CrazyLou's 2009 Tennis Picks Thread

**Tsoprano** · 01-23-09, 01:55 PM

Originally posted by AgainstAllOdds

Crazyl,

I know your hope was to become a succsessful tennis capper. After your big loss, I hope you dont keep posting picks. Noone wants to seem someone bury themselves. In some of your picks you say "Fading LT Profits" which is kind of ironic to say the least.

Anyway, Please stop the madness before people start putting you up there with the likes of Patty Venditto and Dac.

What are you talking about?

We don't hate Patty around here. Maybe you do. In fact, the kid isn't even a bad capper. Did you see him roll through the first few rounds in this 128 man tourney? Yes, he posts wild systems and goes back on promises a lot....but that's what makes him entertaining.

That kid is certainly apart of the SBR family imo.

**SBR Lou** · 01-23-09, 01:56 PM

Originally posted by CrazyLou

F. Verdasco -160
vs Stepanek
Risking 6.4 to win 3 units

I. Andreev +225
vs James Blake
Risking 1 units to win 2.25

M. Martin Sanchez +213
vs Suarez Navarro
Risking 1 unit to win 2.13 units

V. Azarenka -330
vs Mauresmo
Risking 6.6 to win 2 units

YTD 24-18-1 -5.60

Bump for page 5.

**daggerkobe** · 01-23-09, 01:58 PM

Originally posted by CrazyLou

I'm sure someone will verify that she indeed was +630 at one point. Don't you realize that prices move? Ivanovic was -658 at one point and closed a bit over -300.

I can understand the line dropping 50% on Ivanovic since she can't even toss the ball properly but on an in-form Wozniacki? I would have to see that to believe.

**Dark Horse** · 01-23-09, 02:04 PM

Originally posted by daggerkobe

Crazyl is very knowledgeable about tennis not gonna deny that but his money management stinks like dirty underwear!

Don't feed the myth. He wrote off Federer last season, after the great player showed a lesser interest in the smaller tournaments.

**AgainstAllOdds** · 01-23-09, 02:07 PM

Originally posted by Tsoprano

What are you talking about?

We don't hate Patty around here. Maybe you do. In fact, the kid isn't even a bad capper. Did you see him roll through the first few rounds in this 128 man tourney? Yes, he posts wild systems and goes back on promises a lot....but that's what makes him entertaining.

That kid is certainly apart of the SBR family imo.

Im not saying its not entertaining but imo its stupid for someone to post losing plays. People dont post plays because they think they will lose. The player hopes they win so they can get some kind of gradifation from other forum members. There are alot of people that post plays on sbr that consistantly lose, but they still think they are the best thing since sliced bread. And god forbid if they hit a couple of plays in a row or get far in a tourny, its like they go on a big rant like they're the best. Its the most idiotic thing that happens on this forum and the fact that a mod does it, to me, makes it that much worse.

**EaglesPhan36** · 01-23-09, 05:34 PM

If people posted only winners - then we'd all be fuggin' rich fellas. Everyone LOSES. While I do agree that Lou has attention-whorish tendencies, he posts what he believes. I don't care if he's betting with monopoly money, his money or Obama's bank roll. So long as he believes the plays he posts and thinks they will legitimately win, who the F cares.

**Shark79** · 01-23-09, 05:37 PM

Anyone can post what they feel should be the proper play .... Lou has lots of knowledge and has helped us tennis backers get our own Tennis Forum. It is really up to those who follow to take the play.

Leave the guy alone .. he has a crush on Ivanovic and that is the ONLY reason why he takes the chalk on her.

**pimike** · 01-23-09, 05:40 PM

Originally posted by Shark79

Anyone can post what they feel should be the proper play .... Lou has lots of knowledge and has helped us tennis backers get our own Tennis Forum. It is really up to those who follow to take the play.

Leave the guy alone .. he has a crush on Ivanovic and that is the ONLY reason why he takes the chalk on her.

, Agree 100%, it s kinda like not betting on your fav team, Lou just needs to fugure that out and he will be fine.

**pimike** · 01-23-09, 05:41 PM

Originally posted by AgainstAllOdds

Im not saying its not entertaining but imo its stupid for someone to post losing plays. People dont post plays because they think they will lose. The player hopes they win so they can get some kind of gradifation from other forum members. There are alot of people that post plays on sbr that consistantly lose, but they still think they are the best thing since sliced bread. And god forbid if they hit a couple of plays in a row or get far in a tourny, its like they go on a big rant like they're the best. Its the most idiotic thing that happens on this forum and the fact that a mod does it, to me, makes it that much worse.

I see AAo's point here.

**Shark79** · 01-23-09, 05:41 PM

And yes, I voted for Lou for the Wheel of Banishment, so he remembers NOT TO TAKE Ivanovic next tourney.

**pimike** · 01-23-09, 05:44 PM

Originally posted by Shark79

And yes, I voted for Lou for the Wheel of Banishment, so he remembers NOT TO TAKE Ivanovic next tourney.

**pat venditto** · 01-23-09, 05:48 PM

Aao you're a fuking meatball.

**pat venditto** · 01-23-09, 05:50 PM

Thanks for the support T. Didn't say I was the best handicapper here and i'm sure i'm not, but thats not what this game is about. This game is about making money. As long as I stick to my disciplined money management I will continue to make money. I don't have a problem hitting 53-55%. I have a problem not going all in and betting over my head which I have not done in like a week and a half. Pray for me that i dont lol.

**pavyracer** · 01-23-09, 06:32 PM

Noone makes a living betting tennis. It's square betting 101.

**RogueScholar** · 01-23-09, 07:49 PM

I wonder if that's why Lou is so fond of calling other bettors "squares," to cover the fact that he's the defacto spokesman/professor for Square Betting 101.

**SBR Lou** · 01-23-09, 08:23 PM

Originally posted by RogueScholar

I wonder if that's why Lou is so fond of calling other bettors "squares," to cover the fact that he's the defacto spokesman/professor for Square Betting 101.

Who gave you Querrey +4.5 and dissuaded you from ML? And what # did the game land on in terms of games won differential?

**SBR Lou** · 01-24-09, 10:19 AM

Originally posted by crazylou

f. Verdasco -160
vs stepanek
risking 6.4 to win 3 units

i. Andreev +225
vs james blake
risking 1 units to win 2.25

m. Martin sanchez +213
vs suarez navarro
risking 1 unit to win 2.13 units

v. Azarenka -330
vs mauresmo
risking 6.6 to win 2 units

ytd 24-18-1 -5.60

2-2 +3.00

ytd 26-20-1 -2.60

**SBR Lou** · 01-24-09, 10:30 AM

Despite the public lambasting by some

, and losing a good chunk of change on Ivanovic, I'm only down 5.6 units.

YTD 26-20-1 -2.60

Picks for today
Del Potro -203
vs M Cilic
Risking 6.09 to win 3

T Robredo +428
vs Andy Roddick
Risking 1 to win 4.28

Jankovic -350
vs Bartoli
Risking 3.5 to win 1

V. Zvonareva -168
Risking 3.36 to win 2

A. Cornet +390
Risking .50 to win 1.95

**pimike** · 01-25-09, 09:56 PM

Keep going LOU I trust you

**EaglesPhan36** · 01-26-09, 12:18 AM

All I know is you better keep posting Lou. Don't let anyone get you to pussy out because you lose some units. It's a long season broseph. Keep on keepin' on.

**SBR Lou** · 01-26-09, 11:17 AM

Originally posted by crazylou

ytd 26-20-1 -2.60

picks for today
del potro -203 win
vs m cilic
risking 6.09 to win 3

t robredo +428 loss
vs andy roddick
risking 1 to win 4.28

jankovic -350 loss
vs bartoli
risking 3.5 to win 1

v. Zvonareva -168 win
risking 3.36 to win 2

a. Cornet +390 loss
risking .50 to win 1.95

28-23-1 -2.60

**SBR Lou** · 01-26-09, 11:19 AM

Originally posted by pimike

Keep going LOU I trust you

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

All I know is you better keep posting Lou. Don't let anyone get you to pussy out because you lose some units. It's a long season broseph. Keep on keepin' on.

Thanks guys,

Appreciate it. It's a long season, not the start I was hoping for, but if you consider the big hit I took with Ivanovic (again

), I could be much worse off units wise than I am.

A few of those 5-1 and 6-1 dogs did help me stay afloat, for those that think I exclusively bet chalk. Hopefully, you guys have not decided to fade me as I still see a strong year ahead.

**SBR Lou** · 01-26-09, 11:21 AM

Djokovic -238
vs A. Roddick
Risking 7.14 to win 3 units

M. Bartoli +235
vs V. Zverona
Risking 1 to win 2.35 units

28-23-1 -2.60

**Shark79** · 01-26-09, 01:02 PM

Lou great picks

Im behind them as well ... This should be our day !!

**SBR Lou** · 01-26-09, 01:29 PM

Originally posted by Shark79

Lou great picks

Im behind them as well ... This should be our day !!

Let's show them we mean business.

**SBR Lou** · 01-26-09, 03:20 PM

For the record, my accounting is awful as I'm doing a number of different things so tracking picks escapes me sometimes, but I've made some corrections to my record.

If anyone would like to see my complete excel sheet of picks, I've attached them. I only counted the two Zheng bets as one Win, and only counted the two Ivanovic losses as one loss. Which has me at 28-23-1 -2.60, not that I'd forge such a record anyway.

Attached Files

tennispicks.xls (20.5 KB, 163 views)

**meganie** · 01-26-09, 03:39 PM

Honestly, can't see a reason you have to justify yourself. You're a good capper, I saw you hit various big dogs, which I never thought would hit + as Eagles stated, season has only started yet, and if you don't keep betting 20u on Ivanovic, you'll be big time up soon.

**Shark79** · 01-26-09, 03:45 PM

we should all profit this yr in tennis ... we just gotta keep posting and eventually we will ALL be up.

**meganie** · 01-26-09, 03:48 PM

Originally posted by Shark79

we should all profit this yr in tennis ... we just gotta keep posting and eventually we will ALL be up.

Yup, smaller tournaments are for sure more profitable than quarter finals/semi finals/finals of a grand slam.

**SBR Lou** · 01-26-09, 03:49 PM

Originally posted by meganie

Honestly, can't see a reason you have to justify yourself. You're a good capper, I saw you hit various big dogs, which I never thought would hit + as Eagles stated, season has only started yet, and if you don't keep betting 20u on Ivanovic, you'll be big time up soon.

Thanks Meganie,

Normally it rolls off my back, but some of the comments that a 'moderator' was trying to steer the readers wrong kind of ruffled my feathers. My number one goal is for all of us to make money, not just myself. I am just happy the tennis forum is flourishing right now, and hope guys like yourself and others keep posting as much even after the major.

**EaglesPhan36** · 01-26-09, 03:52 PM

I thought your #1 goal was to knock off Verdasco and get Ana to yourself?

**SBR Lou** · 01-26-09, 03:53 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

I thought your #1 goal was to knock off Verdasco and get Ana to yourself?

He keeps blasting players off the court and I've got no shot.

I'll wait in back of the line.

**Shark79** · 01-26-09, 04:27 PM

Lou,

How many bags of popcorn do you eat a day?

**mattypiper** · 01-26-09, 09:44 PM

I just discovered the tennis forum, is this where we hang out when there are no NFL/NCAA football games?

Lou, I'm with you on:

Djokovic -250
2.5 units to win 1

**SBR Lou** · 01-26-09, 09:48 PM

Originally posted by mattypiper

I just discovered the tennis forum, is this where we hang out when there are no NFL/NCAA football games?

Lou, I'm with you on:

Djokovic -250
2.5 units to win 1

Good stuff man! Yeah there's starting to be more and more of us that hang here and post picks, good luck to us tonight and look fwd to some of your picks if you'd elect to share.