Wilbas soccer picks!

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  • Stevier100
    SBR Rookie
    • 11-19-10
    • 42

    #71
    Originally posted by Wilba
    cheers mr Kitty.

    A couple of early ones starting in a little over 1 hour:

    League: Italy serie A
    Pick: Lazio to WIN @ 2.0
    Risk: 3.00 units
    Potential win: 3.00 units

    League: Dutch Eredivise
    Pick: Ajax/Feyenoord*UND 3.5 442/333 @ 1.752
    Risk: 3.85 units
    Potential win: 2.9 units

    neither of these spectacular, but both very much worth playing I think.

    A couple of the games I circled have been postponed, but I will definitely have more on tonight. I will have the other games posted within 3.5 hours from now, before the other euro games kick off.

    Usually I get games posted earlier, but this weekend has just been very hectic.

    Hi Wilba

    This is a great thread and i've added to my thread watch with interest!!

    Good Luck My Friend
    Steve
    Comment
    • Wilba
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 10-29-10
      • 702

      #72
      Hi Steve, well thanks a lot and it is great to see you here!

      Not a good start last night for me, but hoping to turn things around tonight. As Mr kitty points out, the ajax match was suspended (tickets refunded), and Lazio just pulled through for a 3-2 result to make one win to start the night. Hoping here is another one:

      League: Italy serie A
      Pick: Palermo to WIN @ 2.47
      Risk: 3.81 units
      Potential win: 5.60 units
      Comment
      • Wilba
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 10-29-10
        • 702

        #73
        League: Italy serie A
        Pick: Lazio to WIN @ 2.0
        Risk: 3.00 units
        Potential win: 3.00 units

        RESULT: WIN +3.00 units

        League: Dutch Eredivise
        Pick: Ajax/Feyenoord*UND 3.5 442/333 @ 1.752
        Risk: 3.85 units
        Potential win: 2.9 units

        RESULT: match postponed
        Comment
        • Wilba
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 10-29-10
          • 702

          #74
          One German Bundesliga pick for tonight

          League: Bundesliga
          Pick: Stuttgart +0.5 @ 2.15
          Risk: 3.91 units
          Potential win: 4.5 units
          Comment
          • Wilba
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 10-29-10
            • 702

            #75
            a goal just before half time for Palermo, and they are now leadinn 1-0. Also, the team they are playing, Bari, has had 1 man sent off. Still early but the Palermo bet is looking nice
            Comment
            • Wilba
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 10-29-10
              • 702

              #76
              and one other play tonight. I am splitting this play on Real Madrid into two halfs because I could not decide between the over and the win..

              League: La Liga
              Pick: Real Madird OV 2.5 (real madrid goals only) 1.758
              Risk: 2.24 units
              Potential win: 1.7
              Pick: Real Madird -1.5/2 @ 1.794
              Risk: 2.14 units
              Potential win: 1.7

              also just to let you know, apart from maybe posting a play for man city match tomorrow, after sunday night (which is right now in my local time) I usually wont come back to thread until wed/thurs, just because I record some of these games on my set top box to watch later, so sometimes I dont know the game result until later in the week. Would ruin the fun if I knew the result!
              Comment
              • latinrus
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 08-01-10
                • 11188

                #77
                Originally posted by Wilba
                and one other play tonight. I am splitting this play on Real Madrid into two halfs because I could not decide between the over and the win..

                League: La Liga
                Pick: Real Madird OV 2.5 (real madrid goals only) 1.758
                Risk: 2.24 units
                Potential win: 1.7
                Pick: Real Madird -1.5/2 @ 1.794
                Risk: 2.14 units
                Potential win: 1.7

                also just to let you know, apart from maybe posting a play for man city match tomorrow, after sunday night (which is right now in my local time) I usually wont come back to thread until wed/thurs, just because I record some of these games on my set top box to watch later, so sometimes I dont know the game result until later in the week. Would ruin the fun if I knew the result!
                BOL today!

                Hope my team can get the job done today!
                Comment
                • Wilba
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 10-29-10
                  • 702

                  #78
                  One game on tonight with a pick:

                  League: EPL
                  pick: Everton +0.5/1 @ 1.990
                  risk: 3.79 unit
                  potential win: 3.75 units
                  Comment
                  • Wilba
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 10-29-10
                    • 702

                    #79
                    back with an update from last weekend. All in all, an awful weekend really. I should have taken my own advice and played with caution given the great run for 3 weeks leading up to last weekend. Also, I broke one of my golden rules, which is never to play games in the last game before the mid season break (Similarly, play with caution on the first game back after winter break)

                    A lot of the big euro leagues shut down over xmas, but the english leagues keep going. EPL is traditionally my strongest league, so hopefully have some good picks to make back some money this weekend.

                    SUMMARY OF SUNDAY NIGHT AND THREAD/SEASON TO DATE:

                    SUNDAY NIGHT:
                    Pick: Lazio to WIN @ 2.0 risk 3.0 to win 3.0
                    RESULT: WIN +3.0 units

                    Pick: Ajax/Feyenoord*UND 3.5 442/333 @ 1.752
                    RESULT: game postponed, no profit/loss

                    Pick: Palermo to WIN @ 2.47
                    result: LOSS -3.81 units

                    Pick: Stuttgart +0.5 @ 2.15
                    RESULT: LOSS -3.91 units

                    Pick: Real Madird OV 2.5 AND Pick: Real Madird -1.5/2
                    RESULT: LOSS -2.14 AND -2.24 = -4.38 units

                    pick: Everton +0.5/1 @ 1.990
                    RESULT: WIN 3.75 units

                    SUNDAY NIGHT RESULTS: 2-3, -5.35 units

                    SEASON TO DATE:
                    'UNOFFICIAL BET' RECORD: 3-1, +5.44 UNITS

                    OFFICIAL:
                    YTD: +40.62 - 5.35 units = +35.27 units
                    Thread to date 5 WIN 9 LOSS: -16.61 - 5.35 units = -21.97 units (YUCK! THERE GOES THE LAST 2 WEEKS PROFIT IN 1 WEEKEND...)
                    Comment
                    • Wilba
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 10-29-10
                      • 702

                      #80
                      Comment
                      • Wilba
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 10-29-10
                        • 702

                        #81
                        I will just add a quick note to say that, by season's end, my target is be at +150 units. I would be hugely disappointed with anything less than a season end of +100 units. These projections are based on my two years soccer capping since tracking my picks, the 2 years have been (2008/2009) +136 units and (2009/2010) +104 units.

                        I would like to think that I, like a fine wine, get better with age!

                        Here's to getting back to winning ways on the 26th!
                        Comment
                        • Wilba
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 10-29-10
                          • 702

                          #82
                          Posting early one EPL game for tomorrow. This is OUTSTANDING value. My equations (incredibly) rate this game at a 70.4% chance of a draw. Thats is close to the highest I have ever seen for a game paying odds for a draw of 3.49 (+249 US odds). Hoping the 29.6% chance of no draw does not win out! head2head records the only downside of this pick. Not many draws between fulham/west ham in this fixture in recent years. However this seasons form points, overwhelmingly, in all areas, to this game ending a draw.

                          EPL picks so far 2/2 for +7.25 units. As I previously mention, EPL my strongest league.

                          League: EPL
                          Pick: Draw(Fulham vs West Ham United)*
                          Risk: 6.02
                          Potential win: 15.00

                          ps. chance of english games being postponed this weekend due to weather conditions. Really hoping that most of them, esp this one, are played as scheduled.
                          Comment
                          • Wilba
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 10-29-10
                            • 702

                            #83
                            mistake in the posted wager amount. Above should be:

                            League: EPL
                            Pick: Draw(Fulham vs West Ham United)*
                            Risk: 6.83
                            Potential win: 17.00
                            Comment
                            • Wilba
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 10-29-10
                              • 702

                              #84
                              Australian A league pick for today

                              League: A league
                              Pick: Central Coast Mariners WIN @ 1.98
                              Risk: 3.06
                              Potential win: 3.00
                              Comment
                              • Wilba
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 10-29-10
                                • 702

                                #85
                                The Central Coast Mariners game just finished with an easy 2-0 win to the Mariners:


                                Pick: Central Coast Mariners WIN @ 1.98
                                Result: WIN +3.00 units

                                SEASON TO DATE:
                                'UNOFFICIAL BET' RECORD: 3-1, +5.44 UNITS

                                OFFICIAL:
                                YTD: +35.27 +3.00 = +38.27 units
                                Thread to date 6 WIN 9 LOSS: -21.97 +3.00 = -18.97 units

                                at least 2 more strong EPL picks following for tonight. Be back in 1-2 hours after further research.
                                Comment
                                • Wilba
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 10-29-10
                                  • 702

                                  #86
                                  Next EPL pick here. Very strong. Note that this bet is split into two parts - blackpool OV team total, and Blackpool at the spread, both to win 3 units:

                                  League: EPL
                                  Pick #1: Blackpool +1 @ 1.725
                                  Risk: 4.14
                                  Potential win: 3.00
                                  Pick #1: Blackpool team goals OV 0.5/1 @ 1.752
                                  Risk: 3.99
                                  Potential win: 3.00
                                  Comment
                                  • NYSportsGuy210
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 11-07-09
                                    • 11347

                                    #87
                                    Is Liverpool ML (-143) a safe play to make for tomorrow?
                                    Comment
                                    • valiko
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 12-25-10
                                      • 15

                                      #88
                                      will try!!
                                      Comment
                                      • Wilba
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 10-29-10
                                        • 702

                                        #89
                                        Originally posted by NYSportsGuy210
                                        Is Liverpool ML (-143) a safe play to make for tomorrow?
                                        in my opinion - definitely NOT
                                        Comment
                                        • Wiesnak
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-06-10
                                          • 2066

                                          #90
                                          i dont think blackpool will do the doluble over liverpool this year
                                          Comment
                                          • Wilba
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 10-29-10
                                            • 702

                                            #91
                                            3rd EPL pick of the night here. At least 1 more to follow, more likely 2 to follow.
                                            Again this bet is split into two parts - Bolton Wanderers/West Brom OV 2.5, and Bolton team total OV 1.5, both to win 2.7 units:

                                            League: EPL
                                            Pick #1: Bolton Wanderers/West Brom OV 2.5 @ 1.901
                                            Risk: 3.00
                                            Potential win: 2.70
                                            Pick #1: Bolton Wanderers team goals OV 1.5 @ 2.02
                                            Risk: 2.65
                                            Potential win: 2.7
                                            Comment
                                            • Wilba
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 10-29-10
                                              • 702

                                              #92
                                              Originally posted by Wiesnak
                                              i dont think blackpool will do the doluble over liverpool this year
                                              I do not necessarily think that Blackpool will win against Liverpool. But I do think strongly that they will score at least once, and that if they do lose, that it will not be by more than 1 goal. Even with a Blackpool loss by 1 goal, the bet blackpool +1 is not a loss, it is a push. Hence a 1-2 Blackpool loss nets a profit with the bets I have selected. A 1-1 or 2-2 draw would not surprise me at all. However a Liverpool win by a blowout margin to nil (ie 3-0, 4-0 etc) would VERY much surprise me.

                                              However you should go with your own feelings. If you really like Liverpool to win straight up, you should back it!
                                              Comment
                                              • Wiesnak
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-06-10
                                                • 2066

                                                #93
                                                i actually like both teams to score, draw or liverpool win by 1 as u say is most probably outcome
                                                i had blackpool +1 at bolton, ended 2-2 and i had blackpool +1 at stoke, ended 1-0 for blackpool
                                                doesnt feel the same this time though
                                                Comment
                                                • Wiesnak
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-06-10
                                                  • 2066

                                                  #94
                                                  looks like the game got postponed
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Wilba
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 10-29-10
                                                    • 702

                                                    #95
                                                    THE BLACKPOOL/LIVERPOOL GAME HAS JUST BEEN POSTPONED. ANY/ALL WAGERS ON THIS GAME WILL BE REFUNDED.

                                                    very disappointed about this actually..
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Wilba
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 10-29-10
                                                      • 702

                                                      #96
                                                      Originally posted by Wiesnak
                                                      i actually like both teams to score, draw or liverpool win by 1 as u say is most probably outcome
                                                      this was exactly my thinking which is why I thought both the Bpool to score and not to lose by 2+ were very strong. Very disappointed this is postponed as it was a top bet IMO
                                                      Comment
                                                      • TOTTENHAM2
                                                        SBR Hustler
                                                        • 09-30-10
                                                        • 56

                                                        #97
                                                        Originally posted by wiesnak
                                                        looks like the game got postponed
                                                        blackpool v liverpool
                                                        everton v birmingham games off
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Wilba
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 10-29-10
                                                          • 702

                                                          #98
                                                          the new 3rd EPL pick of the night here (given that Blackpool/Liverpool PSTP).

                                                          League: EPL
                                                          Pick: Manchester City PK/-0.5 @ 2.04
                                                          Risk: 4.33
                                                          Potential win: 4.50
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Wiesnak
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 12-06-10
                                                            • 2066

                                                            #99
                                                            man city got postponed
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Wiesnak
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-06-10
                                                              • 2066

                                                              #100
                                                              nevermind
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Wilba
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 10-29-10
                                                                • 702

                                                                #101
                                                                Originally posted by Wiesnak
                                                                man city got postponed
                                                                Why would you have thought that?? Do you have info that any other games (other than the two already discussed) have been PSTP?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • TOTTENHAM2
                                                                  SBR Hustler
                                                                  • 09-30-10
                                                                  • 56

                                                                  #102
                                                                  Originally posted by wiesnak
                                                                  man city got postponed
                                                                  all lists showing game on in cluding club website
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • TOTTENHAM2
                                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                                    • 09-30-10
                                                                    • 56

                                                                    #103
                                                                    Originally posted by Wilba
                                                                    3rd EPL pick of the night here. At least 1 more to follow, more likely 2 to follow.
                                                                    Again this bet is split into two parts - Bolton Wanderers/West Brom OV 2.5, and Bolton team total OV 1.5, both to win 2.7 units:

                                                                    League: EPL
                                                                    Pick #1: Bolton Wanderers/West Brom OV 2.5 @ 1.901
                                                                    Risk: 3.00
                                                                    Potential win: 2.70
                                                                    Pick #1: Bolton Wanderers team goals OV 1.5 @ 2.02
                                                                    Risk: 2.65
                                                                    Potential win: 2.7

                                                                    BOLTON OV 1.5 LOOKS SOLID
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Wilba
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 10-29-10
                                                                      • 702

                                                                      #104
                                                                      4th EPL pick of the night here

                                                                      League: EPL
                                                                      Pick: Aston Villa PK/+0.5 @ 1.935
                                                                      Risk: 3.74
                                                                      Potential win: 3.50
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Wilba
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 10-29-10
                                                                        • 702

                                                                        #105
                                                                        Originally posted by TOTTENHAM2
                                                                        BOLTON OV 1.5 LOOKS SOLID
                                                                        Absolutely - they have an incredible scoring record at home this season + west brom defence far from top line. I split 1/2 1/2 with total goals OV 2.5 due to boltons poor defensive record - conceding many goals as well as scoring a heap. I was surprised the game total was not set at 3 instead of 2.5
                                                                        Comment
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