CrazyLou's 2009 Tennis Picks Thread

**Shark79** · 01-13-09, 08:43 AM

and he´s back!!

**pico** · 01-13-09, 08:47 AM

are you going to bet all the top seeds for the 1st round of aussie open. federer -5000, murray -5000...

**SBR Lou** · 01-13-09, 10:07 AM

Originally posted by pico

are you going to bet all the top seeds for the 1st round of aussie open. federer -5000, murray -5000...

No. The only favorite over -205 I have taken so far is one -770, and it's because I thought the line was too low. The rest was all +120, -150 etc.

**SBR Lou** · 01-13-09, 12:36 PM

Can't pick dogs huh? Let's see....

3-1 +2.50

Tuesday @11:30 PM
A. Radwanska +163
vs E. Dementieva
risking 1u to win 1.63u

Tuesday @8:30PM
Alize Cornet +350
vs Dinara Safina
risking 0.5u to win 1.75u

Tuesday @11:30pm
I. Andreev -220
risking 2.2u to win 1u

**SBR Lou** · 01-14-09, 10:26 AM

Originally posted by CrazyLou

Tuesday @11:30 PM
A. Radwanska +163
vs E. Dementieva
risking 1u to win 1.63u

Tuesday @8:30PM
Alize Cornet +350
vs Dinara Safina
risking 0.5u to win 1.75u

Tuesday @11:30pm
I. Andreev -220
risking 2.2u to win 1u

Well, 0-3 day.

Radwanska lost in 3 sets, Alize blew a break lead early, and Andreev lost in 3 sets. Argh.

YTD 3-4 -1.20

**Shark79** · 01-14-09, 10:27 AM

dogs did not bark at all.

**Shark79** · 01-14-09, 10:28 AM

oh yeah, and no, you cant pick dogs.

**SBR Lou** · 01-14-09, 10:59 AM

All business today, not going to talk smack, not going to say how I feel about the picks, think of this like Tom Brady stepping on the field with his helmet on in a confident stride. Not going to say a word, just posting the picks and that's it.

D. Ferrer +125
vs P. Kohlscreiber
Risking 2 units.

J. Chardy +340
vs Richard Gasquet
Risking 1 unit

L. Hewitt +168
vs D. Nalbandian
Risking 1 unit

Ferndo Verdsaco +685
vs Roger Federer
Risking 2 units

M. Cilic -171
vs C. Moya
Risking 1.71 u

Serena Williams -136
vs E. Dementieva
Risking 2.72 units

YTD 3-4 -1.20u

**daggerkobe** · 01-14-09, 11:04 AM

**Shark79** · 01-14-09, 11:22 AM

4 dogs (2 of them spaniards) - 2 favs

Liking 2 dogs (Ferrer and Chardy)

my fav of the day Nalbandian.

Good Luck Sir Crazy.

**AgainstAllOdds** · 01-14-09, 02:58 PM

How many units will lou be down after tonight?

O/U 6.5

Over -200
Under +170

**Netprofit** · 01-14-09, 07:48 PM

which tournament is Federer vs. Verdasco?

I can't find and can't find at the books also.

**SBR Lou** · 01-14-09, 07:54 PM

Originally posted by Netprofit

which tournament is Federer vs. Verdasco?

I can't find and can't find at the books also.

AAMI Classic Kooyong Matches Tennis - Wed 1/14
AAMI Classic Kooyong 2009, Melbourne, Australia

http://www.pinnaclesports.com/League/Tennis/AAMI+Class/63/Lines.aspx

**EaglesPhan36** · 01-15-09, 12:11 AM

GL Loucifer. Someone's gotta be making a buck in tennis, cuz it sure ain't me.

**SBR Lou** · 01-15-09, 12:24 AM

How about Elena blasting Serena off the court like that, man? Coming off a win vs Radwanska, who I simply adore but obviously she lacks power but is so consistent a player from the baseline, and now Elena follows up with a DOMINANT victory of Serena Williams.

Worth a shot in the slam at 14-1? She's like the Dan Marino of womens tennis, best player to never win a slam. Womens tennis isn't THAT competitive, to where she can't win a slam if she's on which she certainly seems to be as of late.

Good luck to you also, EP36.

**tullamore** · 01-15-09, 01:06 AM

Going to play Ancic +420 over Djokovic.

**Netprofit** · 01-15-09, 03:12 AM

jankovic is superb value at +800.
put down 1000 to win 8000.

**daggerkobe** · 01-15-09, 07:55 AM

Never seen the real Tom Brady go 0-6 -8.42 units before.

**daggerkobe** · 01-15-09, 08:03 AM

Originally posted by AgainstAllOdds

How many units will lou be down after tonight?

O/U 6.5

Over -200
Under +170

Under wins, barely.

When does the Federer-Fernando match start?

Edit: NM, Fernando lost so it did go over -6.5.

**Shark79** · 01-15-09, 08:05 AM

1-4-1

I guess Brady lost that game pretty bad. Did he get injured?

Anyway ... I went 3-0-1 ... Check out my spreadsheet.

**daggerkobe** · 01-15-09, 08:32 AM

Mustve been an imposter.... Greg Brady from the Brady Bunch.

**AgainstAllOdds** · 01-15-09, 04:46 PM

Can we get a final tally on this...I need to grade my wagers for my customers...

**Shark79** · 01-15-09, 04:51 PM

Originally posted by CrazyLou

D. Ferrer +125 "WIN"
vs P. Kohlscreiber
Risking 2 units.

J. Chardy +340 LOSS
vs Richard Gasquet
Risking 1 unit

L. Hewitt +168 LOSS
vs D. Nalbandian
Risking 1 unit

Ferndo Verdsaco +685 LOSS
vs Roger Federer
Risking 2 units

M. Cilic -171 WIN
vs C. Moya
Risking 1.71 u

Serena Williams -136 LOSS
vs E. Dementieva
Risking 2.72 units

YTD 3-4 -1.20u

2-4

**AgainstAllOdds** · 01-15-09, 04:52 PM

Originally posted by Shark79

2-4

Thanks... do you know + or -units total thus far?

**mel1970** · 01-15-09, 04:55 PM

Awesome post

**daggerkobe** · 01-15-09, 04:55 PM

D. Ferrer +125 "WIN"
vs P. Kohlscreiber
Risking 2 units.

How is that a win when the match never took place with Kohlscreiber retiring? I thought they had to complete at least the first set to be official?

**SBR Lou** · 01-15-09, 04:56 PM

Originally posted by CrazyLou

All business today, not going to talk smack, not going to say how I feel about the picks, think of this like Tom Brady stepping on the field with his helmet on in a confident stride. Not going to say a word, just posting the picks and that's it.

D. Ferrer +125
vs P. Kohlscreiber
Risking 2 units.

J. Chardy +340
vs Richard Gasquet
Risking 1 unit

L. Hewitt +168
vs D. Nalbandian
Risking 1 unit

Ferndo Verdsaco +685
vs Roger Federer
Risking 2 units

M. Cilic -171
vs C. Moya
Risking 1.71 u

Serena Williams -136
vs E. Dementieva
Risking 2.72 units

YTD 3-4 -1.20u

1-4-1 -5.72.

ytd 4-8-1 -6.92u

**SBR Lou** · 01-15-09, 04:56 PM

R. Gasquet +166
Risking 2 units

J. Nieminen +520
Risking .50 units

M. Baghdatis +191
Risking 1 unit

D. Safina +156
Risking 2 units

YTD 4-8-1 -6.92u

**daggerkobe** · 01-15-09, 04:57 PM

Awwww, I took "Under".

**EaglesPhan36** · 01-15-09, 05:16 PM

The vultures are out.

**Shark79** · 01-15-09, 05:38 PM

**SBR Lou** · 01-16-09, 10:26 AM

Originally posted by crazylou

r. Gasquet +166 loss
risking 2 units

j. Nieminen +520 win
risking .50 units

m. Baghdatis +191 win
risking 1 unit

d. Safina +156 loss
risking 2 units

ytd 4-8-1 -6.92u

2-2 +0.51

ytd 6-10 -6.41

**SBR Lou** · 01-16-09, 10:29 AM

J. Nieminen +288
Risking 1 unit to win 2.88u

F. Verdasco
Risking 2.7 to win 2u

YTD 6-10 -6.41

**HeeeHAWWWW** · 01-16-09, 12:02 PM

Interesting pick on Nieminen - he's one of those ultra solid pros who can really frustrate a more inconistent player like Nalbandian. Fat Dave leads the H2H 6-4, and they've had some stonking battles over the years (I remember the 5 setter at the 2003 US Open, went on forever). However, two of Nalby's wins were on clay where he's clearly several levels of class above - on hard court it's 4-4. That's a seriously impressive record for Nieminen, as even Federer is only 10-8 vs Nalby.

Have you seen Nieminen play recently? Wrong time of the day for me, matches start at 3am - I'll do some all nighters for the Aus Open, but not for little ones like Sydney :-) Obviously the Djokovic result is about as good as it gets for him, but he had a strange match against Tsonga in Brisbane: 6-0 first set, then two tiebreak wins for Tsonga.

However, Nalby appears to be in form also - the Gasquet win was a very solid result. As one of the best returners on the tour, you can imagine him neutralising Nieminen's serve - if that happens then it'll be extremely one sided, as per their last match in Stockholm (6-1 6-2). On the other hand, if Nalby isn't properly motivated (the event being essentially just training for the Aus Open), you can see tiebreaks.

By the way, Bodog have +300 if you have an account there. Think I'll skip without having seen Nalby play this tournament, but looks a solid pick from what I can tell.

**accuscoresucks** · 01-16-09, 12:13 PM

i dont know a thing about tennis
all i can tell you is i followed crazl on aproxx 5 plays last year and lost them all

i hope crazyl does better this year i saw my tiger woods stash dwindle fast betting tennis