Matts Tennis Thread 2nd Edition....

[matt1216]

holly fck, Diez up 5-3 serving for match shots the bed and that shitpump Berrer loses for the 3rd straight time to Copil. Man, today wasn't my day. Those plays were placed yesterday, hopefully today is new luck

[matt1216]

ATP/WTA 22nd Feb:

Gulbis ML 2.35 x 4 units

Williams/Anderson 2.10 x 4 units

Burnett ML 2.05 x 4 units


GL

[JC1186]

Thanks for the reply Matt.

Yeah Challengers are a tough one. I tend to stay away from favourites because motivation is always questionable. Particularly from the higher ranked players who have tasted greater success. And you can hardly blame them given the prize money on offer.

The exception being home players (like Devvarman for example).

But I do think there's a lot of money to be made on Challengers (Doubles too) with the right bets. However I'd still want 90%+ of my focus to be on the main circuits (including qualifying).

Anyway best of luck for the day ahead.

[Metaphor]

Gulbis is far too good I think this is his tournament to lose

[matt1216]

Gulbis is far too good I think this is his tournament to lose

Yeah, he's finally doing something right

[matt1216]

ATP 22nd Feb:

Tsonga -4 1.74 x 4 units


GL

[druss117]

Kudos Matt with the Gulbis Pick ! I really thought Gasquet would play better than that at home!

[Hardcoar]

Dude, I know how to wager. Lol. I've won over 7k in the last few days. These plays happen. Hopefully this one hits.

good luck on yur wagers

7K? Wow. Kudos!

If there's one thing I've learnt it's that it never hurts for someone to give you a friendly reminder not to chase after a big loss. That's all it was.

So what exactly is your unit Matt? Making 7K in a few days suggests $100 or $200 units?

I made ten million dollars on Cornet. Impressive, isn't it???

I was leaning and you pushed me over the edge. Good look!

Well it's not exactly rocket science calling an Isner match ending in Isner winning 2-1, to be fair.

[matt1216]

thanks, eventually he needed to have his way vs gasquet.

[Hardcoar]

ATP 22nd Feb:

Tsonga -4 1.74 x 4 units


GL

That is a very, very bad idea.

[druss117]

Noob question Matt! In the bet365 handicap market for the Tsonga match the 3way handicap for Tsonga -5 pays out @2.75 and in the 2 way Handicap Tsonga -4.5 is 1.83??? Does every half game increase will change the odds so much?
What am I missing?

[matt1216]

I made ten million dollars on Cornet. Impressive, isn't it???


Well it's not exactly rocket science calling an Isner match ending in Isner winning 2-1, to be fair.

Thanks Harcoar! I needed some humor this morning.

[matt1216]

Noob question Matt! In the bet365 handicap market for the Tsonga match the 3way handicap for Tsonga -5 pays out @2.75 and in the 2 way Handicap Tsonga -4.5 is 1.83??? Does every half game increase will change the odds so much?
What am I missing?

Just hit the -5, worth a shot in my opinion. Struff hasn't faced a solid server yet. If Tsonga is not in child mode, he should run over struff

[matt1216]

and yes 4.5 - 5.5 for example in spread is about the equivalent of probably 3-5 points in NBA spread

[Hardcoar]

I don't think you've seen Struff this week...

STAY THE F*CK AWAY FROM KONGA SPREADS!!!

[druss117]

and yes 4.5 - 5.5 for example in spread is about the equivalent of probably 3-5 points in NBA spread

woah thanks for the info !Did not know that. That's quite a big margin. So I can try playing the 0.5 , -1 margins if I'm really confident about a match!

[Cappinpicks]

Wow Berrer is a worthless loser Adrian hungur beast

[matt1216]

Wow Berrer is a worthless loser Adrian hungur beast

U watch the match? Probably the worst beat I've had this year. Diez is a POS. Berrer should just go ahead and retire, garbage

[matt1216]

I don't think you've seen Struff this week...

STAY THE F*CK AWAY FROM KONGA SPREADS!!!

Good call HC. Struff has screwed me so many times, I was just reluctant to back him at all

[matt1216]

WTA Rio 22nd Feb:

Zakapalova/Pereria Over 20.5 games 1.87 x 4 units




GL

[Metaphor]

Flawless from Venus

[MartyFR]

WTA Rio 22nd Feb:

Zakapalova/Pereria Over 20.5 games 1.87 x 4 units




GL

Who do you think will win? I've got Zakopalova as last girl in my parlay. Hope she makes it.

[matt1216]

ATP/Challenger 22nd Feb:

Estrella/Thiem 1.70 x 4 units

[Hardcoar]

Who do you think will win? I've got Zakopalova as last girl in my parlay. Hope she makes it.

I think the favorite will win.

[MartyFR]

I think the favorite will win.

I hope so. Seems like a level too high for Pereira is my guess. Not dropped a set this tournament, hope she can continue that form.

[Hardcoar]

How many people think the underdog is more likely to win, I wonder...

[matt1216]

I hope so. Seems like a level too high for Pereira is my guess. Not dropped a set this tournament, hope she can continue that form.

Zak has had some lapses, this is why I think it goes over. Zak should win tho

[MartyFR]

First game imediate break. Zaka starts alright.

[addictedto]

Hey man, I revised my unit size. It was 100$ a unit. I changed it about two weeks ago to 50$ a unit. Challengers were killin the bank for a bit. Hopefully that is over and done with now

7k , a unit is 50$ - there is absolutely no way you are 140 units up. But of course this is untraceable now.

[matt1216]

7k , a unit is 50$ - there is absolutely no way you are 140 units up. But of course this is untraceable now.

Addicted, you have no clue bro. I deposited 600$ last year and took it up just slightly over 46000.00$ I deposited 1000$ this time around and have floated as high as 11000$ and back down around 2000$. My thread has made money. Not a ton, but it's not easy for me to tell at times because I do about 1/3 of my wagering live...... I've lost track of my progress a bit due to work and time with the GF. I'm not sure you realize how much tennis I actually look at in a day. If you take this thread and the one I had last year I've got well over 120,000 views in about 4 months worth of tennis.... Trust me it's a lot of thinking/answering/recording. I try my best, sometimes I lose 5-10 games in a row, it happens. I've also won 10 In a row without thinking really as well.

[matt1216]

ATP Rio 22nd Feb:

Nadal -6.5 games 1.74 x 3 units

[brodie]

da fuk is nadal doing

[matt1216]

Fck me. Now I see why robredo lost

[Hardcoar]

I figured Tommy just took the chance in hand to take another dive of his.

[Riskfree]

best tennis game i have ever seen