Matts Tennis Thread 2nd Edition....

[fitguy67]

why is cunha favored?? souto seems way better

1. look into the stats (there's MUCH more involved than ranking)...this site and others like it are very helpful here

http://www.tennisexplorer.com/morelos-challenger/2014/atp-men/

2. THINK. for example in this case the lower-ranked player has indeed been made the favorite by the books...there must be reasons...so go back to step 1...rinse lather repeat

3. if still puzzled...THEN...ask a SPECIFIC question based on what u've found by clicking and thinking
__________

you wouldn't go to your professor and say "I don't understand chapter 5" now would you...no, you set up your request for help by identifying what you do understand and exactly where the understanding breaks down...otherwise u're wasting everyone's time

i'm not being a smartass...I'm quite new to this tennis stuff myself, and am still puzzled by the common "lower-ranked but favored" conundrum, but have found that by burning a few brain first cells i can either figure out why OR at least be able to ask a much better question...and sharpen my "spidey sense" for the next time something similar pops up (eg...ah yes, look at dates of those h2h meetings, or surfaces, or injuries, or performance vs a lefty, or...)

[matt1216]

Matt - Thanks for the big Winner last night!!!

No prob

[jessetk313]

Kvitova is a joke. 6-1 first set and up a break serving 4-3 and then broken twice to end second set. WTA sucks penetrate them!

[poet]

No prob

Yeah, Matt. Thank you very much! Although if you had given me your rationale I might have bet more than a unit

[BigPage25]

Hey matt thanks for the cornet play... was on tilt last night after the ridiculous nuggets loss i encountered yesterday.... and tailed you on the cornet play which basically helped me win all my money back and than some... thanks bud!

[matt1216]

Hey matt thanks for the cornet play... was on tilt last night after the ridiculous nuggets loss i encountered yesterday.... and tailed you on the cornet play which basically helped me win all my money back and than some... thanks bud!

No prob man. Let's hope there's more to come

[druss117]

Hey Matt how much does home crowd factor into matches ! I'm looking at taking Thomas Bellucci vs Juan Monaco at ATP Rio!

[matt1216]

Hey Matt how much does home crowd factor into matches ! I'm looking at taking Thomas Bellucci vs Juan Monaco at ATP Rio!

Thats a tough match. Bellucci can win but the odds seem off. Monacos been in a huge slump but finally won against zaballos. Tough match

[Cappinpicks]

damn was gonna bet cunha but they took it down nice play against trap call

[druss117]

yeah Monaco was in a massive slump so it was surprising how easily he beat Zaballos!

[Cappinpicks]

Watch Zak blow it like kvitova man she should be mutilated for blowing that match

[lovetobet]

why is cunha favored?? souto seems way better

damn was gonna bet cunha but they took it down nice play against trap call

So before the match starts Suoto seems WAY better and your questioning the play but after the match is OVER you were going to bet Cunha? I see you are still as sharp as ever with games/matches that have gone final!

[druss117]

Watch Zak blow it like kvitova man she should be mutilated for blowing that match

didn't see that will catch the highlights!!

[lovetobet]

why bogo? sela is a solid player and rolled 5-0

Cappinpicks, u got to stop with asking why I went with a certain after it's lost. Obviously I wouldn't have taken him if I knew the outcome. It's getting old man

I see your amazing skill set of picking winners on finalized matches has already been pointed out.

[matt1216]

ATP Rio 19th Feb:

Bellucci ML 2.15 x 2 units

*my gut is in knots on this one. I'm not sure if Monaco is turning a corner or if Monaco was just the better of the two slumping players. Monaco is about confidence, same with Bellucci. What worrys me Is if Bellucci dosnt serve well. Monaco is a solid returner. Shit serve. Bellucci said last year he was going to give it his all to be back in the top 50. Well here's his chance. I have to atleast give Bellucci a shot here

[Cappinpicks]

Do u know their rank even? That's why I questioned them cun didn't even have a pic and is 300 spots worse

[druss117]

ATP Rio 19th Feb:

Bellucci ML 2.15 x 2 units

*my gut is in knots on this one. I'm not sure if Monaco is turning a corner or if Monaco was just the better of the two slumping players. Monaco is about confidence, same with Bellucci. What worrys me Is if Bellucci dosnt serve well. Monaco is a solid returner. Shit serve. Bellucci said last year he was going to give it his all to be back in the top 50. Well here's his chance. I have to atleast give Bellucci a shot here

Niceee Makes me feel so much better about my pick now. Good Luck.

[brodie]

also on bellucci matt.. good luck

[Cappinpicks]

Niceee Makes me feel so much better about my pick now. Good Luck.

lol people worship like Nostradamus

[lovetobet]

Do u know their rank even? That's why I questioned them cun didn't even have a pic and is 300 spots worse

So to be clear your selection process goes something like this: I'm going to bet on Player A because Player B doesn't have a picture.
Your capping prowess is rivaled by none, well except for maybe this quarter sitting next to me.

[Cappinpicks]

So to be clear your selection process goes something like this: I'm going to bet on Player A because Player B doesn't have a picture.
Your capping prowess is rivaled by none, well except for maybe this quarter sitting next to me.

ummm.. did you finish reading?

[matt1216]

ATP DelRay Beach 19th Feb:

Hass 2-0 sets 1.67 x 2 units

[DownTheLine]

Imma tail on this one Matt, was leaning Haas to win 1st set until I saw the price. I'm hoping the way this goes is 1 tight set, followed by Haas taking over in the 2nd the way he should. GL GL

[Cappinpicks]

i like the haas pick, have Monaco so far sog ood

[Cappinpicks]

lets hope Kshitova dies for blowing that huge lead.

[Bumdeal]

Back to back break points in games and belucci unable to cash in

[Cappinpicks]

Back to back break points in games and belucci unable to cash in

tough one, but this has trap written all over it like cunha's win over souto

[DownTheLine]

lets hope Kshitova dies for blowing that huge lead.

In truth its Radek Stepaneks fault. Any girl that guy dates turns to crap in tennis.

[Cappinpicks]

In truth its Radek Stepaneks fault. Any girl that guy dates turns to crap in tennis.

damn czech players, all errors and they end up killing themselves with massive leads

[lovetobet]

Back to back break points in games and belucci unable to cash in

I skipped this play but Belucci is looking solid in 2nd set. I think he puts away the 2nd (not a big leap he just went up 5-2) and blows him away in the 3rd and you guys coast to an easy win!

[Metaphor]

Bellucci breaks 1-0 final set

[lovetobet]

Belucci closes out 2nd and has broken serve twice in the 3rd set to go up 3-0 and ready to serve. Match over!!

[lovetobet]

4-0, coasting!

[bringdownthehous]

thanks for yet another win matt...great bellucci bet...gotta admit, didn't think he was comin' back

[Metaphor]

ATP Rio 19th Feb:

Bellucci ML 2.15 x 2 units

Matt you are the man, once again I was feeling bad after Kvitovas meltdown (didn't notice you were on her too) but tailed you on Bellucci to get back on track! The crowd was loudly behind him and it surely helped with the comeback but to be honest it was getting little annoying at times when they were booing every call that went for Monaco and I think some guys from the crowd insulted the Argentinian.