EP36's Fuzzy Tennis Balls

**beefcake** · 03-07-14, 03:18 PM

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-07-14, 08:55 PM

Adding...

ATP Indian Wells: Brands +100

*Another TI fade attempt. 14-5 tips for Nieminen in this one. Not quite the volume of tips as others, but still real lopsided - so we roll and see what happens.

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-07-14, 09:32 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

TI tips are 23-4 for CB over Lorenzi, let's see how the curse works today.

Straight $$$ on the fade again.

**bababooey13** · 03-07-14, 09:33 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Straight $$$ on the fade again.

don't jinx it.

**bababooey13** · 03-07-14, 09:36 PM

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-07-14, 09:38 PM

There was no jinx on that one. Busta was busted up after that 1st set. Always interests me how these work out more often than not. Again, you gotta monitor TI only on the picks that are near pick 'ems for this, but it's quite the trend mostly. Let's see if Brands continues it.

**charley365** · 03-07-14, 09:42 PM

TI tips? Is that a website

**bababooey13** · 03-07-14, 09:43 PM

Originally posted by charley365

TI tips? Is that a website

tennisinsights where are the tennis 'sharps' live

**charley365** · 03-07-14, 09:46 PM

awww the tennis sharps!
Will check it out
Thanks

**OhMyEli** · 03-07-14, 11:01 PM

Kinda pressing it to autofade as a blind squirrel can find its nut

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-08-14, 12:55 AM

Brands no do the fade proper, more like taking it in the pooper.

**bababooey13** · 03-08-14, 12:59 AM

i feel like i could beat brands.

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-08-14, 12:39 PM

2014 Season Overall Profit: +6.40

Straight even for the day on Friday.

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-08-14, 01:41 PM

ATP Indian Wells: March 8
Chardy -125
Karlovic +345
Stakhovsky +320
Giraldo +320

Yes, I included Chardy because he was again part of the upset watch I spell out to begin a tournament. I'm sure he'll find a way to screw up, but going to use him any way. Realistically, hitting one of the three big dogs would be the best scenario, but all have potential today. I don't expect that all three will compete well, but hopefully at least 2/3 make things interesting.

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-08-14, 02:39 PM

Okay, well after today - I think no matter my mindset ... I cannot fathom another Jeremy Chardy better ever. I probably said that before, but thought it was worth trying against a man with shoulder issues. Apparently he needs a paraplegic to have a shot to win.

**fitguy67** · 03-08-14, 05:25 PM

2 things to avoid like the plague the rest of your life:

*betting (for or against) French males at negative-money odds

*betting (for or against) Italian females at negative-money odds

_____________

both of these groups are highly-predisposed to what has been called the "fold like a cheap fukkin' tent" gene, that can be triggered at the first sign of professional stress...

curiously they may go into apparent remission for days, even weeks on end of functioning at the highest of levels...lulling bettors into complacency about their new-found consistency...then bam! without warning a severe relapse of MGMS (Mannarino-Gasquet-Monfils Syndrome) devastates the bankroll

______________________

"Wop-Twats or Frog-Dicks...
with negative-odds on your bet-tix...
is a financially-lethal and soul-destroying mix"

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-09-14, 01:25 PM

2014 Season Overall Profit: +4.28

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-09-14, 01:30 PM

ATP Indian Wells: 3.9.14
Kohlschreiber-Lu Over 22 [-120]
Nieminen +130
Zeballos +270

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-09-14, 02:46 PM

Figures one pick I don't stick with for my seeded upset watch and KuKu destroys Pospisil.

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-09-14, 02:47 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

ATP Indian Wells: 3.9.14
Kohlschreiber-Lu Over 22 [-120]
Nieminen +130
Zeballos +270

Total booked @ 21.5 for -118

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-09-14, 03:28 PM

So much for Berdych playing as well as anyone LoL.

**bababooey13** · 03-09-14, 03:31 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

So much for Berdych playing as well as anyone LoL.

i thought he was turning a new leaf this year. same old birdshit.

**illadelphia215** · 03-09-14, 03:36 PM

Originally posted by bababooey13

i thought he was turning a new leaf this year. same old birdshit.

Yea, he's still a bum. Finally got the break late in third set to even it up, and then hands it right back next game.

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-09-14, 03:37 PM

Well I wouldn't call one slip on the whole year him being a bum, it happens to the best. He's had a very consistent year so far with today being the exception.

Looks like early on this tournament, I'll be bleeding money to the books.

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-09-14, 04:01 PM

If you can get a good price on a Djokovic future, might be worth it. That bottom half now without Berdych or Del Potro should be a cake walk for him.

**fitguy67** · 03-09-14, 05:35 PM

right now, only one of books i deal with that are hanging "outright winner" odds is Sportingbet...they have

Djoko +163
Nadal +200
Federer +600
Murray +900

care to think out loud as if these were on your platter right now...and you had a "nothing to lose" 2-unit free-play to place on this market

**Hardcoar** · 03-09-14, 05:36 PM

Djokovic has been looking ANYTHING but solid since French Open last year... It's even been exacerbated since the turn of the new year.

**Hardcoar** · 03-09-14, 05:36 PM

Gulbis, Isner, Nadal (@3+) are the only ones that interest me, if anyone cares.

**zec** · 03-09-14, 05:40 PM

Originally posted by Hardcoar

Gulbis, Isner, Nadal (@3+) are the only ones that interest me, if anyone cares.

LOL Isner, just donate money to charity instead.

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-09-14, 06:19 PM

Originally posted by fitguy67

right now, only one of books i deal with that are hanging "outright winner" odds is Sportingbet...they have

Djoko +163
Nadal +200
Federer +600
Murray +900

care to think out loud as if these were on your platter right now...and you had a "nothing to lose" 2-unit fee-play to place on this market

I think they are rated right where I would rate them with the draw the way it is. Even though I know some don't like Rafa's draw because of guys like Dog and Monfils in the potential path, he's also got Andy Murray as his toughest potential stop perhaps in getting to a semi. Djokovic's path to a semi looks easiest to me. I don't particularly like Federer because he's potentialy got Stan and Rafa just to get to the Final. Even with his improved play, that is tough.

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-09-14, 09:32 PM

Well at least one went right today that I played with Niemo. If I can find the number on my live options, will play Djokovic-Hanescu Under 18 for some extra ball sweat.

Djokovic-Hanescu Under 18

**bababooey13** · 03-09-14, 09:37 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Well at least one went right today that I played with Niemo. If I can find the number on my live options, will play Djokovic-Hanescu Under 18 for some extra ball sweat.

Djokovic-Hanescu Under 18

pinny just dropped the price on this. hoping it cashes after a miserable day.

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-09-14, 09:41 PM

Wound up on 18.5 @ -118 after Hanescu won the first game. I hope he breaks Dracula down early. I don't want to sweat balls ... even though I expect it or worse - just the way this tourney has started.

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-09-14, 09:45 PM

I'm definitely finding a Djokovic future tomorrow - if he doesn't follow suit of this half of the draw and decide to take an early vacation in Indian Wells. His draw just keeps opening up.

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-09-14, 09:56 PM

Gotta have something like 6-4 in this 1st set or it's a guaranteed loser. Probably will be just cuz that's how I roll this weekend. Or Djokovic can get broken and end it right away