Nordic soccer 2011

[Metanoia]

Good Luck to all, you're doing a very good job here Mr. Kitty

[nicsbr]

Where did this Vasalund team come from , lol i see no team history, were they promoted from some unknown 2. league GL today, seems nice odds have been droping big

they and other team/teams fusioned or what you say before

[ProphetofProfit]

Does anyone want to tell me where I can find reliable injury news for the Norwegian top division, whatever it's called. All in one place if possible.

[Mr.Kitty]

Sweden Allsvenskan; Örebro SK v Helsingborg IF, under 2.5 @ 1.75 (1x) WIN

Norway Tippeligaen; Stabaek v Fredrikstad, Stabaek @ 2.00 (3x) WIN

Sweden Division 1 Norra; Sirius v Vasalunds IF, Sirius @ 1.85 (2x) LOSS

Results:

Örebro SK 1 - 1 Helsingborg IF

Stabaek 3 - 1 Fredrikstad

Sirius 0 - 2 Vasalunds IF

Thanks for the comments, I appreciate it. A profitable day overall so I cant complain even tho Sirius lost, cant win them all I guess. This was my first loss on a bet over 1 unit so its been a good run and you have to be thankful for that. Its very possible that I chase on Sirius because they are such a good team. After another week my record is:

Record: 24-15-2, +18.63 units

See you later this week!

[SRBI]

Nice work Kitty...I see you are progressing at a good pace. Keep it up!

[Vinnybagadonuts]

Followed you on the first two - awesome! Thanks!

[Mr.Kitty]

Nice work Kitty...I see you are progressing at a good pace. Keep it up!

Thanks, I´ll try my best!

Followed you on the first two - awesome! Thanks!

Glad you missed my last pick

[pacers101]

got the first two, couldn't find the last one, I guess lucky for me. but very good work, keep it going

[aiwin88]

Cheersssss, another profitable day. Keep up the good work n thanksss.

[pacers101]

any thoughts today Mr. Kitty. I was thinking of elfsborg. I know they are on the road but historically they've dominated GAIS.

[Mr.Kitty]

any thoughts today Mr. Kitty. I was thinking of elfsborg. I know they are on the road but historically they've dominated GAIS.

Heres my take on GAIS-Elfsborg:

Razak Omotoyossi will probably make his debue in GAIS today, the former topscorer of Allsvenskan has had some issues with FIFA regarding his transfer to GAIS. Accoring to their website, he looks dangerous but its hard to compare training to real competition games. One thing is for sure, he wont play 90 minutes.
The midfield will get a boost with the return of Mårtensson whos back from injury. Midfielder Ayarna got injured against Mjällby and wont play and since before Santos, Romario and Berthagen are missing.
To be honest i dont know where to put GAIS at the moment, like ive said before Wanderson is a great player and Bassombeng, Mårtensson and Celik have shown good form. Omotoyossi is a joker with great potential at the moment. This team have three wins and one draw after five rounds, and 2-0-0 with 6:1 in goaldifference at home. Right now they look like a mid-table team in my eyes, but I think eventually they will fall down. Especially if Wanderson leaves this summer.

Elfsborg have more quality, besides from Wanderson few players in GAIS would be good enough to fit in Elfsborgs team. Today its hard to predict how coach Haglund will formate his team. Lans, Elm and Ishizaki are fit again but its unlikely that any of them will start today. First choice goalkeeper Christiansen is injured but second keeper Covic is solid. Against Malmö, Elfsborg showed real promise and won 3-0. They created lots of chances but it should be made clear that Mff arent in their best shape. Still they won convincingly and want to build on it by claiming their first win away from home. The problem is playing on natural grass, its a reason why this team dont win enough away games. The field on gamla Ullevi should be in fairly good condition today.

I think it will be a close game with Elfsborg atleast taking one point. I played Elfsborg asian 0 @ 1.80 earlier this week but thats gone now. And since I forgot to post it then i´ll post the current line and odds.

[Mr.Kitty]

Sweden Allsvenskan; GAIS v Elfsborg, Elfsborg 0, -0.5 @ 1.95 (1x)

Thats all for today, not touching Hammarby-Brage.

[Mrscofield25]

Sweden Allsvenskan; GAIS v Elfsborg, Elfsborg 0, -0.5 @ 1.95 (1x) Thats all for today, not touching Hammarby-Brage.

Jag ser dig den här helgen min nordiska vän.

[Mr.Kitty]

This is crazy, ive found a stream to Allsvenskan for the first time ever! GAIS-Elfsborg if anyone is interested http://sportdirekt.co.cc/

[Enkhbat]

Sweden Allsvenskan; GAIS v Elfsborg, Elfsborg 0, -0.5 @ 1.95

I am a newbie, how does this line pay out? Assuming I bet 10 dollars What happens if Elfsborg wins? if the game is a draw?

[Mr.Kitty]

I am a newbie, how does this line pay out? Assuming I bet 10 dollars What happens if Elfsborg wins? if the game is a draw?

Its a split asian line, so basically you could say that half of your stake is on asian 0 (which is the same as draw-no-bet) and the other half is on -0.5 (which means that Elfsborg must win). If GAIS win, you lose the bet (-10$). If the game ends in a draw, you lose half your stake, and the other half is retured to you (5$ return). If Elfsborg win, you win the bet (19.5$ is returned to you).

[Mr.Kitty]

Sweden Allsvenskan; GAIS v Elfsborg, Elfsborg 0, -0.5 @ 1.95 (1x) WIN

Result: GAIS 0 - 2 Elfsborg

Two penalty kicks, two goals and three points for Elfsborg!

[TrajaD]

Good job Mr.Kitty!!!

[Mr.Kitty]

Good job Mr.Kitty!!!

Thanks buddy

[pacers101]

you da man, we got another one. great job. I also put a little on the under

[Metanoia]

Good call on Elfsborg

[Mr.Kitty]

you da man, we got another one. great job. I also put a little on the under

Good call on Elfsborg

Thx

[Mr.Kitty]

Sweden Allsvenskan, My thoughts on Kalmar FF-Syrianska FC;

Kalmar lost again away from home, this time against the crisis team IFK Gothenburg. The tendency is to win at home and lose away, a recipe that does not hold for a top position or is very realistic that it will continue.

Incredibly boring scenes that took place when the Syrianska met with AIK in the last round. Syrianska had taken the lead and AIKs Teteh Bangura was sent off then some people in the audience started throwing down bangers. The assistant ref was unfortunate hit and got a hearing problem, so the decision was taken that the match had to be stopped. This got, of course, the big headlines after the fifth round of Allsvenskan.

At first sight there is very little that speaks in favor of Syrianska, it is the newcomers who had a rough start with injuries and only one point after five rounds. Add to that a public scandal which could lead to a six points deduction, which would mean that the team reaches minus points. The situation is bad, but you can also reverse the logic, see it as something positive for the moment. The team was again the underdog against AIK but did show good play in the match which lasted 20 minutes and took the lead to 1-0 before it got out of hand. The fact that they seemed to go towards their first win and then all of a sudden instead risk points deduction must make the players feel wrongfully treated and frustrated. I think the present situation can make the players more united and determined to break the negative trend. Kalmar is my opinion too big favorites, although I understand why. Guldfågeln Arena seems to be an impenetrable fortress where Kalmar will be hard to beat.

If Kalmar are to win today I do not believe them to do it with more than one goal, its kinda crazy but Im tempted to try my luck with revenge craving Syrianska +1.

[nature_one]

Well done,keep it up on an outstanding season. Like Nordic Leagues a lot

[aiwin88]

Thanks bro, like your pick here, will follow u. Cheerssssss

[Mr.Kitty]

Its not an official pick yet, its a hard lean tho. Not liking much besides this game today so its a high possibility that i´ll roll with this pick for one unit. The odds are dropping on +1 from 1.90 to 1.825 on Bet365 but it often happens that the odds on asian handicap go up and down on matches in Allsvenskan.

Thanks for the comments

[tukkk]

Do you ever bet against "smart" money, if you have a strong lean, but see the line movement definetly is against you?

[Mr.Kitty]

Do you ever bet against "smart" money, if you have a strong lean, but see the line movement definetly is against you?

Yes, sometimes I do but of course it makes you hesitate. Not long ago I put money on Elfsborg against Malmö when the line moved against me. I feel that you should follow line movement but not religiously, you should trust your feeling and ability to cap games more then anything. Personally I got a lot to learn about line movement, what to do in certain situations to make profitable bets and so on.

I care less about line movement in Allsvenskan on asian handicaps because it moves a lot during a week/day. Like on Kalmar-Syrianska, right now Syrianska +1 has moved to 1.975 and the odds was 1.825 before. The only thing ive noticed is that late movement is often sharp but I havent followed that enough to be sure.

[Mr.Kitty]

Sweden Allsvenskan; Kalmar FF v Syrianska FC, Syrianska +1 @ 1.975 (1x)

Info on this game in post #198.

[pacers101]

dang it I missed it this morning. BOL hope you all get a win!

[Mr.Kitty]

Sweden Allsvenskan; Kalmar FF v Syrianska FC, Syrianska +1 @ 1.975 (1x) LOSS

Info on this game in post #198.

Result: Kalmar FF 2 - 0 Syrianska FC

90 min goal from Kalmar screwed me for the push. It happens, but its safe to say this bet sucked right from the start. Syrianska is a mess. My bad, i´ll be back tomorrow with better picks. Slow week overall with the Norweigan leagues on a small break.

[Metanoia]

It's tough to lose a bet in the end of the game, it has happened to me a few times and it hurts, but i also won bets in compensation time, it feels good too, all part. You're doing a very good job here, keep going

[nature_one]

Tough loss with 93-rd minute goal,s**t happens you know. Keep it up!

[Enkhbat]

3 games tonight, any leans? AIK seems like a safe bet

[nicsbr]

3 games tonight, any leans? AIK seems like a safe bet

Safe???? AIK misses T Bangura and Örebro is not bad. AIK might win but its not a safe bet.