly.

[EaglesPhan36]

I have seen a lot of folks on Zheng. I don't know. Keys has a big game, but Zheng is certainly tricky. Zheng has pretty terrible form coming into this tourney though. Keys wasn't real sharp in her first rounder. Wasn't a big fan of anything particularly in this match. Would not be surprised with any result in this one though.

[Shifty107]

That Robredo-Benneteau match is a toss-up. Both played five setters. Robredo is a little more consistent I think, but it's tough to tell how each will bounce back from the long first match. I would tend to think it will be a good, back & forth so I thought about the Over, but wound up passing in the end as it seemed real tough to call.

Cheers brother. Always appreciate your input.

[EaglesPhan36]

Thought about doubles for a while today and trying the young bucks from Australia.

Adding..
ATP Doubles: Mitchell-Thompson +120

[QuangX]

Ep,How have you been? What is your angle on Niemieem?

[EaglesPhan36]

Better player on this surface. He definitely struggled in his opener and admitted that it took him three sets to adjust to the heat, but I think he's prepared for that now. Fognini had it easy with Bogomolov struggling with a shoulder problem. He's never done well here and throws in a lot of half hearted efforts on this surface. Niemo is just one of those guys I always trust to put forth the effort, whether its good enough or not is obviously always a question.

[QuangX]

Thanks EP for the write up. Will go with a veteran like Niemiem here in this match up. GL

[EaglesPhan36]

1.14.14: Australian Open Day 3
Gasquet-Davydenko Under 36.5 [+100] W
Garcia-Lopez -125 L
Thiem +160 L
Nieminen +110 L
Niculescu +200 W
Puig +175L
ATP Doubles: Mitchell-Thompson +120 W

Australian Open Profit Margin: +2.03

[EaglesPhan36]

1.15.14: Australian Open Day 4
Parlay: Przysiezny + Roger-Vasselin/Benneteau [+105]
Nishikori-Lajovic Under 30 [+100]
Dimitrov-Lu Over 39.5 [-120]
McHale +325
Voskoboeva +280
Voegele +175

[EaglesPhan36]

Nish fends off the choke. On the board with a W.

[EaglesPhan36]

Voskoboeva does not fend off the choke. Fukk. Would have been a nice hit. 5-3 in the 3rd and serving for the match, lost out.