EP36's Fuzzy Tennis Balls

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  • EaglesPhan36
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 12-06-06
    • 71662

    #701
    I really just need to make myself a note everyday to play what I mark first and then quit looking. Seems to be the rut I go into. Eesh.
    Comment
    • ctny85
      SBR High Roller
      • 10-18-13
      • 188

      #702
      Happens to me when I hit a rough patch. Becomes difficult to bet with confidence. Stick to your guns and be confident and you'll be right back at em I think. BOL, EP
      Comment
      • EaglesPhan36
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 12-06-06
        • 71662

        #703
        Volandri is like the only guy who can play a 3 setter and barely push a total of 22. Been said a lot before, but that guy might be the dirtiest player left on tour. You can't play that many 6-0, 6-1 sets like he does in 3 setters without someone profiting.
        Comment
        • matt1216
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 10-27-11
          • 14683

          #704
          Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
          Volandri is like the only guy who can play a 3 setter and barely push a total of 22. Been said a lot before, but that guy might be the dirtiest player left on tour. You can't play that many 6-0, 6-1 sets like he does in 3 setters without someone profiting.
          I seem to see it a lot from him... Do you think he does it on purpose? Or does he just have the emotions of a chick. It's painful to watch
          Comment
          • EaglesPhan36
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 12-06-06
            • 71662

            #705
            I firmly believe that he's still a not so under-the-radar match/set fixer. Maybe one of the best set fixers of all-time.

            His name comes up plenty if you Google match fixing stories. He to me is one of the more skilled guys in that aspect if he's continually doing it. I don't think it's necessarily for the ML markets either, but maybe more in the set betting or match totals. Imagine the odds you get in-match after he loses 6-0 in the 1st set for him to win the next set. Or how low your match total would be after a six game first set and then it goes 3 sets or the odds on Busta winning 2-1 that probably go real high after he looks to be in total control after one set ... lots of ways to manipulate markets that we never think of. Most people think of match fixing simply in winners and losers outright, but there's a helluva lot more bullshit from set to set that they can get away with that does not raise as big a stink IMO.
            Comment
            • matt1216
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 10-27-11
              • 14683

              #706
              Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
              I firmly believe that he's still a not so under-the-radar match/set fixer. Maybe one of the best set fixers of all-time.

              His name comes up plenty if you Google match fixing stories. He to me is one of the more skilled guys in that aspect if he's continually doing it. I don't think it's necessarily for the ML markets either, but maybe more in the set betting or match totals. Imagine the odds you get in-match after he loses 6-0 in the 1st set for him to win the next set. Or how low your match total would be after a six game first set and then it goes 3 sets or the odds on Busta winning 2-1 that probably go real high after he looks to be in total control after one set ... lots of ways to manipulate markets that we never think of. Most people think of match fixing simply in winners and losers outright, but there's a helluva lot more bullshit from set to set that they can get away with that does not raise as big a stink IMO.
              Yeah, I noticed this a lot with him down in Colombia and Brazil towards the end of last season. It's too bad he resorts to this shit. I didn't realize his name came up for match fixing, looks like I'll be steering clear of him to actually win. The scores definately reflect "sand bagging" thanks again
              Comment
              • EaglesPhan36
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 12-06-06
                • 71662

                #707
                Yeah the only time I really think he might effort is when he plays at home in Italy, but I think there are plenty of sketchy results for him there too probably if you look.
                Comment
                • Noleafclover
                  SBR MVP
                  • 06-06-13
                  • 1349

                  #708
                  Any thoughts on Simon -285 v Gicquel, EP or anyone? Even considering Gicquel favors the surface, and got the better of Simon in some 2004-2005 matches mainly on hard (often indoor), that was a different time in both their careers. Its also early rounds, but Simon is defending at least QF points here. Seems like Simon wins this more than -285 suggests, considering parlaying with another.
                  Comment
                  • EaglesPhan36
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 12-06-06
                    • 71662

                    #709
                    The points don't mean much, it's only one round of play he is defending since he starts in the Round of 16 and the next round is the QFs. Remember it's just a 250 too, so the points are really not a big deal.
                    Comment
                    • Noleafclover
                      SBR MVP
                      • 06-06-13
                      • 1349

                      #710
                      Yea I know. IDK its prolly a fair price but I'm goin stir-crazy, not seeing anything worth playing. Parlayed it with fogs. Not sure I've got the best of it at -130 for early rounds, 2 matches.
                      Comment
                      • EaglesPhan36
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 12-06-06
                        • 71662

                        #711
                        2.5.14
                        ATP Montpellier Parlay: Nieminen + Benneteau [-107]
                        ATP Vina Del Mar: Lorenzi +130
                        ATP Zagreb: Kavcic +155
                        Comment
                        • EaglesPhan36
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 12-06-06
                          • 71662

                          #712
                          How many chokes can one player get in his favor Garcia-Lopez. Gonna get fukking raped again by a choke. Lorenzi should have been icing his nuts at this point with a W.
                          Comment
                          • bababooey13
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-13-13
                            • 1897

                            #713
                            Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                            How many chokes can one player get in his favor Garcia-Lopez. Gonna get fukking raped again by a choke. Lorenzi should have been icing his nuts at this point with a W.
                            on par or worse than a wta match.
                            Comment
                            • EaglesPhan36
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 12-06-06
                              • 71662

                              #714
                              I can't believe I'm going to get beat twice going against this schmuck. Might as well just chalk up 0-3 for me. Marvelous.
                              Comment
                              • bababooey13
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-13-13
                                • 1897

                                #715
                                Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                I can't believe I'm going to get beat twice going against this schmuck. Might as well just chalk up 0-3 for me. Marvelous.
                                i think kavcic pulls it out for u
                                Comment
                                • EaglesPhan36
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 12-06-06
                                  • 71662

                                  #716
                                  Perils of the parlay. Loved Nieminen, but had to dig for a partner to parlay. Don't know why I don't just skip plays when it takes that long to find something. Usually means there is nothing worthwhile. Just say 0-3. Kavcic will choke.

                                  Even sillier is I had Davydenko to think about as a dog, but as usual didn't trust it and voila ... he wins.

                                  Think I'll just be quitting for a while. Ruts like this are not conducive to good things.
                                  Comment
                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 12-06-06
                                    • 71662

                                    #717
                                    Told ya. One thing I can do, predict a choke - especially when it involves me losing money.
                                    Comment
                                    • STAY STRONG
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 03-07-10
                                      • 2498

                                      #718
                                      Danger zone.
                                      Comment
                                      • bababooey13
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-13-13
                                        • 1897

                                        #719
                                        Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                        Told ya. One thing I can do, predict a choke - especially when it involves me losing money.
                                        was on kavcic myself. buzzkill.

                                        keep your head up EP.
                                        Comment
                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 12-06-06
                                          • 71662

                                          #720
                                          Ruts like this every year in betting, especially in tennis. Makes them no less painful. Probably need to get back to my previews on tournaments. Seems to help me see things a shade better, but a lot of times it's just dumb luck or a lack of luck that kills you.
                                          Comment
                                          • Hardcoar
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 02-17-13
                                            • 15606

                                            #721
                                            Which is why you just need to not be a bitch about it, and carry on.

                                            Your luck will turn around in no-time!
                                            Comment
                                            • fitguy67
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 03-13-11
                                              • 5082

                                              #722
                                              Originally posted by bababooey13
                                              on par or worse than a wta match.
                                              benny, lorenzi, kavcic>>>>>>>thanks for the mammaries
                                              Comment
                                              • EaglesPhan36
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 12-06-06
                                                • 71662

                                                #723
                                                Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                Which is why you just need to not be a bitch about it, and carry on.

                                                Your luck will turn around in no-time!
                                                Suck it professor. Chokes always make me sad. To get burned on the same player twice in a row adds to the feeble feeling. I'm only a bitch during extended losing streaks. Unfortunately, me and those have become too common a friend.
                                                Comment
                                                • Hardcoar
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 02-17-13
                                                  • 15606

                                                  #724
                                                  No I mean being a bitch as in quitting... that's a bitch move!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 12-06-06
                                                    • 71662

                                                    #725
                                                    I can quit for days at a time. Addiction always brings me back. Derrrr.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                      • 71662

                                                      #726
                                                      What's left of my kingdom on Herbert +165 @ Montpellier. Supreme.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • matt1216
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 10-27-11
                                                        • 14683

                                                        #727
                                                        Evans +170. Berrer to big of a fav i believe
                                                        Comment
                                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 12-06-06
                                                          • 71662

                                                          #728
                                                          If Herbert doesn't win, I am broken. Read more & Niemo is exhausted from DC & sickness prior to that About the best I have felt about one.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • matt1216
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 10-27-11
                                                            • 14683

                                                            #729
                                                            Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                                            If Herbert doesn't win, I am broken. Read more & Niemo is exhausted from DC & sickness prior to that About the best I have felt about one.
                                                            EP, play some Karlovic tomorrow. It's his time to beat dodig.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • EaglesPhan36
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 12-06-06
                                                              • 71662

                                                              #730
                                                              Figures I liked Istomin, but did not play.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • EaglesPhan36
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 12-06-06
                                                                • 71662

                                                                #731
                                                                Story of my week. Fml
                                                                Comment
                                                                • fitguy67
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 03-13-11
                                                                  • 5082

                                                                  #732
                                                                  Herbert = all skill/no focus...throwing the first set away like that was absolutely criminal
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Regul8er
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 11-06-07
                                                                    • 10666

                                                                    #733
                                                                    It's all good EP....take a day off, and come back firing tomorrow.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                                      • 71662

                                                                      #734
                                                                      Originally posted by fitguy67
                                                                      Herbert = all skill/no focus...throwing the first set away like that was absolutely criminal
                                                                      Broken record for me, but par for the course. Most of the guys I bet on this week choked multiple times in the same match. I'd rather just pick someone who lost 6-1, 6-1.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Bet10Heinekens
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 01-10-13
                                                                        • 10567

                                                                        #735
                                                                        Take a couple days off E.P.

                                                                        choking players is hazardous to you health
                                                                        Comment
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