Matts Tennis Thread 2nd Edition....

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  • therealdealau
    SBR MVP
    • 11-12-10
    • 3227

    #1156
    Makarovas backhand pwhoar...
    Comment
    • matt1216
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 10-27-11
      • 14683

      #1157
      WTA Plays 29th Jan 2014 adding:

      Barthel ML 2.05 x 2 units

      Suarez Navarro 1st set 2.40 x 2 units



      GL
      Comment
      • jessetk313
        SBR MVP
        • 09-12-11
        • 1298

        #1158
        Matt are you confident enough to play Kerber on the moneyline since I can't bet set odds.
        Comment
        • Semper Fidelis
          SBR MVP
          • 09-22-11
          • 1999

          #1159
          Originally posted by jessetk313
          Matt are you confident enough to play Kerber on the moneyline since I can't bet set odds.
          Yes Kerber should take her very easily - he's just choosing this prop to avoid paying the ridiculous juice on the ML. Although ML is the safest bet, you can wager on the spread at a much lower juiced line. Matt probably feels this is safer because this would protect against a very close 7-6 or 7-5 set which would kill the spread. But if all you are offered is the ML then that would be your only option, though I'd certainly use it in a parlay or something in case she happens to lose - it would suck losing so much if the unexpected happened. Good luck whatever you decide buddy!
          Comment
          • Semper Fidelis
            SBR MVP
            • 09-22-11
            • 1999

            #1160
            Originally posted by matt1216
            Sorry man, I fell asleep(literally befor placing some of these) I will post earlier next time
            Hey man just wanted to take a second to apologize - I reread that post and realized it that it could've been taken the wrong way! By no means was I complaining or bashing or anything, sorry if it appeared that way! lol I just thought it was funny how I pondered on that match and went back and forth for a while, started to wager on Jovanovski, then stopped, then looked at it again. Then when I finally decided to pull the trigger I refreshed the tennis forum and see that post! lol It's no big deal man, we all understand you have a life, just like the rest of us. Trust me, I'd be the last person to say anything about not posting plays earlier - my own personal life is about to get much crazier as my wife and I are expecting our first baby in March. I applaud you for taking the time and effort to create and maintain a thread; it's easy for others (especially the ones who have never made their own) to forget just how much time it takes to maintain the upkeep of something like this. We all appreciate everything you bring to the forum, and look forward to your posts. Tennis is certainly not my best sport, and I always make sure to check your thread before I place a wager! Anyway sorry for the rant, just wanted to say thanks and keep up the good work!

            Cheers bro!
            Comment
            • matt1216
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 10-27-11
              • 14683

              #1161
              Originally posted by Semper Fidelis
              Hey man just wanted to take a second to apologize - I reread that post and realized it that it could've been taken the wrong way! By no means was I complaining or bashing or anything, sorry if it appeared that way! lol I just thought it was funny how I pondered on that match and went back and forth for a while, started to wager on Jovanovski, then stopped, then looked at it again. Then when I finally decided to pull the trigger I refreshed the tennis forum and see that post! lol It's no big deal man, we all understand you have a life, just like the rest of us. Trust me, I'd be the last person to say anything about not posting plays earlier - my own personal life is about to get much crazier as my wife and I are expecting our first baby in March. I applaud you for taking the time and effort to create and maintain a thread; it's easy for others (especially the ones who have never made their own) to forget just how much time it takes to maintain the upkeep of something like this. We all appreciate everything you bring to the forum, and look forward to your posts. Tennis is certainly not my best sport, and I always make sure to check your thread before I place a wager! Anyway sorry for the rant, just wanted to say thanks and keep up the good work!

              Cheers bro!



              hey man, thanks. I appreciate all the input! hopefully we can get a few wins here. Also congrats on the newcomer to your family, gonna be some even longer days
              Comment
              • matt1216
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 10-27-11
                • 14683

                #1162
                WTA/Challenger Plays 29th Jan 2014 adding:

                Halep+kerber+Daniels 1.87 x 3 units


                *i would be a little bit shocked if this didn't hit.



                GL
                Comment
                • matt1216
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 10-27-11
                  • 14683

                  #1163
                  Originally posted by jessetk313
                  Matt are you confident enough to play Kerber on the moneyline since I can't bet set odds.

                  Jesse13, like Makarova, kerber will be one of my larger plays 2-0 sets.
                  Comment
                  • jessetk313
                    SBR MVP
                    • 09-12-11
                    • 1298

                    #1164
                    Thanks Matt...I'm on Kerber moneyline...I hit sharapova earlier I should if went bigger though because I had a feeling she would be sharp after her exit in the open.
                    Comment
                    • matt1216
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 10-27-11
                      • 14683

                      #1165
                      Originally posted by matt1216
                      WTA/Challenger Plays 29th Jan 2014 adding:

                      Halep+kerber+Daniels 1.87 x 3 units


                      *i would be a little bit shocked if this didn't hit.



                      GL
                      What a joke Halep and Daniels are.lol
                      Comment
                      • matt1216
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 10-27-11
                        • 14683

                        #1166
                        Originally posted by matt1216
                        Jesse13, like Makarova, kerber will be one of my larger plays 2-0 sets.
                        This trend is now 7-0 this year so far
                        Comment
                        • jessetk313
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-12-11
                          • 1298

                          #1167
                          Awesome win in Kerber Matt!! I added a little more when you told me you went fairly large. Btw I must have missed it but what is the trend? And props in advance for spotting it.
                          Comment
                          • matt1216
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 10-27-11
                            • 14683

                            #1168
                            Originally posted by jessetk313
                            Awesome win in Kerber Matt!! I added a little more when you told me you went fairly large. Btw I must have missed it but what is the trend? And props in advance for spotting it.
                            Its just on 2-0 sets... It's a number that keeps hitting on one of the books for this prop.
                            Comment
                            • Hardcoar
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 02-17-13
                              • 15606

                              #1169
                              Did you think Halep would win more than one out of six times?
                              Comment
                              • matt1216
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 10-27-11
                                • 14683

                                #1170
                                Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                Did you think Halep would win more than one out of six times?
                                Yeah, didn't really look at it like that..... She's to inconsistant to ever back as a fav, what a joke. Lesson learned
                                Comment
                                • reddZor
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 10-10-13
                                  • 313

                                  #1171
                                  i like oconnell v ito matt. had a look?
                                  Comment
                                  • Hardcoar
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 02-17-13
                                    • 15606

                                    #1172
                                    Originally posted by matt1216
                                    Yeah, didn't really look at it like that..... She's to inconsistant to ever back as a fav, what a joke. Lesson learned
                                    Well she isn't at her best indoors, and Kekeke made the semis here last year. The Frenchwoman played well today, and Halep wasn't too bad at all in my opinion. She wasn't flawless, but you can hardly expect perfection every match. It's often difficult to tell motivation and mental condition in early rounds as well.

                                    You should only ever back her as a favorite if you think she has a better chance of winning than the odds would tell you she has.
                                    Comment
                                    • matt1216
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 10-27-11
                                      • 14683

                                      #1173
                                      Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                      Well she isn't at her best indoors, and Kekeke made the semis here last year. The Frenchwoman played well today, and Halep wasn't too bad at all in my opinion. She wasn't flawless, but you can hardly expect perfection every match. It's often difficult to tell motivation and mental condition in early rounds as well.

                                      You should only ever back her as a favorite if you think she has a better chance of winning than the odds would tell you she has.
                                      I wish I had of watched. I appreciate the input, hardcoar. I didn't realize keke made the finals last year.
                                      Comment
                                      • matt1216
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 10-27-11
                                        • 14683

                                        #1174
                                        Challenger Plays 29th Jan 2014:

                                        O'connell ML 1.87 x 2 units

                                        Buchannon ML 2.50 x 1 unit


                                        GL
                                        Comment
                                        • Hardcoar
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 02-17-13
                                          • 15606

                                          #1175
                                          Just the semis, but yeah. Matchstat.com is good for a user-friendly way to check previous years' tournament results. Barthel is the def. champ. and Errani def. finalist.
                                          Comment
                                          • matt1216
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 10-27-11
                                            • 14683

                                            #1176
                                            fccckkk i knew Ito was gonna play well... I fell for this stupid trap again. Fck me
                                            Comment
                                            • matt1216
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 10-27-11
                                              • 14683

                                              #1177
                                              Challenger Play 29th Jan 2014 adding:

                                              Barton+Reid ML 4.00 x 2 units



                                              GL
                                              Comment
                                              • fitguy67
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 03-13-11
                                                • 5082

                                                #1178
                                                buchanan playing real tough for us, Matt...win or lose, we got our wager's worth of effort from Buchanan...make note of it, buchanan=no quit

                                                ...as i typed this he closed out the 2nd set TB...

                                                helluva match for Challenger-level (judging by 365-scoreboard watching)...non-stop service holds till TB each set so far and tough TB's as well
                                                Comment
                                                • SirtySree
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-19-13
                                                  • 2370

                                                  #1179
                                                  the challenger burnie has been impossible to predict so i stopped betting aftr yesterday and lucky i did since all my plays i had in mind wouldve lost. gotta say tho, the matches hav been so dodgy so far with some of the most bizarre things i hav ever seen
                                                  Comment
                                                  • SirtySree
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 12-19-13
                                                    • 2370

                                                    #1180
                                                    Originally posted by fitguy67
                                                    buchanan playing real tough for us, Matt...win or lose, we got our wager's worth of effort from Buchanan...make note of it, buchanan=no quit
                                                    yea hes been making me a bit of money now. surprised everyone jumped on donaldson the other day. i jumped on buchanan to win 2-0 @2.5 since i thought it would go down bt it went the other way to like @3
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BigNik
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 11-14-13
                                                      • 639

                                                      #1181
                                                      That was a tough loss on Barton. Thinking of chasing with Reid ml
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Spinny
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 01-28-14
                                                        • 165

                                                        #1182
                                                        Thinking same although Mitchell won the last time they met straight sets, they seem pretty even though
                                                        Comment
                                                        • matt1216
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 10-27-11
                                                          • 14683

                                                          #1183
                                                          Challenger Play 29th Jan 2014 adding:

                                                          Reid ML 2.35 x 8 units**Large wager**


                                                          * I like Reid here. Both guys have been underachieving for awhile. I've noticed my book seems to have taken the odds down a bit on Reid but not Mitchell. I've also noticed a bit of a trend with this. It isn't perfect but I think its worth a big shot in this situation.


                                                          GL
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Spinny
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 01-28-14
                                                            • 165

                                                            #1184
                                                            Not sure about going big on Reid it will be close but I'll have a go with you
                                                            Comment
                                                            • matt1216
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 10-27-11
                                                              • 14683

                                                              #1185
                                                              Originally posted by Spinny
                                                              Not sure about going big on Reid it will be close but I'll have a go with you
                                                              Nothing is for sure but..

                                                              2 diffrent matches:

                                                              Mitchell 1.50 vs Reid 2.35

                                                              Perkovic 1.50 vs Meladenovic 2.65 ??? Wtf


                                                              I find it weird but my book seems to do this when they think a certain side has a much greater chance.

                                                              Hope this hits. Good luck
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Jago2008
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 05-18-11
                                                                • 3047

                                                                #1186
                                                                Reid FTW. Good luck Matt.

                                                                Nice to see you keep the thread going from last year.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • STAY STRONG
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 03-07-10
                                                                  • 2498

                                                                  #1187
                                                                  jago is in it to win it.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • therealdealau
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 11-12-10
                                                                    • 3227

                                                                    #1188
                                                                    Cmon Reid, get an early break.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • therealdealau
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-12-10
                                                                      • 3227

                                                                      #1189
                                                                      There it is, let's keep serving well and take this first set!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Spinny
                                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                                        • 01-28-14
                                                                        • 165

                                                                        #1190
                                                                        Reid's playing well
                                                                        Comment
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