Originally posted by Manel88
Matt's updated picks
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HardcoarSBR Posting Legend
- 02-17-13
- 15606
#1016In that case I would be doubting myself very much too. GOAT-master Fed' is likely a stronger authority on the subject than I am. I've seen a couple of reports holding Paris as one of the slower on tour, and others USO as relatively quick.Comment -
matt1216SBR Posting Legend- 10-27-11
- 14683
#1017Challenger/ATP Play 4 Nov
Gonzalez + Bagnis 1.80 x 5 units
Granollers+M.Lopez ML 1.95 x 9 units
GlComment -
reddZorSBR Sharp
- 10-10-13
- 313
#1018is that the granollers and m lopez double matt?
edit* no play on your fav belluci?!Comment -
kenzSBR MVP
- 12-09-12
- 4879
#1019Court conditions match well with federer and Wawrinka style of players
For indoor it is medium fast and the ball bounce mediumComment -
GoBlue77SBR Hall of Famer- 03-20-11
- 9166
#1020Yawn. Told you Berdych was garbage. too easy $$$
Berdych lol..Comment -
HardcoarSBR Posting Legend
- 02-17-13
- 15606
#1021I'm always equally confused by court characteristics and shit... wouldn't Federoar think the quicker the better?Comment -
HardcoarSBR Posting Legend
- 02-17-13
- 15606
#1022Oh so you bet on first set only then?Originally posted by GoBlue77Yawn. Told you Berdych was garbage. too easy $$$
Berdych lol..Comment -
GoBlue77SBR Hall of Famer- 03-20-11
- 9166
#1023The match was over before it even startedOriginally posted by HardcoarOh so you bet on first set only then?Comment -
HardcoarSBR Posting Legend
- 02-17-13
- 15606
#1024Ah, I see!Comment -
losschaserSBR Wise Guy
- 10-15-13
- 723
#1025The tournament committee noted the court is actually made 100% identical to Paris, medium-slow with high bounceOriginally posted by Manel88Not doubting you but i think Federer said yesterday in the press conference that this court is slower than ParisComment -
OverbettorSBR Wise Guy- 11-08-11
- 951
#1026Berdych fuking sucks today. This tb is gonna be roughComment -
HardcoarSBR Posting Legend
- 02-17-13
- 15606
#1027Thanks.Comment -
matt1216SBR Posting Legend- 10-27-11
- 14683
#1028What happened to garbage Berdych???? Wecond set winner 1.95. Not over till it's overComment -
matt1216SBR Posting Legend- 10-27-11
- 14683
#1029Wawrinka largest lock I've ever seen ..Comment -
addictedtoSBR MVP
- 07-03-08
- 1935
#1030Both are losers, they need to go home and have some rest.Comment -
OverbettorSBR Wise Guy- 11-08-11
- 951
#1031I didn't say it was over. Just said he looks bad today and I expected a harder tie-breaker. I sure as fuk hope Tomas wins!Comment -
matt1216SBR Posting Legend- 10-27-11
- 14683
#1032Bellucci isn't plaing todayOriginally posted by reddZoris that the granollers and m lopez double matt?
edit* no play on your fav belluci?!Comment -
fitguy67SBR Hall of Famer
- 03-13-11
- 5082
#1033yes i'm aware of that...the price i quoted is with their actual parlay-adjusted odds...Originally posted by HardcoarYou are aware that Pinnacle increases margins on parlays, are you not?
Note to anyone using Pinnacle: unlike most other books, you can't just take main-board odds and figure out the parlay odds...you gotta go into "parlay/accumulator" mode to see what they'll really be...but since Pinny's tennis odds are generally very good, even after the small "tax" on each leg of the parlay, their overal odds on the play still comes out very competitive, very often the best
for example, main-board pinny odds may be better on each leg of a parlay than 5d...but on the same parlay, with each play taxed the way it is at Pinny, you can't assume pinny better and just whack in the parlay...u gotta go into Parlay mode there so you're comparing "apples" with "apples"...Comment -
matt1216SBR Posting Legend- 10-27-11
- 14683
#1034Challenger plays 4th Nov
Wolmarans + Andreozzi 1.85 x 5 units
Kravchuck ML 3.75 x 3 units
Sousa ML 2.70 x 2 units
Velotti ML 3.75 x 2 units
Delpotro+Andreozzi x 30 units****Large Wager****
Gl
Comment -
fitguy67SBR Hall of Famer
- 03-13-11
- 5082
#1035Best thing about your parlay, was that if Bird/Rink went to a third set ur a winner no matter who wins...with the +1.5set cushion, whether your ticket says Wawa or Berdy doesn't matter.Originally posted by GoBlue77Yawn. Told you Berdych was garbage. too easy $$$
Berdych lol..
Now, will the real Delpo and Gasquet please show up!Comment -
matt1216SBR Posting Legend- 10-27-11
- 14683
#1036Wow, that's the last time I put money on that Pos berdychComment -
HardcoarSBR Posting Legend
- 02-17-13
- 15606
#1037I expected it of you, to be honest.Originally posted by fitguy67yes i'm aware of that...the price i quoted is with their actual parlay-adjusted odds...
Note to anyone using Pinnacle: unlike most other books, you can't just take main-board odds and figure out the parlay odds...you gotta go into "parlay/accumulator" mode to see what they'll really be...but since Pinny's tennis odds are generally very good, even after the small "tax" on each leg of the parlay, their overal odds on the play still comes out very competitive, very often the best
for example, main-board pinny odds may be better on each leg of a parlay than 5d...but on the same parlay, with each play taxed the way it is at Pinny, you can't assume pinny better and just whack in the parlay...u gotta go into Parlay mode there so you're comparing "apples" with "apples"...
I didn't expect – but should've expected – the revelation of Matt, on the other hand.
This all means you should never make parlays with Pinnacle... not that there's any reason to ever make any parlays whatsoever. In the very best case it's neutral, and since Pinnacle's parlay-adjusted margins are still better than other books... yeah...Comment -
addictedtoSBR MVP
- 07-03-08
- 1935
#1038Hm sounds good, but parlay odds only 1.40 in bet365. Wonder if Andreozzi who is in great form will make it in straight setsOriginally posted by matt1216
Delpotro+Andreozzi x 30 units****Large Wager****
Comment -
losschaserSBR Wise Guy
- 10-15-13
- 723
#1039I like the Delpo + Andreozzi play. Should be a
Comment -
Doughboy22SBR MVP- 02-01-12
- 4189
#1040No andreozzi on 5dimesComment -
fitguy67SBR Hall of Famer
- 03-13-11
- 5082
#1041hope you have a really good penance lined up for us if this turns out to be a mush...Originally posted by losschaserI like the Delpo + Andreozzi play. Should be a
you know as well as I do that the time for "never in doubt"s is AFTER the matches...
that is why--after all--they take the trouble to actually play the scheduled matches...
___________
Murphy is always ready to step in and fukk up our plans with his Law...premature chicken-counting just gets his attentionComment -
HardcoarSBR Posting Legend
- 02-17-13
- 15606
#1042You think that sounds good @ 1.4?Originally posted by addictedtoHm sounds good, but parlay odds only 1.40 in bet365. Wonder if Andreozzi who is in great form will make it in straight sets
Don't quit your day job!Comment -
BbfromgptSBR Hall of Famer
- 09-24-12
- 6115
#1043I got a little parlay going with
Birdshit/Wawrinka O 23.5
Delpotro
Nadal
Good luckComment -
axeltoftSBR Rookie
- 11-04-13
- 33
#1044Hi matt1216. im just wondering why you are going against David Marrero/Fernando Verdasco? They won the last 6 meetings, and are up 12-1 in sets. And the last match was last month, and that looked like a easy win for them.Comment -
pimpinSBR Rookie
- 11-04-13
- 1
#1045Hi matt ive been readin your thread lately and you have posted some really good tips especially your large wagers.
Ive gone against you today though lol i just think gasquet looks really good value today at the odds he was playing some really good stuff last week
If del potro is still feeling the effects of so much tennis recently i can really see gasquet giving him trouble hereComment -
losschaserSBR Wise Guy
- 10-15-13
- 723
#1046Lapentti giving Andreozzi quite a workout, but Andre takes the first 7/6
Hopefully second set is more straightforwardComment -
matt1216SBR Posting Legend- 10-27-11
- 14683
#1047ATP play for 4th Nov
Delpotro/gasquet under 21 1.91 x 10 units**** large Wager****Comment -
matt1216SBR Posting Legend- 10-27-11
- 14683
#1048My bad, I didn't look into that one enough. Historically Mondays are average days at best for me. Hopefully I can come back with some solid plays tonight as well...Originally posted by axeltoftHi matt1216. im just wondering why you are going against David Marrero/Fernando Verdasco? They won the last 6 meetings, and are up 12-1 in sets. And the last match was last month, and that looked like a easy win for them.
to anybody following, Mondays are hard because you do t really know who's as motivated as the should be. Wensday forward I should have a better read
GlComment -
BbfromgptSBR Hall of Famer
- 09-24-12
- 6115
#1049I tailed the under but it's not looking good for us. Oh well, if it's a loss just on to the nextComment -
matt1216SBR Posting Legend- 10-27-11
- 14683
#1050Ya tough day. I hope delpo comes back. What's going on??? Is gasguet playing well?Comment
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