tevari's 2013 tennis thread

tevari · 06-11-13, 03:09 PM

They're both flakes.

Hardcoar · 06-11-13, 03:11 PM

True but they stand a good chance to make the finals. Are you saying you didn't overlook them in you last post, or rather that it was intentional?

Also, I agree with Erakovic. 1:st might also be a good bet @ +110 or higher.

tevari · 06-11-13, 03:17 PM

It was intentional. I don't think either of them make it to the finals. GL if you play Erakovic.

Hardcoar · 06-11-13, 03:25 PM

Though not otherwise. I see, I see...

Be good!

tevari · 06-11-13, 03:28 PM

Your vernacular confuses me.

Hardcoar · 06-11-13, 04:56 PM

It confuses even myself sometimes.

Now if I can just figure out what vernacular means...

tevari · 06-11-13, 06:27 PM

Kinda want to hammer Beck -130 hard tomorrow in Germany, but I will lay off, probably for worse. I know what Knapp is capable of, and it shouldn't concern Beck one bit. I'll mull this one over a good night's sleep.

tevari · 06-12-13, 08:33 AM

Adding:

183612491-1*	6/12/13 9:32am	Rolling If-Bet (Win Only) from ticket # 183610633-1.
		$130.77	$448.35	Pending	2 Team Parlay
				Pending	6/12/13 8:45am ATP Tennis 305 Mischa Zverev -210* vs Mirza Basic
				Pending	6/12/13 8:45am WTA Tennis 442 Nadiya Kichenok +200* vs Francesca Schiavone

Hardcoar · 06-12-13, 09:07 AM

Liking Beck and Kichenok, although I didn't hit the latter up. On Basic though so strongly disagree with Zverev. Is this some type of random fade-after-big-upset bullshit? Because Basic was HOT yesterday!

tevari · 06-12-13, 09:13 AM

Well, the qualifier looks strong against Franny, but Zverev looks like pure shit.

tevari · 06-12-13, 09:17 AM

Nvm. Kichenok loses set point and will drop the set in a few minutes & Zverev down 4-1. So much for that.

Hardcoar · 06-12-13, 09:27 AM

Basic FKed up though. Hopefully he's still got 1:st covered. Zverev's looked vulnerable on serve a bit in this set.

Do you have any reasoning pre match for going with Zverev?

tevari · 06-12-13, 09:34 AM

Fade of Basic, TBH. A signature win is oftentimes followed up by a complete flop. Though, looking back in hindsight the pre match odds were way off. Always easy to say that after the match starts, though. We'll see how it goes.

tevari · 06-12-13, 09:35 AM

At least Erakovic took the first set....

Hardcoar · 06-12-13, 10:01 AM

To be honest it's impossible to judge the precision of odds by the results of a single instance.

tevari · 06-13-13, 03:38 PM

YTD: 38-33 +$3,071.33

Friday parlay:

Jankovic & Haas @ [+105]

tevari · 06-13-13, 10:53 PM

Adding: Mayer [+235]

tevari · 06-14-13, 08:50 AM

Well, it appears that all 3 players I bet on including the two together in the parlay won't win a set. Taking off from tennis till Wimbledon.

YTD: 38-35 +$2,871.33

tevari · 06-18-13, 03:02 PM

Or maybe not. Some delicious odds tomorrow. Also may take a look at Lu +games against Malisse who I'm sure the books will overprice because of his win against Ferrer. Plays I like tomorrow:

Hardcoar · 06-18-13, 03:30 PM

So basically it's Tsurenko, Cibuklova and Makarova?

It's kind of hard to tell to be fair to myself. : P

tevari · 06-18-13, 03:36 PM

Indeed. Parlaying Cibulkova w/ the Miami Heat ML tonight for about +120. Between Tsurenko & Makarova, I like the latter more.

Hardcoar · 06-18-13, 04:08 PM

Me too, though I'm not sure even about those odds.

How good do you think Heat ML value is?

tevari · 06-18-13, 05:03 PM

I'm not a heat fanboy under any circumstance, in fact, the bookies were sitting pretty cause I was fading them all year. However, tonight, it's obviously do or die, and I'll take last year's champs @ -300 to force a game seven in a parlay any day of the week.

tevari · 06-19-13, 08:07 AM

Should've known the price on Cibulkova was all wrong

Hardcoar · 06-19-13, 09:31 AM

Well, fortunately she won in the end...

tevari · 06-19-13, 12:06 PM

Indeed.

But, GRRRRRRR.

Wager Type:	Money Line Rolling IF-WIN-ONLY from Ticket # 184342310-1
Wager Status:	Loss
Risk / To Win Amount:	174.19 / 158.35 (USD) Accepted 6/19/2013 10:09 AM - EST
Lost:	174.19

Sport / Period:	WTA Doubles Tennis / Game
Line:	L.Huber/S.Mirza 6/19/2013 10:15:01 AM - (EST) -110
Opponent:	M.Niculescu/K.Zakopalova

Point by point - Set 3
	0 - 1
LOST SERVE	0 - 2
	1 - 2
	1 - 3
	2 - 3	LOST SERVE
LOST SERVE	2 - 4
LOST SERVE	2 - 5
	3 - 5	LOST SERVE
	4 - 5	LOST SERVE
	5 - 5
LOST SERVE	5 - 6
	5 - 7
	6 - 7	LOST SERVE
LOST SERVE	6 - 8
	7 - 8
	7 - 9
	8 - 9	LOST SERVE
	9 - 9
	10 - 9
	11 - 9	LOST SERVE

If there's anything I hate, it's wasting match point(s).

tevari · 06-21-13, 07:37 AM

Hm. Sharapova draws Mladenovic in the first round of Wimby. I see the potential for disaster here, and when there's potential for disaster, there's money to be made. It's either going to be first set, +games, or the over for me in that match. Mladenovic can hit anyone off the court and has a suprisingly good amount of mental fortitude for a young player.

beefcake · 06-21-13, 07:38 AM

Great point...

tevari · 06-21-13, 07:38 AM

oh hello there! i didn't think anyone read this thread.

Hardcoar · 06-21-13, 07:47 AM

OH HAI!

face · 06-21-13, 08:03 AM

tevari/hardcoar you playing any of these? i kind of want to bet on something right now

Fri 6/21	101 Xavier Malisse	-155
10:30AM	102 Nicolas Mahut	+145
Fri 6/21	201 Ivan Dodig	+118
9:30AM	202 Feliciano Lopez	-128
Fri 6/21	221 Andreas Seppi	+118
10:45AM	222 Gilles Simon	-128
Fri 6/21	421 Yanina Wickmayer	+150
8:00AM	422 Elena Vesnina	-160

Hardcoar · 06-21-13, 01:26 PM

Sorry I would have told you my opinion but I haven't been in for some hours now.

I only played Simon ML and had a little on Vesnina 2-1 and Wozniacki 2-1 @ 1.75, 4.6 and 4.33 respectively.

That Wuzz match had me vomiting earlier...

tevari · 07-07-13, 01:31 PM

Back on my daily grind.

Monday, Stuttgart:

Kamke [-120]

Hardcoar · 07-07-13, 02:40 PM

Agreed.

Also on Johansson @ 2.1 and Voracova @ 3.75.

tevari · 07-07-13, 03:05 PM

Johansson has fukked me like no other (a final last year against Hercog where she won the first set and then lost like 11 straight games or something comes to mind), so that's a no play. The Czech broad doesn't have much of a resume, but Begu is an auto-fade these days. Need to look at it further. GL.