Matty's Soccer Tips 2012

[teeder]

What straight bet did you have? I thought Germany should have been able to get 3 on the board themselves, despite the jews always being stingy in defence. German defence hasn't been great either so I thought it was possible to go 2-1, 3-1 fairly comfortably. Oh well, on to the next...

I had Germany -2 and -2.5 - so I only lost half my bet. But I should have known. Hats off to Israel for keeping it close against a far superior opponent.

[MatI]

I had Germany -2 and -2.5 - so I only lost half my bet. But I should have known. Hats off to Israel for keeping it close against a far superior opponent.

Indeed. I only just watched highlights now, but they seemed to play well. Friendly can go either way sometimes...

[MatI]

ACL, Guangzhou Evergrande v FC Tokyo - Over 2.5 @ 2.15 - 1u - LOSS

Parlay:
Euro U19 Quals, England U19 ML vs Switzerland / Friendly, Spain ML vs South Korea @ 1.92 - 1.5u- WIN

Parlay:
International Friendlies - GERMANY vs ISRAEL, Over 2.5 / FRANCE ML vs SERBIA @ 2.17 - 1.5u - LOSS

International Friendly, Mexico vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
Mexico -1.0 @ 1.75 - risking 1u - PUSH

That was a really lucky push on the Mexican game. Injury time goal helps ease the amount of losses today. Back to the drawing board...


Thread Total YTD-
124-130-10
-4.42 units

[MatI]

AFL, ST KILDA vs RICHMOND - Over 191.5 @ 1.88 - 1u

[Puda]

freo top value for the home side.

[MatI]

Hey mate, it doesn't mean much now, but I was actually leaning towards Crows but this game was a definite no play for me. Thinking of taking the Blues at the spread through, waiting a little longer as all the money is coming in on Port.

[MatI]

AFL, Port Adelaide vs Carlton
Carlton -16.5 @ 1.91 - 1.5u

[MatI]

LIVE BET - AFL, Port Adelaide vs Carlton
2nd Half, Carlton -11.5 @ 1.90 - 1.0u

[vangend]

Followed you on the second have bet got Carlton -2,5 @ 1.95, I think it is time I figure out how the scoring work in AFL, I have no idea how that game works.

[MatI]

It's already dead IMO. Sorry.

[MatI]

Friendly, Denmark v Australia - Over 2.5 @ 1.95 - 1u

[MatI]

World Cup Quals, Uruguay ML v Venezuela / Bolivia v Chile DNB @ 2.02 - 1u

[MatI]

MotoGP Spanish Grand Prix Winner - Stoner @ 2.20 - 1u

[MatI]

Indycar Detroit Belle Isle Grand Prix - Race H2H's
Justin Wilson over Takuma Sato @ -110 - 1u
Oriol Servia over Mike Conway @ +115 - 1u
Dario Franchitto over Tony Kanaan @ -120 - 1u

[MatI]

NBA, Boston Celtics @ Miami Heat
Miami Heat -7.5 @ 1.90 - 1u

[MatI]

AFL, ST KILDA vs RICHMOND - Over 191.5 @ 1.88 - 1u - WIN

AFL, Port Adelaide vs Carlton
Carlton -16.5 @ 1.91 - 1.5u- LOSS

LIVE BET - AFL, Port Adelaide vs Carlton
2nd Half, Carlton -11.5 @ 1.90 - 1u - LOSS

Friendly, Denmark v Australia - Over 2.5 @ 1.95 - 1u - LOSS

World Cup Quals, Uruguay ML v Venezuela / Bolivia v Chile DNB @ 2.02 - 1u - LOSS

MotoGP Spanish Grand Prix Winner - Stoner @ 2.20 - 1u - LOSS

Indycar Detroit Belle Isle Grand Prix - Race H2H's
Justin Wilson over Takuma Sato @ 1.91 - 1u - LOSS
Oriol Servia over Mike Conway @ 2.15 - 1u - WIN
Dario Franchitto over Tony Kanaan @ 1.83 - 1u - WIN

NBA, Boston Celtics @ Miami Heat
Miami Heat -7.5 @ 1.90 - 1u - LOSS

Thread Total YTD-
127-137-10
-9.27 units

[MatI]

MLB, Seattle Mariners(Noesi) @ LA Angels(Williams)
LA Angels -1 @ 1.85 - risking 1u

[MatI]

F1, Canadian Grand Prix - Race H2H
Kovalainen @ 1.88 over Petrov - 1.5u

[Optional]

I took Kovi to win Group E $4.10 on 5D early in the week.

Kovalainen, Glock, Pic, De la Rosa, Karthikeyan

Took Schumi for fastest in session 1 $9.52 as well.

[MatI]

I like that group bet. His only real competition out of that group is Glock. Caterham have had the pace on Marussia the last few races, as long as he finishes, it should be good.

I was thinking of taking a P1 bet, I think it is out of Nico, Schuey & Lewis to grab fastest in the first session.

BOL mate. I'm really looking fwd to Canada race, one of my favs of the year.

[MatI]

AFL, CARLTON vs GEELONG
CARLTON +16.5 @ 1.91 - 1u

[Optional]

You're a masochist taking the blues!

Canada is one of my favouite GPs too. Funny for two people living in the wrong time zone for it.

[MatI]

You're a masochist taking the blues!

Canada is one of my favouite GPs too. Funny for two people living in the wrong time zone for it.

Yeah, I know, it was really hard to take carlton this week, but the whole world is on geelong! I'm not falling for that again! I was really leaning blue to keep it close and when i heard Podsiatly was out, i locked it in.

4am start for Canada I think. Atleast it's a public holiday this time weekend!

[MatI]

LIVE BET - AFL, CARLTON vs GEELONG
2nd half - CARLTON +5.5 @ 2.00 - 1u

[MatI]

Well, i pissed that unit away.

[MatI]

LIVE BET - AFL, Port Adelaide vs Hathorn
Hawthorn -44.5 @ 1.90 - 1u

[MatI]

NASCAR Sprint Cup, Pocono 400 Top 5 Finish - Kasey Kahne @ 2.00 - 1u

[MatI]

F1 Canadian Grand Prix Winning Margin - Under 6 Seconds @ 1.62 - risking 1.5u

[MatI]

MLB, Phillies(Lee) @ Orioles(Hammel)
Baltimore Orioles ML @ 2.33 - 1u

[Sol]

Nice win with B'More! Was finally able to back the Yanks and win yesterday. Their bats are warming up a bit.

Any thoughts on the WCQ tomorrow night? Feel Australia can get a result?

[MatI]

Thanks Sol, it was good to get a win in the late innings like that! Well done on the Yankees, I was liking them to win as well but not at the price they were at, pretty epic come from behind win from them as well.

re. Aus vs Japan tomorrow, I am really doubtful we will come out of it with a result. We have definitely had the tougher schedule, having arrived from a 40 degree Oman only yesterday and then only couple of days time to recover. The starting XI should be very different however and I'd expect Aus to play quite defensively, similar to how we played against Denmark. Japan played on the weekend as well but had a much easier time of it playing at home and less travel time , etc. They looked really strong in both games they have played so far, no way I could bet against them. I will probably take Japan DNB if it is priced well enough.

[MatI]

MLB, Seattle Mariners(Noesi) @ LA Angels(Williams)
LA Angels -1 @ 1.85 - risking 1u - LOSS

AFL, CARLTON vs GEELONG
CARLTON +16.5 @ 1.91 - 1u - WIN

LIVE BET - AFL, CARLTON vs GEELONG
2nd half - CARLTON +5.5 @ 2.00 - 1u - LOSS

LIVE BET - AFL, Port Adelaide vs Hathorn
Hawthorn -44.5 @ 1.90 - 1u - WIN

NASCAR Sprint Cup, Pocono 400 Top 5 Finish - Kasey Kahne @ 2.00 - 1u - LOSS

F1, Canadian Grand Prix - Race H2H
Kovalainen @ 1.88 over Petrov - 1.5u - WIN

F1 Canadian Grand Prix Winning Margin - Under 6 Seconds @ 1.62 - risking 1.5u - WIN

MLB, Phillies(Lee) @ Orioles(Hammel)
Baltimore Orioles ML @ 2.33 - 1u - WIN

Thread Total YTD-
132-140-10
-6.51 units

[NickJ3]

Any thoughts on Sweden Tmrw?

[MatI]

Hi Nick, not really. I would normally like Sweden but I would not go against Ukraine with the home crowd behind them. I don't see a clear edge in any of tonight's Euro games.

[Sol]

Thanks Sol, it was good to get a win in the late innings like that! Well done on the Yankees, I was liking them to win as well but not at the price they were at, pretty epic come from behind win from them as well.

re. Aus vs Japan tomorrow, I am really doubtful we will come out of it with a result. We have definitely had the tougher schedule, having arrived from a 40 degree Oman only yesterday and then only couple of days time to recover. The starting XI should be very different however and I'd expect Aus to play quite defensively, similar to how we played against Denmark. Japan played on the weekend as well but had a much easier time of it playing at home and less travel time , etc. They looked really strong in both games they have played so far, no way I could bet against them. I will probably take Japan DNB if it is priced well enough.

Looks as though the price has dropped on Japan a fair bit. Tend to agree, can see Aus sitting back and not certain how hard Japan will chase for the win, but not confident enough to bet on the under. GL if you make a play.