Matt's updated picks

[xauwatroi]

Good call on W U and Mcgee. Any play for women challenger?

[matt1216]

WTA Challenger Play 5th Nov:

Kudryavtseva ML 2.55 x 2.5 units



** guys I will update my record and post plays soon!




Gl

[matt1216]

Good call on W U and Mcgee. Any play for women challenger?

Just posted

[matt1216]

Here's my point of view guys. Nadal has beaten wawrinka 11 straight times never lost a set and has cover -4 everytime......... Hmmm

so when Nadal coverd -4 on those other 10 times wawrinka was ranked what 20th? He hadn't had any close encounters with Djokovic yet. Those matches against joko helped his confidence.

Now wawrinka just lost to nadal 7-6 6-1.... I can tell you this, he won't tank if he loses the first set. Remember sets matter here. He could have easily covered nadal as wawrinka was just demoralized after losing 12-10 in the tiebreaker. Wawrinka was in shit form as well.

The book is setting people up here. Unless u have been hiding under a rock, you Know Wawrinka has improved dramatically.

Guys +4 is worth a shot here at +110. This is bait IMO. My apologies if I'm wrong

[poet]

Here's my point of view guys. Nadal has beaten wawrinka 11 straight times never lost a set and has cover -4 everytime......... Hmmm

so when Nadal coverd -4 on those other 10 times wawrinka was ranked what 20th? He hadn't had any close encounters with Djokovic yet. Those matches against joko helped his confidence.

Now wawrinka just lost to nadal 7-6 6-1.... I can tell you this, he won't tank if he loses the first set. Remember sets matter here. He could have easily covered nadal as wawrinka was just demoralized after losing 12-10 in the tiebreaker. Wawrinka was in shit form as well.

The book is setting people up here. Unless u have been hiding under a rock, you Know Wawrinka has improved dramatically.

Guys +4 is worth a shot here at +110. This is bait IMO. My apologies if I'm wrong

All true, Matt and he seemed motivated against Byrdy but I still don't trust WaWa. He is a head case playing against one of the GOAT and perhaps the toughest, mentally. I think this is a no bet. Even if Wa Wa takes a set he could lose one of the other two 6-2 or 6-1.

[poet]

P.S. If what you say is true (that Wa Was is ready to fight) then the over might be the safer bet, in case it goes three.

[matt1216]

All true, Matt and he seemed motivated against Byrdy but I still don't trust WaWa. He is a head case playing against one of the GOAT and perhaps the toughest, mentally. I think this is a no bet. Even if Wa Wa takes a set he could lose one of the other two 6-2 or 6-1.

Good luck but I think the book might laugh at people here. Giving u -4 @1.71 when nadal is 11 for 11 on the spread vs wawa??? Should the spread -4.5 for this price??? It's giving to good of a price for the spread.

[matt1216]

P.S. If what you say is true (that Wa Was is ready to fight) then the over might be the safer bet, in case it goes three.

I think the new Wawrinka covers. He's 0-1 on the cover in the top 10 ranking but he could have won that first set vs nadal and gained confidence. It's demoralizing to anybody when u lose 6-7 (10)

[matt1216]

ATP/Challenger Plays 6th Nov:

Herbert ML 2.40 x 5 units

Marchenko ML 2.90 x 3 units

Bachinger ML 1.67 x 6 units

Wawrinka +4 2.10 x 10 units****Large Wager****

Nadal/Wawa Over 21.5 games 1.77 x 6 units




Gl

[Stokes36]

Really like that Herbert pick. His serve is pretty damn nice. Not to say he's on Isner's level, but Isner did have 22 aces vs Przy recently.

I'm on Herbert!! Probably gonna be a no bet for me with Wawa/Nadal. I mean, I completely understand your thought process, but it's hard to compete with history. BOL!

[BankHead]

hey matt, any thoughts on the berdych ferrer over 22.5 games? Also i like ur sharp play on Stan for the early match, with Nadal being 11-0 i see the public all over him at -4 games... ill be tailing, cheers bro

[matt1216]

Record YTD

ATP: 80-88 -1800$
Chall: 69-82 -1250$
Large: 67-32 +18690$

*there is still one large wager open... Bellucci ending 3 player parlay.

* last day and half was miserable. I picked it up a bit with 4 challenger victories to end today.


Good luck tomorrow guys!

[matt1216]

hey matt, any thoughts on the berdych ferrer over 22.5 games? Also i like ur sharp play on Stan for the early match, with Nadal being 11-0 i see the public all over him at -4 games... ill be tailing, cheers bro

hey man thanks. I'm not sure about the ferrer/Berdych match. Let me know if u see anything.

[BankHead]

Ferrer looks a bit tired to me since his win over nadal, i still think he wins, but i see berdych taking one set before his usual meltdown. He looked decent against Wawa (who u mentioned is in great form). But with nor ferrer or berdych in top form i dont see either winning this in strait sets.
The stat i like about this match is that 4 of there 5 meetings on hard court have all gone the distance of 3 sets

[reddZor]

any more plays for later tonight my main man matt?

[matt1216]

Challenger Plays for 6th Nov:


Bemelmens+Young 1.70 x 6 units

Clezar x 5 units




Gl

[addictedto]

On the opposite, I will try Young to lose by Myneni with odds 5.00. After Sock being beated expectedly and mostly the Kudla upset, I think Americans don't give a fuk about this school tournament. Myneni is in decent form who has won against Young already, has beated also Smyczek - both wins in the States.

[reddZor]

im on clezar.

[matt1216]

ATP/Challenger Plays 6th Nov:

Herbert ML 2.40 x 5 units

Marchenko ML 2.90 x 3 units

Bachinger ML 1.67 x 6 units

Wawrinka +4 2.10 x 10 units****Large Wager****

Nadal/Wawa Over 21.5 games 1.77 x 6 units




Gl

Theres the over, just need +4 now

[Bbfromgpt]

We got some fortunate things for the over. Nice

[matt1216]

We got some fortunate things for the over. Nice

Man wawrinka shoulda broke nadal almost every service game. The over was the right call.

[Bbfromgpt]

I agree 100% bud. Just got worried when it got 4-1 that Wawrinka may be done mentally like normal.

[ohdecas]

Nice hit Waw +4, unlucky I was on the opposite side

[matt1216]

I agree 100% bud. Just got worried when it got 4-1 that Wawrinka may be done mentally like normal.

Ya, at that point we would have been unlucky. I hear what your saying

[xauwatroi]

I don't see Belmemens on flashscore martt

[matt1216]

Nice hit Waw +4, unlucky I was on the opposite side

Dont u dare jinx us Ohdecas^^^^

[matt1216]

I don't see Belmemens on flashscore martt

Because he shit kicked.... Bad pick on my part

[anoun]

I love your picks man have been tailing you from today

[xauwatroi]

Your Bellucci is playing. Bol

[matt1216]

Yes we need Bellucci! Come on!

[matt1216]

I love your picks man have been tailing you from today

Thanks man. I will try to keep it up

[matt1216]

Woo lets go Marchenko! He just broke Tomic again

[Rose']

Matt have you looked at Ferrer vs Berdych yet?

[matt1216]

ATP/Challenger Plays 6th Nov:

Becker ML 1.67 x 6 units

Ferrer ML 1.74 x 7 units

Gruel ML 1.50 x 8 units




Gl

[matt1216]

Matt have you looked at Ferrer vs Berdych yet?

Berdych had a chance to beat ferrer in Paris with a set lead and couldn't do it. It could be a mental thing now