Matts Tennis Thread 2nd Edition....

[GrindAllDay]

Thoughts on Golubev v Goffin?

[matt1216]

Thoughts on Golubev v Goffin?

Golubev, not even sure why goffin isn't +140 here

[matt1216]

fckin frank getting buttpumped

[biggie12]

i took goffin

[biggie12]

hasnt played since injury and should be a higher dog then +115 thats why i took him

[MGJubblies]

Hey Matt, any thoughts on these matchups:

Georges/Vesnina
Peng/ Hlavackova
Kerber/ Pavlyuchenkova
Cirstea/Pliskova

I have Kerber, thinking about Peng and maybe Cirstea. Any insight would be much appreciated!

[matt1216]

hey bud, I think George's gets it done

[matt1216]

ATP/WTA 31st jan 2014 adding:


George's 2.00 x 2 units

Berloc 1.83 x 2 units



GL

[matt1216]

hasnt played since injury and should be a higher dog then +115 thats why i took him

Yeah im worried about the odds, seems off. I will lay off that too

[matt1216]

come on Frank !!! Down 1-4 wins set 6-4 wtf.... Even match tho

[bababooey13]

matt im friends with Peter's sister her name is nicole she is like a 8 out of 10 blonde bombshell. They are from my home town eventhough they don't live here anymore, we keep in touch over facebook.

i just fbooked kristina dancevic and im still hard

[Spinny]

come on Frank !!! Down 1-4 wins set 6-4 wtf.... Even match tho

Wow I saw 1-4 and walked away... came back from dinner and boom his back

[matt1216]

frank serving like Raonic... 11 aces so far

[matt1216]

ATP Davis Cup Play 30th Dec 2014 adding:

Dancevic ML 1.91 x 5 units

*i like Dancevic here. He will need to win this match as I'm sure Polansky will lose to nishikori. This is in japan but the japan crowd is usually somewhat tame. Dancevic has played some quality players the last few weeks, and this is his chance to win for Canada. His big win was for Canada last year.




GL

There we are, 3-0 sets win for Franky. He said he was wearing his lucky shorts lol

[matt1216]

It's been a loooonng!! Time since I've seen Dancevic serve like this. 19 aces

[MGJubblies]

thanks man

[matt1216]

WTA/ATP Plays 31st Jan 2013 adding:

Makarova 2-0 sets 1.57 x 3 units

Berloqc ML 1.83 x 3 units




GL

[matt1216]

thanks man

No prob

[MGJubblies]

BTW, Vesnina is 3-0 H2H against Georges. I still like Georges, she played well in Aussie Open and the last time they played was 2011.

Georges won the first set of that match handily too.

[kruniks2001]

Hey Matt, any thoughts on these matchups:

Georges/Vesnina
Peng/ Hlavackova
Kerber/ Pavlyuchenkova
Cirstea/Pliskova

I have Kerber, thinking about Peng and maybe Cirstea. Any insight would be much appreciated!

I took Cirstea -1.5 and she ****** up real bad after winning the 1st set 6-1, she was up 6-5 with 2 match points at 40-15 but ended up losing the 2nd set 6(3)-7(6) and the 3rd set 0-6. I still cant believe what happened

[MGJubblies]

I just saw that. Cannot believe she lost 6-0 in the third set.

I ended up getting cold feet and stuck with:

1) Georges, +110
2) Svitolina +200
3) Kerber -300

All separate, single unit plays. I wanted to play Cirstea and Peng too, just couldn't pull the trigger.

[Spinny]

I took Cirstea -1.5 and she ****** up real bad after winning the 1st set 6-1, she was up 6-5 with 2 match points at 40-15 but ended up losing the 2nd set 6(3)-7(6) and the 3rd set 0-6. I still cant believe what happened

My balance is not looking good now after that

[matt1216]

WTA Paris 31st Jan 2014 adding:

sharapova -5.5 games 1.67 x 3 units



GL

[matt1216]

ATP Davis Cup 31st Jan 2014 adding:

Fognini ML 1.61 x 3 units

* I think Fognini wins here, maybe 4 sets. I'm not going to base this off The need to win, but I just think Monaco has declined over the last 12 months. Maybe Monaco has something to prove but I think Fogs can win this. My book seems to be tipping me on this line as well.


GL

[matt1216]

WTA France Play 31st Jan 2014 adding:

Cornet +3.5 games 1.87 x 3 units


GL

[EaglesPhan36]

Not playing it, but I fear Fognini gets rattled by either the crowd or the heat. That and the world is on him, much like so many were on Bautista-Agut at our favorite fade picking site of TI.

[matt1216]

Not playing it, but I fear Fognini gets rattled by either the crowd or the heat. That and the world is on him, much like so many were on Bautista-Agut at our favorite fade picking site of TI.

Yeah, I expect it to be close. I just havnt seen enough from Monaco lately to suggest otherwise

[matt1216]

YTD:

Regular plays: 132-135-14 -18 units(rounded)

Large Plays: 7-2 +44 units

YTD: 139-137-14 +26 units

*record up to date. Two plays pending. I'm something like 6-25 on challenger plays this year. Not even joking, the unit size will come way down on those plays



GL

[Jago2008]

YTD:

Regular plays: 132-135-14 -18 units(rounded)

Large Plays: 7-2 +44 units

YTD: 139-137-14 +26 units

*record up to date. Two plays pending. I'm something like 6-25 on challenger plays this year. Not even joking, the unit size will come way down on those plays



GL

Nice record on those large plays and overall, generally that's all you need to stay +EV IMO. GL on the rest of your bets Matt.

I also stopped betting on Challenger tennis last year. I can't stand the volatility of these low-ranked players and match fixing.

[matt1216]

well, Foggs ML and cornet +3.5 games comes through. Updating record

[matt1216]

Average unit plays: 136-135-14 -9.5units

Large Wagers: 7-2 +44 units

Overall: 143-137-14 +34 units(rounded)

[matt1216]

WTA Play France 31st Jan 2014 adding:

Errani 2-0 sets 2.00 x 2 units



GL

[matt1216]

Errani comes thru, plays for tomorrow to be posted later

[alpinepetey]

Crushed it today Matt. Nicely done.

[matt1216]

Crushed it today Matt. Nicely done.

Thanks bud. Hopefully it continues